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Daily AUDUSD Technical Analysis & Trading Signals (July 06)

Analysis: The dashboard indicates a strong SELL bias across most indicators on the H4 timeframe. Moving Averages (MA), MACD, Stochastic, and RSI all signal SELL, with MA showing a 67% sell strength. ADX suggests a Weak SELL, while CCI is Oversold, hinting at a potential reversal or exhaustion of the selling pressure.

Overall, the combined analysis across M5, M30, and H1 timeframes points to a Strong SELL (40%). This reinforces the bearish sentiment observed on the H4 chart, suggesting a consistent downward momentum across shorter to medium timeframes.

The market is currently in a Weak Trend with Medium Volatility. The Smart Money Concept (SMC) structure shows a Bullish (BOS), indicating a break of structure to the upside, and the price is currently Waiting for Pullback. This suggests that despite the short-term bearish indicators, the underlying structure is bullish, and a pullback is anticipated before a potential continuation of the bullish move.

The nearest Resistance zone is identified between 0.6688 - 0.6664, and the nearest Support zone is 0.6401 - 0.6373. Given the Bullish (BOS) and the "Waiting for Pullback" state, the current market situation suggests that the price might retrace towards the Demand zone of 0.6495 - 0.6447 (Buy Entry Zone) before potentially resuming its bullish trajectory. The probable directional bias, considering the SMC structure, leans towards a BUY after a pullback, despite the current strong sell signals from traditional indicators.

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Daily Gold Technical Analysis & Trading Signals (July 07)

Analysis: The H4 Dashboard indicates a Very Strong SELL signal (100%) from Moving Averages, complemented by SELL signals from MACD, Stochastic, and RSI. ADX shows a Weak SELL, while CCI is Oversold, suggesting potential for a bounce or exhaustion of the selling pressure.

The "Overall" analysis, averaging M5, M30, and H1 timeframes across six indicators, also points to a SELL signal, albeit with a lower conviction of 20%. This suggests that while the higher timeframe (H4) is strongly bearish, shorter timeframes might be showing mixed or less aggressive selling.

Current market conditions are categorized as a Weak Trend, with Medium Volatility. This implies that while there's a bearish bias, the trend lacks significant momentum, and price movements are moderately active.

The Smart Money Concept (SMC) analysis shows an Undefined Structure and an unstated "State." However, the "Supply" has been Mitigated (Wick), indicating that a previous supply zone has been tested or partially cleared. The nearest "Demand" zone is identified between 3251.98 - 3154.45. Given the Very Strong SELL from the H4 dashboard and the mitigated supply, price is likely to continue its descent towards the identified Demand zone.

This movement towards demand could present a BUY setup if the demand zone holds, as it would indicate a potential reversal or strong support. The nearest Resistance is at 3395.15 - 3366.43 (546 pips), and Support is at 3273.76 - 3246.73 (380 pips). The current price action suggests a continuation towards the Support zone, which aligns with the identified Demand area in the SMC analysis, reinforcing the potential for a BUY opportunity upon reaching that level.

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Daily EURCAD Technical Analysis & Trading Signals (July 08)

Analysis: The H4 dashboard indicates a Very Strong BUY (100%) signal from the Moving Averages. Other indicators like MACD, Stochastic, RSI, and CCI also show a BUY signal, while ADX suggests a Weak BUY.

The "Overall" analysis, considering M5, M30, and H1 timeframes, points to a Very Strong BUY (50%), reinforcing the bullish sentiment across shorter timeframes.
Current market conditions are characterized by a Weak Trend, with Medium Volatility. This suggests that while there's a bullish bias, the trend lacks significant momentum, and price movements are not excessively volatile.

From a Smart Money Concept (SMC) perspective, the Structure is Bullish (BOS - Break of Structure), but the State is "Waiting Pullback." This implies that while the underlying trend is upward, a retracement is anticipated before the next leg up. The nearest Supply zone is identified between 1.6150 - 1.6055, and the Demand zone is 1.5787 - 1.5669. The nearest Support zone is at 1.5394 - 1.5321 (641 pips), with no immediate Resistance indicated. Given the Bullish Structure and the "Waiting Pullback" state, the price is likely to retrace towards the Demand zone (1.5787 - 1.5669) or the Support zone (1.5394 - 1.5321) before potentially resuming its upward movement. This pullback could present a BUY setup if the price finds strong support within these zones. Traders should monitor for signs of bullish reversal in these areas for potential long entries.

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Daily Gold Technical Analysis & Trading Signals (July 08)

Analysis: The dashboard's Standard Indicator Analysis for the current H1 timeframe shows a strong bearish bias. The MA indicates a Strong SELL (83%), implying price is below five of the six moving averages. Both RSI and CCI are also signaling SELL. While MACD indicates SELL, Stochastic shows BUY, suggesting a potential short-term counter-trend move. ADX points to a Weak SELL, indicating that while the trend is bearish, its strength is not robust.

