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Only EURUSD

  • #14,961
  • Jul 24, 2025 12:00pm Jul 24, 2025 12:00pm
EUR is emerging as the next strongest safe haven: HSBC

https://www.investing.com/news/forex...n-hsbc-4150450
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  • #14,962
  • Jul 24, 2025 9:10pm Jul 24, 2025 9:10pm
EU at key support usdx at 97.60 also critical

we may bounce here or break below.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: IMG_5720.jpeg Size: 456 KB
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #14,963
  • Jul 24, 2025 10:43pm Jul 24, 2025 10:43pm
The EUR/USD dropped before 1.1800 yesterday on profit-taking and is now looking lower again towards the strong support level of 1.1700/11. If it manages to stay above this, then the 1.1788 high will be targeted with scope to break and reach the 1.1800/29 resistance. If it fails at the round number, then the 1.1678 support should be the next area sellers will target.

Have a great Friday!


Daily volatility (range) 58 pips

Option expiries for Friday: 1.1800 (EU2.48b), 1.1745 (EU1.19b), 1.1000 (EU1.14b) source: financialjuice.com

Significant news - US Durable Goods

H1
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2025-07-25_06-39-42 (1).png Size: 29 KB
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  • #14,964
  • Jul 24, 2025 10:44pm Jul 24, 2025 10:44pm
Quoting johncen
EU at key support usdx at 97.60 also critical we may bounce here or break below. {image}
Bouncing! Lets see if 1759 can keep it or not now!

Green pips!
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  • #14,965
  • Jul 24, 2025 11:00pm Jul 24, 2025 11:00pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Bouncing! Lets see if 1759 can keep it or not now! Green pips!
yes i have closed my long too soon 1732 remain supporting but i guess we may get to 1722 or lower to find support.

let see
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #14,966
  • Jul 24, 2025 11:29pm Jul 24, 2025 11:29pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} yes i have closed my long too soon 1732 remain supporting but i guess we may get to 1722 or lower to find support. let see
Looks weak but its early yet to say. I was thinking it will drop around 1.1620. Friday anything might happen!
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  • #14,967
  • Jul 24, 2025 11:34pm Jul 24, 2025 11:34pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Looks weak but its early yet to say. I was thinking it will drop around 1.1620. Friday anything might happen!
yea if break below 1710 1700 then it should go further south.

but look at the bounce yesterday, anything can happen until it plays out.

but for now i might try not to buy
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #14,968
  • Jul 24, 2025 11:38pm Jul 24, 2025 11:38pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH1.png Size: 23 KB
  • #14,969
  • Jul 24, 2025 11:43pm Jul 24, 2025 11:43pm
Quoting PatienceFx
{image}
thanks for sharing do have 1722/23 on my chart. That was the spike we had last week

buy or sell?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #14,970
  • Jul 24, 2025 11:48pm Jul 24, 2025 11:48pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea if break below 1710 1700 then it should go further south. but look at the bounce yesterday, anything can happen until it plays out. but for now i might try not to buy
What's your H&S target?

Trump was soft on his pal - Powell yesterday and dollar is strong today!
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  • #14,971
  • Jul 24, 2025 11:57pm Jul 24, 2025 11:57pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} What's your H&S target? Trump was soft on his pal - Powell yesterday and dollar is strong today!
i dnt see a h&s at this stage yet
what i would be keen to know is i need 1732 to be cleared (usdx back above 97.60)
and later on if we close the week back above 97.70 i think next week it might go higher.

but nothing is confirmed yet
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #14,972
  • Jul 24, 2025 11:59pm Jul 24, 2025 11:59pm
Federal Reserve Policy Meeting Next Week: The Fed is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged. While markets are pricing in 43 basis points of rate cuts by the end of 2025 (with reductions expected in September and December), the immediate "no change" stance next week removes a potential hawkish surprise for the dollar. Furthermore, the softening stance from President Trump on Fed Chair Powell reduces political uncertainty that might otherwise weigh on the Fed's independence and potentially force a more hawkish tone. The market is giving a 95% chance to the Fed standing pat in July.


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Click to Enlarge Name: 20250725_0753_Trump Meets Powell_simple_compose_01k0zys26dextb4x7tq3xwg6bh.png Size: 710 KB
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  • #14,973
  • Jul 25, 2025 12:04am Jul 25, 2025 12:04am
Quoting johncen
{quote} i dnt see a h&s at this stage yet what i would be keen to know is i need 1732 to be cleared (usdx back above 97.60) and later on if we close the week back above 97.70 i think next week it might go higher. but nothing is confirmed yet
Ok. Will wait too!
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  • #14,974
  • Jul 25, 2025 12:18am Jul 25, 2025 12:18am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Ok. Will wait too!
bull is stubborn but i m reluctant to go long
i could be wrong and wanted to kick my ass later
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #14,975
  • Jul 25, 2025 12:23am Jul 25, 2025 12:23am
Quoting johncen
{quote} bull is stubborn but i m reluctant to go long i could be wrong and wanted to kick my ass later
Too many buyers are long and we are still below 1.1800. Not good!
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  • #14,976
  • Jul 25, 2025 12:28am Jul 25, 2025 12:28am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Too many buyers are long and we are still below 1.1800. Not good!
how do you know too many buyers are long?
  • #14,977
  • Jul 25, 2025 12:30am Jul 25, 2025 12:30am
Option expiries for today!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: FXO 25-07_id_a11555ec-7040-42be-87d7-4e5c7ab7f6fd_original (1).jpg Size: 18 KB
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  • #14,978
  • Jul 25, 2025 12:44am Jul 25, 2025 12:44am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Option expiries for today! {image}
It seems that 1800 could be their target
  • #14,979
  • Jul 25, 2025 1:11am Jul 25, 2025 1:11am
Quoting Cavar
{quote} It seems that 1800 could be their target
I think its higher than the other two at 1745 and 1700. But sure bulls they do. The closest ones have better chances to get hit!

News might help!
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  • #14,980
  • Jul 25, 2025 1:31am Jul 25, 2025 1:31am
Quoting johncen
{quote} bull is stubborn but i m reluctant to go long i could be wrong and wanted to kick my ass later
looks like i m going to kick my ass
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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