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  • #124,161
  • Aug 7, 2025 3:51am Aug 7, 2025 3:51am
I may regret not buying 1663ish
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,162
  • Aug 7, 2025 4:09am Aug 7, 2025 4:09am
Quoting gatorinla
I may regret not buying 1663ish
Not so far
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,163
  • Aug 7, 2025 4:23am Aug 7, 2025 4:23am
London has cleared the path to the upside earlier and is now attempting to clear the downside before the news release. This is likely an effort to remove obstacles in both directions, setting the stage for a clean breakout once the data hits.
Current price is 1.1652, with the session low sitting at 1.1647.
If that low holds, it could signal that London intends to drive the price higher after the news.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #124,164
  • Aug 7, 2025 4:32am Aug 7, 2025 4:32am
Quoting Avir
London has cleared the path to the upside earlier and is now attempting to clear the downside before the news release. This is likely an effort to remove obstacles in both directions, setting the stage for a clean breakout once the data hits. Current price is 1.1652, with the session low sitting at 1.1647. If that low holds, it could signal that London intends to drive the price higher after the news. {image}
Hence I just took a long at 1.16546 with stop 3 pips below the low @1.1644
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #124,165
  • Aug 7, 2025 4:36am Aug 7, 2025 4:36am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} weakness below 1.167 I think we may see 1.1645 last imp resistance. US stock Market about to hit new ATH
EUR/USD 1.1645 Adding. let's go Euro bulls.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #124,166
  • Aug 7, 2025 4:37am Aug 7, 2025 4:37am
Quoting Avir
{quote} Hence I just took a long at 1.16546 with stop 3 pips below the low @1.1644
Oops that was hunted , Now London cleared both ways before data - current Low 1.16404
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #124,167
  • Aug 7, 2025 4:44am Aug 7, 2025 4:44am
usd chf approaching .8088/89. I may look there for a short.
Eu looks like it may still be above 1627.. trying
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,168
  • Aug 7, 2025 4:45am Aug 7, 2025 4:45am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} EUR/USD 1.1645 Adding. let's go Euro bulls.
People say they want pullbacks, but when they come, they say they're waiting for the news.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #124,169
  • Aug 7, 2025 4:48am Aug 7, 2025 4:48am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} S0 1.168 S1 1.166 S2 1.164X S3 1.16 who is buying if we get pullbacks ?
Test of 1.16 left. If we get decent Claims (215k) people may start shorting 1.16 than up we go

Cmon
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #124,170
  • Aug 7, 2025 4:52am Aug 7, 2025 4:52am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} People say they want pullbacks, but when they come, they say they're waiting for the news.
I would have said, if your stop below 1.1616? hold your long and target 1.1735 But I cant say that 40 minutes into fireworks
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #124,171
  • Aug 7, 2025 4:58am Aug 7, 2025 4:58am
Quoting Avir
{quote} I would have said, if your stop below 1.1616? hold your long and target 1.1735 But I cant say that 40 minutes into fireworks
The holly grail is in MM, but yeah I may have to reconsider if I se 1H close below 1.158
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #124,172
  • Aug 7, 2025 5:09am Aug 7, 2025 5:09am
Quoting gatorinla
usd chf approaching .8088/89. I may look there for a short. Eu looks like it may still be above 1627.. trying {image}
I got mine. the eu may be reaching for 1627.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,173
  • Aug 7, 2025 5:16am Aug 7, 2025 5:16am
Quoting Avir
Commander’s Market Log – August 7, 2025 While monitoring the Asian session earlier (mostly on the phone, in between tasks), I noticed how price action remained extremely tight and slow — practically no momentum and no attempt to break out. That told me everything I needed to know: the market has no intention of breaching the top before the news. When I say “the top,” I’m referring to 1.1717 — a level I believe is being intentionally protected. My view is that market makers want to keep price contained below this ceiling until the jobless...
Global Market Update – 1 PM Squawk Summary
(Decoded and translated into market terms by TriForce Desk)

Macro Sentiment: Neutral to Mildly Risk-On

  1. Equities opened slightly higher in the U.S., following global risk tone from Asia and Europe.
  2. Bond yields are slightly lower, hinting at some bid into safety, but not aggressively so.
  3. Crude oil is holding near recent highs, supporting inflationary pressure narrative.
  4. Gold stable — no fear-based flows, confirming low volatility pre-data.
  5. Dollar strength has softened slightly post-London sweep.

FX Landscape Overview

  1. EUR/USD:
    Post-London liquidity sweeps completed both ways. Price now hovering between 1.1640–1.1660 range.
    ➤ No fresh positioning likely until after U.S. jobless claims drop.
    ➤ Holding above 1.1640 keeps it neutral-to-bullish intraday.
  2. GBP/USD:
    Stable above 1.2750, minor bullish lean — following EURUSD’s tone.
  3. USD/JPY:
    Flat and parked. Yen not attracting safety bids, suggests market isn't fearful — risk tone stable.
  4. AUD/USD & NZD/USD:
    Mild upside bias on commodity support, but constrained by dollar hesitation.