The Overall dashboard signal, which synthesizes analysis across M5, M30, and H1 timeframes, is a SELL (27%). This suggests a general bearish sentiment across multiple timeframes, although the lower percentage indicates less conviction than a "Strong SELL."

Regarding Market Conditions, the dashboard identifies a Weak Trend, aligning with the ADX reading. This implies the current bearish move lacks significant momentum and could be prone to consolidation or reversal. Volatility is assessed as Medium, indicating normal price movement without extreme fluctuations.

The Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Engine indicates a Bearish (BOS) Structure, confirming the prevailing downtrend. The State is Waiting Pullback, signifying that after the bearish move, the engine anticipates a return to a high-probability zone for potential further selling opportunities. A Supply zone is identified between 3339.29 - 3332.59, suggesting this area could act as resistance if price pulls back. Conversely, no high-probability Demand zone is currently in play.

The nearest Resistance is found between 3345.65 - 3337.87 with 100% quality, and Support is at 3277.81 - 3274.45 also with 100% quality. Given the Bearish (BOS) structure and the Waiting Pullback state, the price is likely to retrace upwards towards the identified Supply zone at 3339.29 - 3332.59. This retracement, if it occurs, would align with the Stochastic BUY signal. Upon reaching this Supply zone, especially considering its proximity to the Resistance zone, we could expect sellers to step in, leading to a potential SELL setup and continuation of the bearish trend towards the Support at 3277.81 - 3274.45.

The Fibo Swing suggests a Retracement to the Golden Pocket (SMC Confluence) at 3265.55, 3238.29, further reinforcing potential downside targets if the bearish trend continues. The EW Phase shows No Clear Impulse, indicating the absence of a distinct 5-wave pattern at this time.

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Daily EURUSD Technical Analysis & Trading Signals (July 09)

Forecast: For EURUSD, the dashboard indicates a "Liquidity Sweep Reversal!" via the Smart Money Concepts engine, signifying a high-priority reversal signal. This means price initially faked out traders by sweeping old highs/lows, then reversed forcefully.

Looking ahead, the Predictive Analysis Engine shows a "Golden Pocket (SR+SMC Conf.)" for retracement, aligning the 50-61.8% Fibonacci zone with both strong Support/Resistance and high-probability SMC zones, suggesting a powerful reversal area. The Elliott Wave Phase is "A-B-C Correction Expected," forecasting a 3-wave correction after a completed 5-wave impulse. This implies current price action is likely a corrective move, potentially targeting the confirmed Golden Pocket before a new impulsive trend.

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Daily Gold Technical Analysis & Trading Signals (July 10)

Analysis: The M30 timeframe for Gold shows a mixed but overall bullish bias. Moving Averages are Neutral, while MACD, ADX, RSI, and CCI all signal BUY or Strong BUY. However, Stochastic indicates SELL, suggesting potential for a short-term pullback. The market is in a Strong Trend with Medium Volatility, and the overall consensus is a BUY (20%).

Current price action is searching for new support/resistance zones, indicating it's in "no man's land" between established levels. A strong Resistance zone is identified at 3339.29 - 3335.41 with 100% quality, and Support at 3277.81 - 3274.45, also with 100% quality.

The Fibonacci analysis points to a Golden Pocket retracement at 3333.98 - 3336.65, aligning perfectly with the resistance, making it a strong area of interest for a potential reversal or stall. Extension targets are 3259.93 and 3231.14.

The Elliott Wave forecaster shows No Clear Pattern, meaning no immediate advanced price predictions are available.

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Daily Gold Technical Analysis & Trading Signals (July 11)

Analysis: Based on the dashboard's analysis, Gold is currently in a strong, high-volatility uptrend on the 30-minute timeframe. A powerful confluence of core indicators, including the MA, MACD, and ADX, are signaling strong buying pressure, indicating that significant upward momentum is driving the market at this moment.

The dashboard has identified a classic Bull Flag pattern that is currently forming, suggesting the market is taking a brief pause before a potential continuation of its primary trend. A breakout is currently pending, with the price contained within the 3374.74 and 3361.72 levels.

Looking ahead, a confirmed breakout above the flag's upper boundary would signal the uptrend is resuming, with the first major test being the high-quality resistance zone at 3382.00. Conversely, if a deeper pullback occurs, the Fibonacci Golden Pocket near 3350 presents a key support area where buyers may step back in.

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https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...y-gts-m30-gold?
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...ly-gts-m5-gold?
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...gts-smart-grid?

This "expert" has blown three accounts within months.
Only fools will want to follow his signals or be mentored by him.

Daily GBPUSD Technical Analysis & Trading Signals (July 12)

Analysis: Based on the H1 timeframe for GBPUSD, the dashboard indicates a market dominated by bearish pressure. The overall signal is a Strong SELL, supported by a consensus across the moving average, MACD, and ADX indicators, which all point to an established medium-strength downtrend. Price is currently situated between a fresh, high-quality resistance zone at 1.3618 and support far below at 1.3379.

