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  • #15,041
  • Jul 25, 2025 10:34am Jul 25, 2025 10:34am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Nothing is over until is over. Curious to see!
The fat lady may be asleep..
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  • #15,042
  • Jul 25, 2025 10:38am Jul 25, 2025 10:38am
Quoting fleps
{quote} XAU lost 1%. XAG lost nearly 2%. GU down 0.6%. AU down 0.5%. EU down a measly 0.15%. Sorry to say, but EU bears became cucks!
GU weekly candle
  • #15,043
  • Jul 25, 2025 11:06am Jul 25, 2025 11:06am
Quoting fleps
{quote} The fat lady may be asleep..
I saw her around!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_2025-07-07-18-58-18-415.jpeg Size: 305 KB
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  • #15,044
  • Jul 25, 2025 11:08am Jul 25, 2025 11:08am
Quoting Cavar
{quote} GU weekly candle

The last time GU was at this level, EU was 1.16x
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  • #15,045
  • Jul 25, 2025 11:08am Jul 25, 2025 11:08am
Guys its Friday we can have some fun but try to post only for EURUSD as the title says. Ahmer - the owner of the thread will get mad if he see all this irelavant content. Also please read the first post rules!

Thanks!
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  • #15,046
  • Jul 25, 2025 11:37am Jul 25, 2025 11:37am
Well its time for me to close, it was a great week - made less than I expected but that's forex not a day job with a wage!

I wish you all a wonderful weekend with lot of fun! See you next week!
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  • #15,047
  • Jul 25, 2025 12:16pm Jul 25, 2025 12:16pm
Last H4 opening level 1.1728
  • #15,048
  • Jul 25, 2025 1:58pm Jul 25, 2025 1:58pm
Euro is simply strong against Dollars after Largade’s comment that she does not monitor exchange rate and higher Euro helps dsinflations

if the week closed above 1732 i guess bull is back and we may see new high next week

next week is going to be fun with nfp, deadline for tradedeal between eu and us, trade talks between China and us, and of course fomc!
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #15,049
  • Jul 25, 2025 2:18pm Jul 25, 2025 2:18pm
There is an advantage to it, we can constantly buy dips blindly price always rise. They always come back like a boomerang
  • #15,050
  • Jul 25, 2025 2:19pm Jul 25, 2025 2:19pm
Quoting johncen
Euro is simply strong against Dollars after Largade’s comment that she does not monitor exchange rate and higher Euro helps dsinflations if the week closed above 1732 i guess bull is back and we may see new high next week next week is going to be fun with nfp, deadline for tradedeal between eu and us, trade talks between China and us, and of course fomc!
Trump talking about a cheap dollar already, he knows what’s coming.
  • #15,051
  • Jul 25, 2025 2:22pm Jul 25, 2025 2:22pm
Don't think anything is going to happen. Good night boys. Good weekend.
Please join me in my journey for 100 perfect trades. See my journal!
  • #15,052
  • Jul 25, 2025 5:07pm Jul 25, 2025 5:07pm
We didnt get a daily and weekly closed below 1732 but also its under 1759
usdx did closed back above 97.60 but not by much
so basically market with no clear direction into next week.

looking at daily which trendline going to hold?
if no new HH and 1789 confirmed to be a LH then maybe we will head down but if we make a HH then its not a good news for bear.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: IMG_5721.jpeg Size: 449 KB


EU-US trade deal, if we get that on Sunday, might be a gap up, but if the details favouring the US then once it landed maybe we will see some dollar strength, it might seen as a victory for Trump after all those mess.

i probably expect some more ranging, spike up and return, quick drop and coming back until Wed.

next week is going to be important, determine whether we will see 1.2 or below 1.1550 in the next month or two.