Commander’s EUR/USD Outlook – Post-Squawk

Current Bias: Neutral → Slightly Bullish (as long as 1.1640 holds)
If jobless claims come in weak (above forecast), expect a push above 1.1695 toward 1.1717.
If strong (below forecast), expect a fade back to 1.1610.

Tactical Advice Pre-News

  1. Stay flat or tight until jobless claims release.
  2. Liquidity already cleaned — next move will likely be real.
  3. Watch first 1-minute candle reaction, then fade or follow based on confirmation.

FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #124,174
  • Aug 7, 2025 5:28am Aug 7, 2025 5:28am
Quoting Avir
{quote} Global Market Update – 1 PM Squawk Summary (Decoded and translated into market terms by TriForce Desk) Macro Sentiment: Neutral to Mildly Risk-On Equities opened slightly higher in the U.S., following global risk tone from Asia and Europe. Bond yields are slightly lower, hinting at some bid into safety, but not aggressively so. Crude oil is holding near recent highs, supporting inflationary pressure narrative. Gold stable — no fear-based flows, confirming low volatility pre-data. Dollar strength has softened slightly...
All nice but Crude near highs ?
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #124,175
  • Aug 7, 2025 5:28am Aug 7, 2025 5:28am
Quoting Avir
{quote} Global Market Update – 1 PM Squawk Summary (Decoded and translated into market terms by TriForce Desk) Macro Sentiment: Neutral to Mildly Risk-On Equities opened slightly higher in the U.S., following global risk tone from Asia and Europe. Bond yields are slightly lower, hinting at some bid into safety, but not aggressively so. Crude oil is holding near recent highs, supporting inflationary pressure narrative. Gold stable — no fear-based flows, confirming low volatility pre-data. Dollar strength has softened slightly...
when he starts to interfere with the job numbers. It will leak. The usd may be a cripple. Before the rest of the world catches a kick in the balls. Along with tariffs, a weak usd to start will hurt everyone world wide. A week usd to start with higher prices wont be a smooth adjustment. Many are afraid to expand or hire. The usd may catch up.. but not before pain
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,176
  • Aug 7, 2025 5:31am Aug 7, 2025 5:31am
US Job Data – Weekly Claims (Jul 26)
• Actual: 218,000
• Forecast: 221,000
• 4‑Week Avg: 221,000 (↓)
Monthly Employment – July
• Payrolls: +73,000
• Unemployment: 4.2%
Key Notes
• Labor market remains firm, but job creation is slowing.
• Data credibility is under question—market reactions may be muted.
EUR/USD Risk Scenarios
• Strong claims → potential USD weakness → EUR/USD bullish.
• Weak claims → USD strength → EUR/USD bearish—but volatile reaction.
Macro Tone
• Fed less likely to start easing soon.
• Watch political noise; it may overshadow raw data reaction.
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #124,177
  • Aug 7, 2025 5:52am Aug 7, 2025 5:52am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} when he starts to interfere with the job numbers. It will leak. The usd may be a cripple. Before the rest of the world catches a kick in the balls. Along with tariffs, a weak usd to start will hurt everyone world wide. A week usd to start with higher prices wont be a smooth adjustment. Many are afraid to expand or hire. The usd may catch up.. but not before pain
He made that statement just minutes before the job data release — that in itself is a form of manipulation. Now we’re right back inside the range again. Classic setup… nothing's changed.
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #124,178
  • Aug 7, 2025 5:55am Aug 7, 2025 5:55am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} All nice but Crude near highs ?
I don’t normally track Crude — as I mentioned earlier, this is my first time trying this style of logging.
I’m learning as I go, and teaching the AIs along the way.
Appreciate you spotting that, my friend
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #124,179
  • Aug 7, 2025 6:21am Aug 7, 2025 6:21am
Quoting Avir
{quote} I don’t normally track Crude — as I mentioned earlier, this is my first time trying this style of logging. I’m learning as I go, and teaching the AIs along the way. Appreciate you spotting that, my friend
If the world slows.. Crude demand drops. The usd is weak.. Crude is down. That to me alone shows a drop in oil demand, or high supply. A weak usd, and dropping oil prices is not a great economy sign,
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,180
  • Aug 7, 2025 6:29am Aug 7, 2025 6:29am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If the world slows.. Crude demand drops. The usd is weak.. Crude is down. That to me alone shows a drop in oil demand, or high supply. A weak usd, and dropping oil prices is not a great economy sign,
or peace between Russia and Ukraine.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
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