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The Swamp

  • #123,981
  • Jul 24, 2025 7:42am Jul 24, 2025 7:42am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Looking for a long if I get a signal starting about 1733 {image}
here we go
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,982
  • Jul 24, 2025 7:53am Jul 24, 2025 7:53am
Quoting johncen
{quote} here we go
I took a smaller one.. it still didnt give a long trigger. i did tp the short. since it dint give a long signal it may drop more
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,983
  • Jul 24, 2025 7:55am Jul 24, 2025 7:55am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I took a smaller one.. it still didnt give a long trigger. i did tp the short. since it dint give a long signal it may drop more
yea the current setup lean towards some further drop. I didnt take the long

if we sliced through next stop 1.171
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,984
  • Jul 24, 2025 8:08am Jul 24, 2025 8:08am
That was a good bounce
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,985
  • Jul 24, 2025 8:14am Jul 24, 2025 8:14am
1670+ before anything
  • #123,986
  • Edited 8:25am Jul 24, 2025 8:15am | Edited 8:25am
sustained above 1759 is probably good for the long. But it may retest 1732/33. The earlier indications are today will continue a "up day".
There is that 70% chance near the highs or a new high will come. Usually a fade higher like yesterday and the day before etc. If Lc closes in the 1759 area, It may reach 1.1800 area..
From here adr is about 1810. Adr has missed the lost few days. We are do for one to balance it.. Since the last few missed. One larger onger one is due. It can go higher just by averages missed
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,987
  • Jul 24, 2025 9:08am Jul 24, 2025 9:08am
Quoting gatorinla
sustained above 1759 is probably good for the long. But it may retest 1732/33. The earlier indications are today will continue a "up day". There is that 70% chance near the highs or a new high will come. Usually a fade higher like yesterday and the day before etc. If Lc closes in the 1759 area, It may reach 1.1800 area.. From here adr is about 1810. Adr has missed the lost few days. We are do for one to balance it.. Since the last few missed. One larger onger one is due. It can go higher just by averages missed
kudos to you Gator!!!
sadly i didnt took the trade
i was watching other pairs and thinking it might go lower
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,988
  • Jul 24, 2025 9:18am Jul 24, 2025 9:18am
Quoting johncen
{quote} kudos to you Gator!!! sadly i didnt took the trade i was watching other pairs and thinking it might go lower
I took the trade because of the structure. I didnt get a long signal until it was at 1745. That dont happen all the time. But in this case it did. The structure favored a up day. The things that looked bearish Friday turned bullish on the day. So i had to go with the structure. I did not get the size I wanted..A trigger would of allowed a larger trade.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,989
  • Jul 24, 2025 9:21am Jul 24, 2025 9:21am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I took the trade because of the structure. I didnt get a long signal until it was at 1745. That dont happen all the time. But in this case it did. The structure favored a up day. The things that looked bearish Friday turned bullish on the day. So i had to go with the structure. I did not get the size I wanted..A trigger would of allowed a larger trade.
i didnt get the buy signal so stayed sideline at the time.
by checking uj and gu, even chfusd i was expecing further drop but eu sets a new high
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,990
  • Jul 24, 2025 9:32am Jul 24, 2025 9:32am
Quoting johncen
{quote} i didnt get the buy signal so stayed sideline at the time. by checking uj and gu, even chfusd i was expecing further drop but eu sets a new high
after this h closes i look for a faded drift rise into asia/early london. Or at least expect it. The mad man is not making the usd look better
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,991
  • Jul 24, 2025 9:37am Jul 24, 2025 9:37am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} after this h closes i look for a faded drift rise into asia/early london. Or at least expect it. The mad man is not making the usd look better
May i ask what is ur target?

hes visiting fed later today.

first time since 2006. That would put fed independence at risk and bearish the dollars
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,992
  • Jul 24, 2025 9:48am Jul 24, 2025 9:48am
Quoting johncen
{quote} May i ask what is ur target? hes visiting fed later today. first time since 2006. That would put fed independence at risk and bearish the dollars
Yeah, he wants to take the news off his trips to Fantasy Island. Target wise I could of tp at 40 pips (that was already met).. But 1810 looks open.. I'm holding still.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,993
  • Jul 24, 2025 9:50am Jul 24, 2025 9:50am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Yeah, he wants to take the news off his trips to Fantasy Island.
i wanted to see a proper retracement in eu given what happened in the first 6 months of the year before 1.2.

well for now no sign this is happening anytime soon
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,994
  • Jul 24, 2025 10:08am Jul 24, 2025 10:08am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 3 KB

If a buy signal comes.. this may be a decent place
175x./176x
That candle looks toppish.. closes 1766+ puts pressure to rise
Below is bulls slipping.. Closes, not just wicks
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,995
  • Jul 24, 2025 10:17am Jul 24, 2025 10:17am
Hello people! I've been reading up on this thread and for some reason I still can't manage to find what you guys trade, is it the USDX??
  • #123,996
  • Jul 24, 2025 10:18am Jul 24, 2025 10:18am
Quoting Cadiz1
Hello people! I've been reading up on this thread and for some reason I still can't manage to find what you guys trade, is it the USDX??
mainly eu
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,997
  • Jul 24, 2025 10:20am Jul 24, 2025 10:20am
Quoting gatorinla
{image} If a buy signal comes.. this may be a decent place 175x./176x That candle looks toppish.. closes 1766+ puts pressure to rise Below is bulls slipping.. Closes, not just wicks
bear will need a strong red candle under 175x to be back otherwise it is too easy for bull just to take back control
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,998
  • Jul 24, 2025 10:31am Jul 24, 2025 10:31am
Quoting johncen
{quote} bear will need a strong red candle under 175x to be back otherwise it is too easy for bull just to take back control
It did give me 40 pips and make a HH..So its already met my normal day expectations. It should continue based on the info I have..1810 + is not out of line. 1810 is just normal adr.
I usually just look for 40 pips
But this has room to double that
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,999
  • Jul 24, 2025 10:41am Jul 24, 2025 10:41am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It did give me 40 pips and make a HH..So its already met my normal day expectations. It should continue based on the info I have..1810 + is not out of line. 1810 is just normal adr. I usually just look for 40 pips But this has room to double that
i am still not so convinced with the up yet. I know is a bull trend but checking movements from other major pairs makes me wonder.

Higher chances that i m just damn wrong that didnt long @ 1733 and later 175x while i have both on my chart.

last two days i have missed buy opportunities as well.

i m out… will check in the morning to see where we land
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,000
  • Jul 24, 2025 10:44am Jul 24, 2025 10:44am
Quoting gatorinla
{image} If a buy signal comes.. this may be a decent place 175x./176x That candle looks toppish.. closes 1766+ puts pressure to rise Below is bulls slipping.. Closes, not just wicks
Above 1766 is the path bulls need. If its closing below 1757. It may be turning less bullish.. it can turn bearish.. watch the candle closes.. It can trade sideways.. The day structure i have is, its bullish. Sometimes things change. if things change those levels will indicate it
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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