However, a significant classic pattern has emerged, signaling a potential shift. A bullish Falling Wedge BREAKOUT has been confirmed, and the engine is now in a crucial "Waiting for Retest" phase. This suggests the current downtrend could be challenged. The immediate future hinges on whether the price successfully retests its breakout point and moves higher, or if sellers retake control, pushing the price back down towards the Fibonacci extension targets of 1.3432 and 1.3371.

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Those were experimental phases, and I’ve been fully transparent about their failures. It's important to understand the difference between an experiment and a finished product.

Daily EURUSD Technical Analysis & Trading Signals (July 13)

Analysis: Based on the Technical Analysis Dashboard data for EURUSD on the H4 timeframe, the market presents a predominantly bearish outlook despite some mixed signals. The overall consensus from a wide range of indicators points to a sell signal (23%). While a few indicators show a mixed or neutral stance, the majority, including the RSI and CCI, are in a decisive sell position. The market is also identified as being in a weak trend with medium volatility.

The predictive engines offer a clear forecast for the potential future path. The Elliott Wave analysis suggests a "Corrective Pause in Uptrend" and projects a future target for a downward move, with a final target for wave C at 1.1053. The Fibonacci analysis further supports this by identifying a "Golden Pocket" as a key retracement zone. Additionally, a classic "Rising Wedge" pattern is currently forming, which has a bearish bias and reinforces the expected downward breakout.

The Support & Resistance (S/R) and Smart Money Concepts (SMC) engines have identified nearby high-quality resistance and support zones. The S/R alert is currently "Searching..." for the next key zone, indicating the price is in "no man's land." The SMC engine remains undefined, but the combination of Elliott Wave and Classic Patterns provides a compelling picture of an imminent downward move.

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Daily Gold Technical Analysis & Trading Signals (July 14)

Analysis: Based on the dashboard data for Gold on the H1 timeframe, the market is displaying mixed signals within a weak trend. The overall bias is Neutral, despite the MA being a Strong BUY with an 83% alignment. The MACD and Stochastic are both signaling BUY, but the ADX indicates a Weak Trend, confirming the lack of a strong directional move. This is a key point—while the price is above many moving averages, the trend itself lacks momentum.

A significant classic pattern, a Rising Wedge, is Forming with a bearish bias and a Breakout Pending. This pattern suggests that despite the current bullish indicators, a potential downward reversal is on the horizon. The dashboard has identified the key boundaries for this wedge between 3380.04 and 3353.83. The Fibonacci engine identifies a retracement target at the Golden Pocket (3339.09-3342.01), which aligns well with the potential bearish breakout of the wedge. The presence of this wedge pattern is the most critical signal, pointing to a probable future move.

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Daily EURUSD Technical Analysis & Trading Signals (July 19)

Analysis: This H4 chart for EURUSD indicates a generally weak trend with high volatility, suggesting potential for erratic price movements. While the Moving Averages are Neutral, both MACD and RSI are signaling SELL, contrasting with Stochastic and CCI which indicate BUY. The overall dashboard sentiment is a Strong SELL (47%), pointing towards a likely downward bias despite the mixed individual indicator signals.

Current price is within a "no man's land" as the dashboard is Monitoring support and resistance zones rather than actively engaging them. Fibonacci analysis identifies a recent major swing and a "Golden Pocket" retracement zone between 1.0755 and 1.0808, a crucial area for potential reversals.

The Elliott Wave and Harmonic Pattern engines currently show No Clear Pattern, indicating the absence of highly probable complex wave structures or reversal formations. Similarly, the Smart Money Concepts engine and Classic Pattern engine are undefined or inactive, meaning there are no high-probability smart money setups or clear classic chart patterns at play right now.

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Daily GBPUSD Technical Analysis & Trading Signals (July 19)

Analysis: This H4 GBPUSD chart presents a Ranging Market with Medium Volatility. The dashboard's Overall bias is a Strong SELL (37%), despite mixed individual indicator signals like Strong SELL from MA and RSI, contrasting with BUY from MACD and CCI. ADX notably indicates No Trend.

The current price of 1.3405 is between active support and resistance zones, with the dashboard Monitoring them. Significant resistance lies at 1.3814 - 1.3763 (Quality: 100%) and strong support at 1.3272 - 1.3249 (Quality: 100%). Fibonacci analysis highlights a major swing with a Golden Pocket retracement at 1.3626 - 1.3639.

The Elliott Wave engine identifies a Corrective Pause in Downtrend, forecasting a potential ABC correction with targets for Wave A at ~1.3594, Wave B at ~1.3520, and Wave C at ~1.3640, with invalidation above 1.3788. Harmonic, SMC, Candlestick, and Classic Pattern engines currently show no active high-probability setups.

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