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(binned per thread starter’s request) reversionX: A Rule-Based

  • #621
  • Jul 9, 2025 7:23am Jul 9, 2025 7:23am
Loss on GBPCAD.
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  • #622
  • Edited 2:01pm Jul 9, 2025 7:55am | Edited 2:01pm
Hi everyone, hope you're all having a good journey!

It looks like today has brought a large number of A+ setups on the M15 timeframe. Some occurred during the London session, while others formed during the Asian session but remained valid — or price returned to the entry zones — after the London open, making them still tradable.

Due to the high number and frequency of setups today, I’ve had to add two extra filters to the system, as it was simply too much to manage efficiently.
So far, these filters seem to be working quite well.

Once all trades are closed and I can draw some clearer conclusions. If Rishee agrees, I’ll share the filters later on, once I’ve tested them over a larger number of trades.

For now, it’s time to wait and see how all the trades play out — and there are quite a few!
  • #623
  • Jul 9, 2025 8:06am Jul 9, 2025 8:06am
Quoting rishee
Nice setup.. let's see how it plays out {image}
Perfect trade .. tp hit
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There is no holy grail in trading – only discipline, consistency and edge.
  • #624
  • Jul 9, 2025 8:07am Jul 9, 2025 8:07am
Quoting InFaMouZz96
Hi everyone, hope you're all having a good journey! It looks like today has brought a large number of A+ setups on the M15 timeframe. Some occurred during the London session, while others formed during the Asian session but remained valid — or price returned to the entry zones — after the London open, making them still tradable. Due to the high number and frequency of setups today, I’ve had to add two extra filters to the system, as it was simply too much to manage efficiently. So far, these filters seem to be working quite well. Once all trades...
I don't mind at all if you tweak or adapt the system, and you're absolutely welcome to share how you manage trades or apply additional filters — that's how we all grow. Just one small note of caution:

Before introducing new filters or drawing conclusions, make sure you’re basing them on enough data. Two trades? Even 10? That’s just noise — like flipping a coin five times and getting heads, then assuming it’ll always land heads. It’s tempting to trust early results, especially on busy days, but real edge shows up over dozens — even hundreds — of trades. So if the filters continue holding up over time, absolutely share them. But let’s just be mindful of sample size

Looking forward to seeing how today’s trades unfold!
There is no holy grail in trading – only discipline, consistency and edge.
  • #625
  • Edited 1:53pm Jul 9, 2025 9:07am | Edited 1:53pm
Quoting rishee
{quote} I don't mind at all if you tweak or adapt the system, and you're absolutely welcome to share how you manage trades or apply additional filters — that's how we all grow. Just one small note of caution: Before introducing new filters or drawing conclusions, make sure you’re basing them on enough data. Two trades? Even 10? That’s just noise — like flipping a coin five times and getting heads, then assuming it’ll always land heads. It’s tempting to trust early results, especially on busy days, but real edge shows up over dozens — even hundreds...
You're absolutely right. That said, these aren’t random filters — each of them has a specific logic behind it.
But until there’s a significant sample of trades that confirms whether they complement this system well, anything I say now is just noise on paper.

Filter #1: I tested this one during my initial backtest of the reversionX system, from July 1, 2023 to July 1, 2025 (2 years).

Across most FX pairs, it increased the win rate by approximately 5% to 10%, although at the cost of a bit more reduced trade frequency.

Filter #2: This one I’ve used for a long time and still apply in my personal trading strategy.

It has always been key in helping me decide whether or not to take trades in the suggested direction, and has historically increased the win rate of my own system by around 10% to 15% on average.

Today, I had to rely on it to filter out trades due to the high number of signals and the simple inability to take them all.

These aren’t major changes — just two very simple additional confirmations that I believe might work well with this system.

As the saying goes: “strength lies in unity.” But as with everything in life, there's always a dual side — so it's also possible they won’t help at all.

Additionally, I’ve reviewed all the other trades that occurred earlier this week, and the filters have performed remarkably well.

In every single losing trade I’ve taken this week, the filters would have invalidated the entry.
And in every winning trade, the additional filters actually confirmed the setup.

For now, the only thing to do is wait, monitor, and keep collecting data.

I sincerely hope they prove to be compatible with this strategy.

