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  • #123,541
  • Jul 1, 2025 6:17am Jul 1, 2025 6:17am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} did eu hit your level yet
its in the potential reversal zone now, its a weekly pattern so some room for flexibility. Also a monthly pattern in the same general area but higher up. 1.185 to 1.193 ish is where they are. Not helpful for scalping but they DXY being at support indicates we could see something, maybe with red news later this week.
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #123,542
  • Jul 1, 2025 6:26am Jul 1, 2025 6:26am
Quoting axecap
{quote} its in the potential reversal zone now, its a weekly pattern so some room for flexibility. Also a monthly pattern in the same general area but higher up. 1.185 to 1.193 ish is where they are. Not helpful for scalping but they DXY being at support indicates we could see something, maybe with red news later this week.
Todays pattern is bullish to me.. Not a long term pattern.. But a day pattern. Since the month didnt closed below 1682. It broke a 16 year dynamic R. I need to respect this days bullish one until something changes. COT has it bearish so i will look and play bearish ones too. It may be after it has a fall or it could be near a high. i just dont have it yet. 1768 may be a pullback in a bullish pattern entry.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,543
  • Jul 1, 2025 6:35am Jul 1, 2025 6:35am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Todays pattern is bullish to me.. Not a long term pattern.. But a day pattern. Since the month didnt closed below 1682. It broke a 16 year dynamic R. I need to respect this days bullish one until something changes. COT has it bearish so i will look and play bearish ones too. It may be after it has a fall or it could be near a high. i just dont have it yet. 1768 may be a pullback in a bullish pattern entry.
Its not that I couldn't buy exhaustion under 1804. It that it does retrace enough to 1768.. and the possible cherry trade there
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,544
  • Jul 1, 2025 7:10am Jul 1, 2025 7:10am
some confluence there 1783.. looking for a little deeper
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,545
  • Jul 1, 2025 7:14am Jul 1, 2025 7:14am
Quoting gatorinla
some confluence there 1783.. looking for a little deeper {image}
i was expecting some where near 1766 but also thinking we are at reversal zone, if below 1766, i will probably try selling deeper
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,546
  • Jul 1, 2025 8:21am Jul 1, 2025 8:21am
Quoting gatorinla
some confluence there 1783.. looking for a little deeper {image}
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closer
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,547
  • Jul 1, 2025 8:36am Jul 1, 2025 8:36am
it depends on the bulls now.. start closing above 1780 to start. It gave a bullish signal..before this fall. So it should, I think run once above 1804. 1780 closing above is the first thing needed
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,548
  • Jul 1, 2025 9:07am Jul 1, 2025 9:07am
The vote on the tax bill in progress. Adding another 3.5 trillion.. Not good for interest rates, via treasuries demand drop with a higher deficit.

The eu did not close the first 30 min or 1h above 1780. Now everybody's healthcare goes up except congress, Executive branch, Judicial..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,549
  • Jul 1, 2025 12:03pm Jul 1, 2025 12:03pm
Quoting gatorinla
it depends on the bulls now.. start closing above 1780 to start. It gave a bullish signal..before this fall. So it should, I think run once above 1804. 1780 closing above is the first thing needed {image}
After closing an h under 1767 the last 2 both closed above 1780, bull may give it a try, i m keen to see if daily candle closed as a doji and also a red one
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,550
  • Jul 1, 2025 1:46pm Jul 1, 2025 1:46pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} After closing an h under 1767 the last 2 both closed above 1780, bull may give it a try, i m keen to see if daily candle closed as a doji and also a red one
red candle unlikley
10 consecutive days up
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,551
  • Jul 1, 2025 2:36pm Jul 1, 2025 2:36pm
Quoting gatorinla
The vote on the tax bill in progress. Adding another 3.5 trillion.. Not good for interest rates, via treasuries demand drop with a higher deficit. The eu did not close the first 30 min or 1h above 1780. Now everybody's healthcare goes up except congress, Executive branch, Judicial..
it should of been worth about 40 pips. The trend is up. but 40 pips is 40 pips. drawdown was minimal
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,552
  • Jul 1, 2025 2:38pm Jul 1, 2025 2:38pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} red candle unlikley 10 consecutive days up
7 green days is rare, 10 is above rare. But the bond market may allow more green
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,553
  • Jul 1, 2025 2:41pm Jul 1, 2025 2:41pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 7 green days is rare, 10 is above rare
yup i have never see this before. It still doesnt look like topping to me
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,554
  • Jul 1, 2025 2:41pm Jul 1, 2025 2:41pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} it should of been worth about 40 pips. The trend is up. but 40 pips is 40 pips. drawdown was minimal {image}
nice trade! Any level to watch for now? I have 1805 1815 above that likely new high ~
can it go back to 176x?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,555
  • Jul 1, 2025 2:42pm Jul 1, 2025 2:42pm
Daily Doji on Dixie trendline.... I think we have a USD bounce coming but.... not sure it will last long or when.
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #123,556
  • Jul 1, 2025 2:45pm Jul 1, 2025 2:45pm
Quoting axecap
Daily Doji on Dixie trendline.... I think we have a USD bounce coming but.... not sure it will last long or when.
yup the eu drop can happen here, or above 1900
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,557
  • Jul 1, 2025 5:30pm Jul 1, 2025 5:30pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} red candle unlikley 10 consecutive days up
If you want to try.. there is some R that needs to be sustained above to run at 1818. I wont say it will not go higher. Its a breakout level. But most breakouts fail.. A short from 1818/30ish may be worth a tp 1779/80.. Or maybe more. If early london stays below 1804.. Its in line with 7 green candle are rare.. you said 10.. I didnt count.. 10 are more rare
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,558
  • Jul 1, 2025 5:49pm Jul 1, 2025 5:49pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If you want to try.. there is some R that needs to be sustained above to run at 1818. I wont say it will not go higher. Its a breakout level. But most breakouts fail.. A short from 1818/30ish may be worth a tp 1779/80.. Or maybe more. If early london stays below 1804.. Its in line with 7 green candle are rare.. you said 10.. I didnt count.. 10 are more rare
noticed we are now stuck between 1799 and 1807. May look like we will break above to look dor 1818 and 1830
still didnt get a proper topping signal
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,559
  • Jul 1, 2025 6:42pm Jul 1, 2025 6:42pm
this a great summary of where EU is and relating to DXY . I dont make a habit of recomending a you tube watch but
this is worth it and accurate in my view.

Inserted Video
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #123,560
  • Jul 1, 2025 8:10pm Jul 1, 2025 8:10pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} noticed we are now stuck between 1799 and 1807. May look like we will break above to look dor 1818 and 1830 still didnt get a proper topping signal
sharp drop to 1787 and since recovered back to 1.18 level. I think we can still see 1818 1830 if we start closing above 1804 05

i dnt see a clear pattern on shorter tf atm
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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