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  • #14,621
  • Jul 16, 2025 7:42am Jul 16, 2025 7:42am
Maybe a DB and a bounce if above 1.15577
  • #14,622
  • Jul 16, 2025 7:54am Jul 16, 2025 7:54am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
EURUSD looks dead. Only selling mode. Going to 1.1400/50
1.157 has been the top in April and key resistance area so i expect some reactions here! But 1.1450 is critical.

if we go there with no stop. Maybe a h&s forming on daily level?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #14,623
  • Jul 16, 2025 7:58am Jul 16, 2025 7:58am
Quoting johncen
{quote} 1.157 has been the top in April and key resistance area so i expect some reactions here! But 1.1450 is critical. if we go there with no stop. Maybe a h&s forming on daily level?
as we speak, news is pushing eu to bounce off key support level!

imagine if Powell is fired, usd will suffer badly
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #14,624
  • Jul 16, 2025 7:58am Jul 16, 2025 7:58am
Quoting fleps
{quote} Where have I heard such....shouts before?
Can't remember! Where?
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  • #14,625
  • Jul 16, 2025 7:59am Jul 16, 2025 7:59am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Can't remember! Where?
When it was 1.15....many were shouting that. When it was near parity, people were saying Euro is doomed...

Also, boom, spike up.
Lawmakers say Trump indicated he will fire Fed Chair Powell: CBS
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  • #14,626
  • Jul 16, 2025 7:59am Jul 16, 2025 7:59am
Quoting johncen
{quote} 1.157 has been the top in April and key resistance area so i expect some reactions here! But 1.1450 is critical. if we go there with no stop. Maybe a h&s forming on daily level?
Looks possible after ignoring us news for dollar safe heaven!
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  • #14,627
  • Jul 16, 2025 8:00am Jul 16, 2025 8:00am
Bkout point a possible re-test if <1.1605
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  • #14,628
  • Jul 16, 2025 8:00am Jul 16, 2025 8:00am
Quoting fleps
{quote} When it was 1.15....many were shouting that. When it was near parity, people were saying Euro is doomed... Also, boom, spike up. Lawmakers say Trump indicated he will fire Fed Chair Powell: CBS
He cant fire Powell! Also this is still a downtrend - correction.
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  • #14,629
  • Jul 16, 2025 8:03am Jul 16, 2025 8:03am
10 Year <4.45% testing 4.438% again
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  • #14,630
  • Jul 16, 2025 8:14am Jul 16, 2025 8:14am
We'll have eu in ranging mode if it beats 1.1628 resistance, but 1.1700 will cap - daily downward trendline and weekly high.

Below resistance sell!
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  • #14,631
  • Jul 16, 2025 8:28am Jul 16, 2025 8:28am
That's my view now. Also I thing that Trump is only making noise to devalue the dollar, so dollar is strong. But political uncertainty in US might help EU after all.

Going to techs:
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  • #14,632
  • Jul 16, 2025 8:57am Jul 16, 2025 8:57am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
That's my view now. Also I thing that Trump is only making noise to devalue the dollar, so dollar is strong. But political uncertainty in US might help EU after all. Going to techs: {image}
such a crazy hourly candle with 160 pips range
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #14,633
  • Jul 16, 2025 9:05am Jul 16, 2025 9:05am
Quoting johncen
{quote} such a crazy hourly candle with 160 pips range
Yes! We needed that bounce up but taking profits is best now, who knows what Trump might say next!

Have a great rest of the day!
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  • #14,634
  • Jul 16, 2025 9:09am Jul 16, 2025 9:09am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Yes! We needed that bounce up but taking profits is best now, who knows what Trump might say next! Have a great rest of the day!
its bigger range than the whole week last week!

crazy! Trump cannot and will not be able to afford the impact of firing Powell….

I was expecting a rise just not like this… so manipulated
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #14,635
  • Jul 16, 2025 9:15am Jul 16, 2025 9:15am
That's what I love, a market that gives n re gives but it will take so don't be greedy Thought about long but didn't expect it to go back that high
It is what it is
  • #14,636
  • Jul 16, 2025 10:15am Jul 16, 2025 10:15am
Quoting SmartMoneyOg
That's what I love, a market that gives n re gives but it will take so don't be greedy Thought about long but didn't expect it to go back that high
you'd have to be Trump to expe...know it would go that high
  • #14,637
  • Jul 16, 2025 12:49pm Jul 16, 2025 12:49pm
Range
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  • #14,638
  • Jul 16, 2025 8:40pm Jul 16, 2025 8:40pm
The EUR/USD is trading just above 1.1600 after the extreme volatility that pushed it above 1.1700 yesterday. For now, I expect 1.1600/10 to hold, and bulls to try to reach or surpass the 1.1642 and 1.1658 resistance levels towards the 1.1700/21 high. However, a failure below the support zone will open yesterday's low of 1.1562, with the risk of it breaking and heading lower to 1.1544 or 1.1516.

Have a great day!


Daily volatility (range) 62 pips

Option expiries for Thursday: 1.1280 (EU1.75b), 1.1500 (EU1.56b), 1.1700 (EU1.39b) source: financialjuice.com

Significant news - US Initial Jobless Claims & US Initial Jobless Claims

4H
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  • #14,639
  • Jul 16, 2025 8:42pm Jul 16, 2025 8:42pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} its bigger range than the whole week last week! crazy! Trump cannot and will not be able to afford the impact of firing Powell…. I was expecting a rise just not like this… so manipulated
Was so easy to predict it will drop. Trump when he is angry!
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  • #14,640
  • Jul 16, 2025 9:28pm Jul 16, 2025 9:28pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
The EUR/USD is trading just above 1.1600 after the extreme volatility that pushed it above 1.1700 yesterday. For now, I expect 1.1600/10 to hold, and bulls to try to reach or surpass the 1.1642 and 1.1658 resistance levels towards the 1.1700/21 high. However, a failure below the support zone will open yesterday's low of 1.1562, with the risk of it breaking and heading lower to 1.1544 or 1.1516. Have a great day! Daily volatility (range) 62 pips Option expiries for Thursday: 1.1280 (EU1.75b), 1.1500 (EU1.56b),...
i expect some more range trading and will be keen to see how the week closed
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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