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The Swamp

  • #123,841
  • Jul 16, 2025 8:37am Jul 16, 2025 8:37am
it was supposed to do that 2 or 5 hours ago
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,842
  • Jul 16, 2025 8:46am Jul 16, 2025 8:46am
i have short position and it hurts damn but shall i stay in? bcs my call was bearish the next days
  • #123,843
  • Jul 16, 2025 8:47am Jul 16, 2025 8:47am
Quoting selimhan
gatorinla, i know you will not answer me, but is there a chance to tell me, how you came up with the Idea that GBP/USD will rise. I was quite sure that it will drop. I am new in this game and maybe if you just tell me 3-5 aspects or tipps for the future, I would be really gratefull .
animals dont go to fa from the water hole. They have drank now.. Not to far now is about 1557 if pressed hard on a 4h.. 1600 on a 1h. 1720 was was.is in the 1h bull area.. so it may be back to 1660 ish now.. or more like 1600 for a stretch
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,844
  • Jul 16, 2025 9:10am Jul 16, 2025 9:10am
I dont know if its going to be bullish.. 1661 may be some R below it may seek 1600.. 1592. 1661 with a signal above or below may seek 1707.. or 1592
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,845
  • Jul 16, 2025 9:10am Jul 16, 2025 9:10am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} animals dont go to fa from the water hole. They have drank now.. Not to far now is about 1557 if pressed hard on a 4h.. 1600 on a 1h. 1720 was was.is in the 1h bull area.. so it may be back to 1660 ish now.. or more like 1600 for a stretch
160pips in an hour! Crazy move! But ticked almost all your boxes for now haha

so maybe bear can continue south….
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,846
  • Jul 16, 2025 9:16am Jul 16, 2025 9:16am
Quoting johncen
{quote} 160pips in an hour! Crazy move! But ticked almost all your boxes for now haha so maybe bear can continue south….
it may need sideways.. see where it sets up.. a possible range above 1660/1707.. or 1660/1592..they all have gravity so does 1624.. closing below it today should favor down.. But it may be unable to go deeper than 1550ish yet
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,847
  • Jul 16, 2025 9:17am Jul 16, 2025 9:17am
it almost got me.... i will learn from my mistakes. Thats how life goes, every failure is just another step forward to your goal
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  • #123,848
  • Jul 16, 2025 9:20am Jul 16, 2025 9:20am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} it may need sideways.. see where it sets up.. a possible range above 1660/1707.. or 1660/1592..they all have gravity so does 1624.. closing below it today should favor down.. But it may be unable to go deeper than 1550ish yet
Initial thinking is slowing progress from 1570 to 1667 before maybe next leg down. We have done this in an hour i guess we will have to wait for dusts to settle down a bit.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,849
  • Jul 16, 2025 1:34pm Jul 16, 2025 1:34pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} it may need sideways.. see where it sets up.. a possible range above 1660/1707.. or 1660/1592..they all have gravity so does 1624.. closing below it today should favor down.. But it may be unable to go deeper than 1550ish yet
30mins to go i have 1630 as the decision point
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,850
  • Edited 4:22pm Jul 16, 2025 1:57pm | Edited 4:22pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} 30mins to go i have 1630 as the decision point
if you get a sell signal you trust.. Maybe s 1658 to 1592.. from 1592 it may want l 1658.. Some of this will change.. i dont have a signal. be careful because 1707 has pull too. But pa has been there. It may not need to return
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,851
  • Jul 16, 2025 2:08pm Jul 16, 2025 2:08pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if you get a sell signal you trust.. Maybe s 1658 to 1582.. from 1598 it may want l 1658.. Some of this will change.. i dont have a signal. be careful because 1707 has pull too. But pa has been there. It may not need to return
thank you Gator for the levels, after what happened yesterday it does changed some of my views. Not that we didnt expect this to happen (we talked about 1727 1757 a number of times over the last couple of days and potential spikes and down) just the bounce from 1550-80 levels proven this April high has now turned into a strong support which may take a while to break through (if the direction is towards south)

so there will be a bit of range tradings, fake breakout that I expect to see this week and next week i guess.

