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The Swamp

  • #123,801
  • Edited 10:13am Jul 14, 2025 10:02am | Edited 10:13am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} hopefully you made the most of it
did tp some near 1690

hmmmm pa looks bearish. I m not sure if i should try scalp long again at this level

we might not get 172x 175x
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,802
  • Jul 14, 2025 8:55pm Jul 14, 2025 8:55pm
stilll holding my eurousd longs....just a pullback in a uptrend
  • #123,803
  • Jul 14, 2025 9:48pm Jul 14, 2025 9:48pm
Quoting gatorinla
It made a LL.. it took some weak longs out.. Now it takes the weak shorts out is my theory.. 1756 would do some damage to shorts.. Followed by a down move to catch the weak late longs.. And we got a ball game 40 50 60ish pips on either side of 168x/9x I'm looking to catch 40 pips toward it if it looks overbought or oversold weak. 1756 is about right
still the same view and plan Gator?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,804
  • Jul 15, 2025 4:28am Jul 15, 2025 4:28am
Quoting johncen
{quote} still the same view and plan Gator?
It's at that point.. it can go either way. Last week.. I thought it needed that spike to 1756 before falling.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,805
  • Jul 15, 2025 6:00am Jul 15, 2025 6:00am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It's at that point.. it can go either way. Last week.. I thought it needed that spike to 1756 before falling.
i guess 1756 is still possible…. Pa remain stuck and not sure where to go

with that slightly mixed cpi figures… still higher comparing to last month which should supports the dollars
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,806
  • Jul 15, 2025 6:38am Jul 15, 2025 6:38am
Quoting johncen
{quote} i guess 1756 is still possible…. Pa remain stuck and not sure where to go with that slightly mixed cpi figures… still higher comparing to last month which should supports the dollars
it tried several times.. If it cant it falls..
Timing wise this will suck.. I only have an hour +.. But if it gets exhausted now even with this new low.. it may be going back to 168x/9x again. It would need to be fast. That dont look like it will happen.. That was the place to aim for all this week and late last week.. It may be stale now..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,807
  • Jul 15, 2025 7:01am Jul 15, 2025 7:01am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} it tried several times.. If it cant it falls.. Timing wise this will suck.. I only have an hour +.. But if it gets exhausted now even with this new low.. it may be going back to 168x/9x again. It would need to be fast. That dont look like it will happen.. That was the place to aim for all this week and late last week.. It may be stale now..
with the current momentum i m reluctant to go against bear. But yea we have been wauting for this level since last week. It has a chance of bringing 168x before next leg down
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,808
  • Jul 15, 2025 7:44am Jul 15, 2025 7:44am
I thought last week it would go to 1756, before 1604.. It's getting close to hitting 1604. It could still run back..It didnt ring the bell. If it hits 1604 now.. that would void the algo. the low now is 1615. If I get a exhaustion signal. I will take it
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,809
  • Jul 15, 2025 8:08am Jul 15, 2025 8:08am
Quoting johncen
{quote} with the current momentum i m reluctant to go against bear. But yea we have been wauting for this level since last week. It has a chance of bringing 168x before next leg down
Its overstretched to me atm. Not severely, but moderately overstretched. I can see 40 to 85 pips in a bounce if a signal would come. I thought before 1604.. it would bounce. That inflation news is pro usd with higher rates. If the 15 30 60 close above 1619.. it may shift up those 40.. I dont have a signal to long atm.. Just some decent stretch.. London closed.. lets see what NY produces
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,810
  • Jul 15, 2025 8:44am Jul 15, 2025 8:44am
it met the goal.. Lets see if it relaxes now 1604 was met.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,811
  • Jul 15, 2025 8:58am Jul 15, 2025 8:58am
1622 is likely safe to say it will hit. It may be attracted to 1675/98 too. once 40 pips above 1622.. its more neutral.. But it may hit both.. The further above (40+) 1622 may be a short.. Some range may be in the 1698/22 area tonight. unless it breaks a hole in the floor now.. I have it as overextended and reached a target. That usually means short profits were taken. and that causes a rise. I dont want to steer anyone wrong.. if you show exhaustion it will likely bounce.. some attraction likely 1660/98
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,812
  • Jul 15, 2025 9:18am Jul 15, 2025 9:18am
Don't take above the wrong way.. You need to have a trigger.. or its flat bearish and maybe just resting.. A close above 1623 to start..
1622 was the gold ticket.. It also can keep it down
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,813
  • Jul 15, 2025 9:28am Jul 15, 2025 9:28am
It looked promising, but never took 1622..No triggers for me yet.. if it gives a signal 40 pips below wake me.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,814
  • Jul 15, 2025 6:53pm Jul 15, 2025 6:53pm
If it makes it to the blue box, it may be a potential short
1618 has a lighter R value
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,815
  • Jul 15, 2025 9:20pm Jul 15, 2025 9:20pm
Quoting gatorinla
If it makes it to the blue box, it may be a potential short 1618 has a lighter R value {image}
i have 1630 in between and 1640
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,816
  • Jul 15, 2025 11:09pm Jul 15, 2025 11:09pm
Quoting gatorinla
If it makes it to the blue box, it may be a potential short 1618 has a lighter R value {image}
that 12h close above 1618, was helpful to rise. Or at least it closed above the resistance there
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,817
  • Jul 15, 2025 11:25pm Jul 15, 2025 11:25pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} that 12h close above 1618, was helpful to rise. Or at least it closed above the resistance there
i have long from 1595 and my buy limit 1630 was triggered (under water)

A rise would help but i would like to see 1550-1580

would be even better to see 1450 next week if ok.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,818
  • Jul 15, 2025 11:42pm Jul 15, 2025 11:42pm
1620 18 may be a little spongy.. But they still me be support now.. pa has increased the odds of the blue box.. In any rise in the area nearer 1700 +- 30 pips or so. If it should drop back below 1590 and hold the week close that may be the drop. Right now the odds can allow near 1700.. A break above 1750 with a week close may bring bulls back.
My plan is to short near 1700.. I will look for exhaustion. In the blue box area.. Tp my longs somewhere up there, and short..
I may get scared and close earlier.. But as for now.. I will try to hold into 167x and ride a short back to 1618 later today.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,819
  • Jul 16, 2025 12:14am Jul 16, 2025 12:14am
Quoting johncen
{quote} i have long from 1595 and my buy limit 1630 was triggered (under water) A rise would help but i would like to see 1550-1580 would be even better to see 1450 next week if ok.
I'm not the pip police..My short term stuff favors 1675/1707. But I dont want it to sustain above 1668 with closes if that makes sense. I want a rejection with a new LC close below 1618 if possible today.. If I get a short signal in that area, I will take it 166x/1707..If there is enough time to target 1618x.. Ideally for me is 1686/87 with a fall after. 12 minutes into this hour and its not looking promising. But as long as 1620/18 supports. Its ok..
Day R should began 1668+
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,820
  • Jul 16, 2025 12:20am Jul 16, 2025 12:20am
It may be proven a "bad plan " later, but its "my plan" now.
1668 has some R value.. Its below the attraction. So it may be unable to make it to the attraction.. In there somewhere 1668/86.. might be tough
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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