EU-US trade deal
US-China trade talks
FOMC
Month End
Non-Farm

have a good weekend folks and see you next week for more fun
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #15,053
  • Jul 25, 2025 6:11pm Jul 25, 2025 6:11pm
Quoting johncen
Euro is simply strong against Dollars after Largade’s comment that she does not monitor exchange rate and higher Euro helps dsinflations if the week closed above 1732 i guess bull is back and we may see new high next week next week is going to be fun with nfp, deadline for tradedeal between eu and us, trade talks between China and us, and of course fomc!
it will be "fun"
  • #15,054
  • Jul 26, 2025 2:20am Jul 26, 2025 2:20am
The EUR/USD reached 1.1789 after breaking the 1.1721 resistance and closing above it with a green candle this week. This is bullish for the pair, but one last obstacle, 1.1829, remains to secure a strong uptrend. The pair could potentially visit the 1.1900 resistance if there is a strong break. On the other hand, a move strong below 1.1700 would open the way for the 1.1615 - 1.1600 support zone, but the trend would remain upward on daily and weekly timeframes, signifying only a correction.

The Fed's rate decision, the NFP Jobs report, and a deadline for US trade agreements on August 1st will all be released next week, so volatility is going to be significant!

Have a great weekend!


Weekly volatility (range) 119 pips

Option expiries for Monday: 1.0600 (EU1.04b), 1.1100 (EU692.7m), 1.0050 (EU540m) source: financialjuice.com

Significant news - US JOLTS Job Openings, US GDP QoQ, US Interest Rate Decision, US Initial Jobless Claims, US Consumer Spending & US Nonfarm Payrolls.

4H
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #15,055
  • Jul 26, 2025 2:49am Jul 26, 2025 2:49am
Quoting johncen
We didnt get a daily and weekly closed below 1732 but also its under 1759 usdx did closed back above 97.60 but not by much so basically market with no clear direction into next week. looking at daily which trendline going to hold? if no new HH and 1789 confirmed to be a LH then maybe we will head down but if we make a HH then its not a good news for bear. {image} EU-US trade deal, if we get that on Sunday, might be a gap up, but if the details favouring the US then once it landed maybe we will see some dollar strength, it might seen as a victory...
Looks like dollar stronger but the market always interpret things different so I will not be surprised to see eu up!
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  • #15,056
  • Edited 3:52am Jul 26, 2025 3:29am | Edited 3:52am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Looks like dollar stronger but the market always interpret things different so I will not be surprised to see eu up!
yea if eu-us deal done it will shoot up on Monday open
at least the immediate effect. It may come back down later but initial reaction benefits euros
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #15,057
  • Jul 26, 2025 6:26am Jul 26, 2025 6:26am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
The EUR/USD reached 1.1789 after breaking the 1.1721 resistance and closing above it with a green candle this week. This is bullish for the pair, but one last obstacle, 1.1829, remains to secure a strong uptrend. The pair could potentially visit the 1.1900 resistance if there is a strong break. On the other hand, a move strong below 1.1700 would open the way for the 1.1615 - 1.1600 support zone, but the trend would remain upward on daily and weekly timeframes, signifying only a correction. The Fed's rate decision, the NFP Jobs report, and a deadline...
but yesterday closed at 1.174, did itt got to 1.789 overnight as i cant see my broker active
  • #15,058
  • Jul 27, 2025 5:14am Jul 27, 2025 5:14am
Quoting Tospyj
{quote} but yesterday closed at 1.174, did itt got to 1.789 overnight as i cant see my broker active
I mean closed above 1.1721 resistance!
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  • #15,059
  • Jul 27, 2025 11:10am Jul 27, 2025 11:10am
Trump on EU trade deal: The matter is difficult but not impossible
https://www.forexfactory.com/news/13...-the-matter-is
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  • #15,060
  • Jul 27, 2025 1:14pm Jul 27, 2025 1:14pm
My only disappointment with eurusd performance as of yesterday was that I avoided gbpusd, thinking it's not prone to do what it did. I was expecting for eurusd to make such a move, but as we all have seen, it was gbpusd. Quite a gloomy end of the week.
Risk Management is of utmost importance!
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