q3 i do have some aggressive bear targets (maybe the untouched 1.08? - its too far for now) but have to take it step by step.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,852
  • Jul 17, 2025 12:03am Jul 17, 2025 12:03am
1591-92 and i am ready to keep it sliding down more
  • #123,853
  • Jul 17, 2025 2:13am Jul 17, 2025 2:13am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if you get a sell signal you trust.. Maybe s 1658 to 1592.. from 1592 it may want l 1658.. Some of this will change.. i dont have a signal. be careful because 1707 has pull too. But pa has been there. It may not need to return
bear momentum appeared to be strong!
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,854
  • Edited 3:04am Jul 17, 2025 2:48am | Edited 3:04am
Quoting johncen
{quote} thank you Gator for the levels, after what happened yesterday it does changed some of my views. Not that we didnt expect this to happen (we talked about 1727 1757 a number of times over the last couple of days and potential spikes and down) just the bounce from 1550-80 levels proven this April high has now turned into a strong support which may take a while to break through (if the direction is towards south) so there will be a bit of range tradings, fake breakout that I expect to see this week and next week i guess. q3 i do have some aggressive...
Its unlikely to drop more than 150 pips from 1707 (1557 area may bounce).. Atm 1625/27 may pull it up.. So may 1651/52. 1651/53 area may have some R. But careful with the pulls to 1707..
Its probably bearish below 0607... It may have R there. between 1607/1651 more neutral.. Sustained above 1653 may be bullish and pulled to 1707
I placed pending shorts 1651.. but it may not be reached
If a long signal comes in the 1557 area.. it may end up near 1650
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,855
  • Edited 6:26am Jul 17, 2025 6:07am | Edited 6:26am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Its unlikely to drop more than 150 pips from 1707 (1557 area may bounce).. Atm 1625/27 may pull it up.. So may 1651/52. 1651/53 area may have some R. But careful with the pulls to 1707.. Its probably bearish below 0607... It may have R there. between 1607/1651 more neutral.. Sustained above 1653 may be bullish and pulled to 1707 I placed pending shorts 1651.. but it may not be reached If a long signal comes in the 1557 area.. it may end up near 1650
it hit the 1557 area.. possible short may come 1647. 1620/25 now has some lighter R.. more so 1625. I thought 1620 would have gotten a visit.. Anywhere in this area. 1647 is due for a visit. It has it and some R in this 1647/51 area.. Just be careful it may take 1707 too. I play the 1647/53 area.. I look for weakness. Its best for me to have a LC 1603 ish.. I dont know where it will be.. Pa will need to get above 1601 and 07.. These can resist still too.. These may stop 1625/20.. But not usually.. 1625 and most days is about a 65% chance. It may open 1647/53.. Maybe during Asia or early London.. But in reality 1647 is already overextended in time. It can run to 1647 dynamic,, (1651 solid) any time now.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,856
  • Jul 17, 2025 6:10am Jul 17, 2025 6:10am
I like that 1557 area, but anything below 1602 is a STRONG sell
  • #123,857
  • Jul 17, 2025 6:24am Jul 17, 2025 6:24am
If long from earlier,, you may want to consider a 164x tp for what you got left
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,858
  • Jul 17, 2025 7:38am Jul 17, 2025 7:38am
Quoting FxguruNJ
I like that 1557 area, but anything below 1602 is a STRONG sell
maybe.. The attraction to 1707 remains.. That ship has not turned that. Its rope let out is about 150 pips.. You gotta break the rope.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,859
  • Jul 17, 2025 8:17am Jul 17, 2025 8:17am
Quoting FxguruNJ
I like that 1557 area, but anything below 1602 is a STRONG sell
1601 should be 1587now.. Some R 1618...43/53.. 1601 lost some shine.. If it starts closing above 1587 om the 30 min 1h.. It has a shot at 1618 r... above it 1643/53.. In Asia or early London most often.. PA did reach 1557, so it could go for 1707..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,860
  • Jul 17, 2025 9:00am Jul 17, 2025 9:00am
Yes 601 triggered SEll finally,if we dont close above it then i will keep it
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