They don’t change the strategy itself or how it’s executed — they simply act as two optional filters aimed at improving the win rate, especially for those who prioritize peace of mind over frequency.
  • #626
  • Jul 9, 2025 9:14am Jul 9, 2025 9:14am
Another valid setup .. lets see how it plays out
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There is no holy grail in trading – only discipline, consistency and edge.
  • #627
  • Jul 9, 2025 9:49am Jul 9, 2025 9:49am
1. -1R. Liked the setup. Price had retraced to yesterday's highs and there was also a buy signal on 15m. However confirmation came 10 candles after the 5m signal so maybe one that I could've passed on.
2. Missed this trade but potentially ~1.2R for anyone who took it.
3. +2R. Clean setup, didn't get filled at the nicest price but a good trade still.
4. -0.16R. Was still in trade 3 at this stage so couldn't take my normal risk position with available margin on the account. (Amount risked was ~25% of usual amount).
5. -0.5R. Exited this trade early, didn't get filled at the best price so my usual risk amount didn't allow for setting S.L above the recent highs. Then decided to exit early when price moved to the upside. Would've been stopped out for -1R with where my risk allowed for. Ideally with a better fill and S.L above recent highs, I would still be in this trade.

Overall: +0.34R
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  • #628
  • Jul 9, 2025 9:51am Jul 9, 2025 9:51am
Missed this awesome trade..
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There is no holy grail in trading – only discipline, consistency and edge.
  • #629
  • Jul 9, 2025 10:21am Jul 9, 2025 10:21am
Quoting InFaMouZz96
{quote} You're absolutely right. That said, these aren’t random filters — each of them has a specific logic behind it. But until there’s a significant sample of trades that confirms whether they complement this system well, anything I say now is just noise on paper. Filter #1: I tested this one during my initial backtest of the reversionX system, from July 1, 2023 to July 1, 2025 (2 years). Across most FX pairs, it increased the win rate by approximately 5% to 10%, although at the cost of a bit more reduced trade frequency....

Definitely worth tracking how these filters perform. Over time see how many losing trades could've been avoided, but also how many winning trades that you would've missed out on and make the determination further down the line and share it here.

I've been tracking a couple of things but feel its too early yet to decide whether I add them to my criteria when taking a trade.
  • #630
  • Jul 9, 2025 1:49pm Jul 9, 2025 1:49pm
Today has been a very busy day, with a high volume of valid M15 setups across the 28 major and minor FX pairs.

During my session, I identified 13 valid setups under what I would consider “ideal conditions.” However, it was simply not feasible to take them all, so I had to introduce two personal filters so that help me manage the flow of trades. These do not modify the strategy in any way, but they helped narrow things down by invalidating 5 of the setups, leaving me with a total of 8 trades (7 initial entries and 1 re-entry).

Once all trades are closed — including the ones invalidated by the filters — I’ll publish the results.

These filters have also shown good results in backtesting, as well as in the trades I’ve taken so far this week. However, until I test them firsthand over a significant sample of real trades, all I can say is that I might have spotted something potentially promising, but still merely probable.

That said, this is nothing more than an observation at this point — it’s by no means a guarantee of anything.

Before drawing any solid conclusions or suggesting anything with confidence, I’d like to build a real-time log of at least 200 trades to properly evaluate how these filters perform alongside the strategy.
  • #631
  • Jul 9, 2025 1:59pm Jul 9, 2025 1:59pm
Quoting InFaMouZz96
Today has been a very busy day, with a high volume of valid M15 setups across the 28 major and minor FX pairs. During my session, I identified 13 valid setups under what I would consider “ideal conditions.” However, it was simply not feasible to take them all, so I had to introduce two personal filters so that help me manage the flow of trades. These do not modify the strategy in any way, but they helped narrow things down by invalidating 5 of the setups, leaving me with a total of 8 trades (7 initial entries and 1 re-entry). Once all trades are...

Sounds great — really appreciate the detailed breakdown. If you don’t mind sharing the filters you’re currently experimenting with, I think it could be valuable for the community. Even if they're still in the testing phase, having more traders apply them across different sessions and pairs could help speed up the feedback loop. We’d all benefit from a broader sample size — especially since everyone here tends to trade slightly different timeframes, sessions, and instruments anyway.
Of course, no pressure — totally up to you. But either way, looking forward to seeing how your results develop!
There is no holy grail in trading – only discipline, consistency and edge.
  • #632
  • Jul 9, 2025 2:01pm Jul 9, 2025 2:01pm
Quick update:

I’ve started testing the 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes — which, to be honest, I never really explored before. But so far, the results have been surprisingly strong.
Some of the setups are playing out incredibly clean, with more breathing room and less noise compared to the lower timeframes. Still early days, but definitely promising.

