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The Swamp

  • #124,021
  • Jul 28, 2025 6:18am Jul 28, 2025 6:18am
Hello Gator
Hello everyone, I'm back once again

 

  1. Wedge Still Valid

    1. Price is still inside the wedge — this isn’t a confirmed breakdown yet.
    2. The lower support (~1.1650–1.1640 zone) could still act as a springboard, especially if NY session brings buying.

  2. Scary Monday Candle?

    1. Mondays often set traps — especially near end of month.
    2. A red Monday doesn’t invalidate the wedge unless there's a clear close below wedge support, ideally with volume confirmation or continuation Tuesday.

  3. MACD + RSI

    1. MACD: Looks flat, with histogram bars declining — consolidation zone behavior.
    2. RSI: Pulled back from overbought but not yet oversold — still has energy to reload.

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FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #124,022
  • Jul 28, 2025 6:18am Jul 28, 2025 6:18am
Quoting johncen
{quote} 1640-50 should hold for now
I'm looking to take profit @ 1.1635
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #124,023
  • Jul 28, 2025 6:42am Jul 28, 2025 6:42am
Quoting Avir
Hello Gator Hello everyone, I'm back once again Wedge Still Valid Price is still inside the wedge — this isn’t a confirmed breakdown yet. The lower support (~1.1650–1.1640 zone) could still act as a springboard, especially if NY session brings buying. Scary Monday Candle? Mondays often set traps — especially near end of month. A red Monday doesn’t invalidate the wedge unless there's a clear close below wedge support, ideally with volume confirmation or continuation Tuesday. MACD + RSI MACD: Looks flat, with histogram bars declining...
Caution trade your own set up !

We are so overextended the ADR today since Europe Open. We have almost like 140 pips range. That doesn't normally happen but we are near month end so anything could happen. But I strongly believe Bulls really want to try and close this handle, monthly handle, in green because they have been trying for nearly three years now to try and break through 2021 high. So this is Bulls chance to make it happen -if they really want to go and without testing that high. I don't think Bulls will give up, to test that high we need to go a little higher, little higher than where we are on the monthly chart that is. So what I'm planning today try and lose the short somewhere near 1635 which is pivot. If not? somewhere at the current low because I do think that Bulls want to take over from here. Let's see what happens within the next couple of hours and New York Open. I'll keep an eye. But as Gator said, anything below 1620 could mean bear ride and some profit taking.
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #124,024
  • Jul 28, 2025 7:01am Jul 28, 2025 7:01am
keep in mind, market will likely try and screw the bulls and the bears.
  • #124,025
  • Jul 28, 2025 8:39am Jul 28, 2025 8:39am
Quoting Avir
{quote} Caution trade your own set up ! We are so overextended the ADR today since Europe Open. We have almost like 140 pips range. That doesn't normally happen but we are near month end so anything could happen. But I strongly believe Bulls really want to try and close this handle, monthly handle, in green because they have been trying for nearly three years now to try and break through 2021 high. So this is Bulls chance to make it happen -if they really want to go and without testing that high. I don't think Bulls will give up, to...
TP hit , It is done 1.1635 took profit, time to plan my new mix - and wait
https://djemkumar.com/
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #124,026
  • Jul 28, 2025 8:44am Jul 28, 2025 8:44am
guys wasnt on for days, but can someone please explain why it went down that crazy
  • #124,027
  • Jul 28, 2025 10:19am Jul 28, 2025 10:19am
Quoting johncen
{quote} 1640-50 should hold for now
I never got a buy signal yet. Its still looking very bearish. Maybe 1679 will be R later.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,028
  • Jul 28, 2025 11:00am Jul 28, 2025 11:00am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I never got a buy signal yet. Its still looking very bearish. Maybe 1679 will be R later.
i m afraid that we might not get there. Yea no buy signal
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,029
  • Jul 28, 2025 2:18pm Jul 28, 2025 2:18pm
Damn,,,
That Evil woman Ursula has really messed up EU!!

Trump 1 EU 0 - EURUSD nose-dived nearly 200 pips - Thank god I had a nap - Time to read the chart again
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FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #124,030
  • Jul 28, 2025 3:17pm Jul 28, 2025 3:17pm
Chat GPT couldn't do it but Grok nailed it : Please see my note below

The Ursula Wave
A full technical and psychological washout driven by overconfidence, politics, and poor leadership.
It wasn’t just a chart collapse. It was a sentiment reset — a brutal one. The kind only FX can deliver.
TRADEMARK ANNOUNCEMENT
I’ve partnered with AI tools to create visual documentation of this move — memes, charts, and satire — and I’m officially claiming:
“The Ursula Wave”
Trademarked by DJ EM K | Forex Factory | July 2025

https://djemkumar.com/
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FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #124,031
  • Jul 28, 2025 3:27pm Jul 28, 2025 3:27pm
Quoting Avir
Chat GPT couldn't do it but Grok nailed it : Please see my note below The Ursula Wave A full technical and psychological washout driven by overconfidence, politics, and poor leadership. It wasn’t just a chart collapse. It was a sentiment reset — a brutal one. The kind only FX can deliver. TRADEMARK ANNOUNCEMENT I’ve partnered with AI tools to create visual documentation of this move — memes, charts, and satire — and I’m officially claiming: “The Ursula Wave” Trademarked by DJ EM K | Forex...
NOTE to my fellow traders:
In the early days, we feared algos — they moved faster, traded smarter, and always seemed to win. Back then, retail traders hated them. I did too.
But today, I’m using AI tools — not to trade for me, but to assist me.
I am not using AI to place trades. I use it to gather insights, map structures, and understand sentiment faster than ever.
I remain the commander of my strategy.
This isn’t algo trading. This is human-led trading enhanced by AI intelligence.
Call it what it is:
The TriForce way.