Let’s see how it goes — I’ll keep logging and share more as the sample builds.
There is no holy grail in trading – only discipline, consistency and edge.
  • #633
  • Jul 9, 2025 7:40pm Jul 9, 2025 7:40pm
Valid setup, let's see how it goes....

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There is no holy grail in trading – only discipline, consistency and edge.
  • #634
  • Jul 9, 2025 9:33pm Jul 9, 2025 9:33pm
Quoting rishee
Valid setup, let's see how it goes.... {image}
stop to breakeven…
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There is no holy grail in trading – only discipline, consistency and edge.
  • #635
  • Jul 9, 2025 10:35pm Jul 9, 2025 10:35pm
Quoting rishee
{quote} stop to breakeven… {image}
price tapped daily open .. better to exit

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There is no holy grail in trading – only discipline, consistency and edge.
  • #636
  • Jul 10, 2025 3:12am Jul 10, 2025 3:12am
Good morning guys.

Due to the high number of setups and trades this week — and the fact that many of them are closing at different times — it’s been a bit challenging for me to keep track of all the data while actively trading.

To draw slightly more structured (though still preliminary) conclusions, I’ll try to update the results for several pairs once the week is over.

Wishing you all a great session today.
  • #637
  • Jul 10, 2025 8:12am Jul 10, 2025 8:12am
Quoting InFaMouZz96
Good morning guys. Due to the high number of setups and trades this week — and the fact that many of them are closing at different times — it’s been a bit challenging for me to keep track of all the data while actively trading. To draw slightly more structured (though still preliminary) conclusions, I’ll try to update the results for several pairs once the week is over. Wishing you all a great session today.
Looking forward to it .....
There is no holy grail in trading – only discipline, consistency and edge.
  • #638
  • Edited 9:56am Jul 10, 2025 9:28am | Edited 9:56am
Today, the filters I’ve been using throughout the week completely ruined the strategy, to be honest.

Just as I said they had worked well all week up until yesterday, I also have to say that today they invalidated all the winning setups and validated all the losing ones.

So perhaps testing them live wasn’t as good an idea as I initially thought.

From my side, after what happened today, I’ll go back to sticking to the original strategy without any modifications. When I have time, I’ll continue backtesting these additional filters across different pairs, but until I get solid results, I think it’s best to treat this simply as an anecdote and refocus on what really matters — trading the strategy as it was originally developed.

Apologies if my posts created any false expectations for anyone.

As Rishee wisely reminded me, sometimes when a few trades align with certain conditions or filters — without enough proper validation — we tend to get excited over something that lacks a solid foundation.

And well… today is a clear example of that.

That said, I’ll still put together a recap tonight of all the trades I’ve tracked so far — along with a breakdown of the difference in results between using the filters vs. not using them.
  • #639
  • Jul 10, 2025 10:28am Jul 10, 2025 10:28am
1. -1R. Solid setup, price had taken out weekly highs and was showing signs of reversing. Stop got taken out before price eventually moved in our direction.
2. -1R. Probably should have been skipped, was late on entry so waited on a breakout candle and then entered so my entry was 11 candles after the initial signal.
3. Open Trade. Solid setup on the 15m timeframe, aligning with daily lows acting as support.

Overall: -3R/Breakeven depending on how final trade goes.

Feeling more comfortable again following last week's disaster, trying to be as patient and disciplined as I can as there's definitely the basis of a good strategy here - all about fine tuning and refining it now to a way that suits my trading.

Also this week I've started paying more attention to the 15m tf as I feel as if I pay too much attention to individual candles and price action on the 5m charts, and I think a higher tf will help eliminate some of that noise.
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  • #640
  • Jul 10, 2025 10:56am Jul 10, 2025 10:56am
Hello,
Thanks for sharing your indicator, I'm still looking into it, so nothing to share as of now. Just on the setting I see it little different. I'm using it on default but it looks different for me (bunch of arrows appear instead of one). I will be testing it together with Nova indicator. https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/1311538-nova-volume-trading-system

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