https://x.com/avirvisva/status/1942274677474279566
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #124,032
  • Jul 28, 2025 4:30pm Jul 28, 2025 4:30pm
1.148x/9x is my first bears stop.
If bounce before, I will reload shorts 1675.
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #124,033
  • Jul 29, 2025 6:34am Jul 29, 2025 6:34am
Good morning, Traders,
Following yesterday’s price action, today looks equally eventful — and possibly the beginning of an interesting week.
As some of you already know, I’ve recently started using AI tools to assist with market analysis and to help me present my views in a more structured and professional format.
Starting today — and continuing for as long as I remain active this round — I’ll be posting a daily log focused exclusively on EUR/USD.
The series is titled “Commander’s Market Logs” — named so because the three AI systems I work with (Grok, GPT, and Gemini) all address me as “Commander.”
Each entry reflects my own technical analysis, with the language refined by AI for clarity.
Please note:
These are personal insights shared for informational purposes only.
Always trade your own setup and manage risk accordingly.
Thanks and good luck today,
Avir
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FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #124,034
  • Jul 29, 2025 6:36am Jul 29, 2025 6:36am
Commander’s Market Logs – Entry 01
Date: 29 July 2025 | Pair: EUR/USD | Session: London/NY Crossover
Chart Context:
This — yesterday's ~200-pip red candle has carved out a clear vacuum in daily structure. After a brief bounce off S1, price broke the 1.1556 (17/07 low) with no notable reaction, suggesting little to no demand in that region.
Key Downside Zones:

  1. 1.1494
  2. 1.1463
  3. Extended view: 1.1440 (structural confluence zone I refer to internally as the Ursula Wave)

Session Insight:
London appears to have deliberately avoided breaking Europe’s high — which often precedes a NY continuation move. If both sessions align, the drop could be more linear than volatile.
Current Bias:
Neutral for now, watching closely for NY confirmation or scalp setups if 1.1580–1.1590 rejects.

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FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #124,035
  • Jul 29, 2025 8:41am Jul 29, 2025 8:41am
keep an eye on 1520 area. Pa is above the week average, the day average is at 1516. If it starts stalling it may bounce. It can be attracted to 1725 area
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,036
  • Jul 29, 2025 9:02am Jul 29, 2025 9:02am
1569 has some R value maybe.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,037
  • Jul 29, 2025 11:44am Jul 29, 2025 11:44am
Quoting gatorinla
1569 has some R value maybe.
yea 1520 supporting right now which we might be waiting for gdp and fomc to decide whether we will bounce or go further down.

while under 1560 it puts me off buying though as bounce may be limited.

i will be keen to see how the day closed, if below 1560 it remain bearish
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,038
  • Jul 29, 2025 2:03pm Jul 29, 2025 2:03pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea 1520 supporting right now which we might be waiting for gdp and fomc to decide whether we will bounce or go further down. while under 1560 it puts me off buying though as bounce may be limited. i will be keen to see how the day closed, if below 1560 it remain bearish
I did nt get a quality trigger 3528 maybe if you get a trigger GU. 1728 if the eu gives one.. Probably by Friday.. 1569 may be blocking it. If it closing above 1569 in early London. That is more positive of a bounce
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,039
  • Jul 29, 2025 2:13pm Jul 29, 2025 2:13pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I did nt get a quality trigger 3528 maybe if you get a trigger GU. 1728 if the eu gives one.. Probably by Friday.. 1569 may be blocking it. If it closing above 1569 in early London. That is more positive of a bounce
1728 is far i dont have that in mind but initially i have 1650 but while pa under 1560 this seems far too.
i will see how the day closed. Even if we closed below we could still bounce which i have 1620.

haven taken some losses from scalp buy during the drop. I didnt expect that to be that straight. I was wrong
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,040
  • Jul 29, 2025 8:40pm Jul 29, 2025 8:40pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} 1728 is far i dont have that in mind but initially i have 1650 but while pa under 1560 this seems far too. i will see how the day closed. Even if we closed below we could still bounce which i have 1620. haven taken some losses from scalp buy during the drop. I didnt expect that to be that straight. I was wrong
its bounced 52 pips. If it hangs above in early London. That's rise positive.
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I did nt get a quality trigger 3528 maybe if you get a trigger GU. 1728 if the eu gives one.. Probably by Friday.. 1569 may be blocking it. If it closing above 1569 in early London. That is more positive of a bounce
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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