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The Swamp

  • #123,461
  • Jun 27, 2025 4:06am Jun 27, 2025 4:06am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I have some fatigue signs. on the uppers. Plus 1682 is large in my mind too. Pa did run back below. the 12h did hold it. Like everyone else's indis mine are bullish too. ..so now on a necked chart 1727/28 may end up being R if developed.. Or above can support.. It was tested from below. so if would take out 1709 now it may slip.. {image}
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Bullish, but not pushing past. This is the second leg here. Less bullish below 1701 and 1680.
Possible top closing the day week month quarter below 1682. Monday close may be the best to see.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,462
  • Jun 27, 2025 4:16am Jun 27, 2025 4:16am
hi Gator we will have new COT report today?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,463
  • Jun 27, 2025 4:22am Jun 27, 2025 4:22am
Its bullish, all our charts show it. It may punch a hole in a hh. Or is may not get back above 1728. After, if it ends up back below 1682 closing this month. It may be settling down for a fall. That could start or not anytime now.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,464
  • Jun 27, 2025 4:24am Jun 27, 2025 4:24am
Quoting johncen
hi Gator we will have new COT report today?
yep.. 1.5h before close
Its bullish,, break up or break down.. It could be a suttle close.. and run sideways after a break up or down for a while. PA ranges mor than it runs.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,465
  • Jun 27, 2025 4:33am Jun 27, 2025 4:33am
Quoting gatorinla
Its bullish, all our charts show it. It may punch a hole in a hh. Or is may not get back above 1728. After, if it ends up back below 1682 closing this month. It may be settling down for a fall. That could start or not anytime now. {image}
yea looks like bullish pennant unless closing under 1682
Today and Monday will probably be very choppy
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,466
  • Edited 5:01am Jun 27, 2025 4:50am | Edited 5:01am
Quoting johncen
hi Gator we will have new COT report today?
Everything i got points bullish.. Pa is above 1701 and 1682 bullish. The one thing that may turn out to be nothing.. bulls didnt make that little push above 1727.x and close the last h above it. That's hardly nothing and not noticeable. Just a tiny crack that may be nothing. It likely will be nothing. Its just something to see if more cracks follow. each one can lead to another or lead to a HH break out. While we see that. People with deep pockets and all the time in the world. Are alway plotting to separate you from your money. They got the mindset of a prisoner plotting to break out on prison. They studied our movements for decades. They know us. You dont think all these places are letting you have AI. For free for no reason do you? They are building a model of us and our thoughts. You are being mined and dont know it.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,467
  • Jun 27, 2025 6:11am Jun 27, 2025 6:11am
Its bullish.. The system I'm trying to develop tells me to short.It based on history, not present. But uses past present signs. If that makes sense. Repeating present patterns, makes patterns in history. Its about 70% if graded
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,468
  • Jun 27, 2025 6:11am Jun 27, 2025 6:11am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Everything i got points bullish.. Pa is above 1701 and 1682 bullish. The one thing that may turn out to be nothing.. bulls didnt make that little push above 1727.x and close the last h above it. That's hardly nothing and not noticeable. Just a tiny crack that may be nothing. It likely will be nothing. Its just something to see if more cracks follow. each one can lead to another or lead to a HH break out. While we see that. People with deep pockets and all the time in the world. Are alway plotting to separate you from your money. They got...
yea no sign of bear aat all, while bounce level is higher each time. Hmmmmm bull trend maybe not finished
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,469
  • Jun 27, 2025 6:22am Jun 27, 2025 6:22am
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea no sign of bear aat all, while bounce level is higher each time. Hmmmmm bull trend maybe not finished
Get over 1727/28 or go home. adr in the 100 area. If it cant get up.. 70 pips off the high dont seem greedy.. Its Q end.. Go to the beach
I said 70%.. its a little higher. Its in the shadow of a q end.. that's more unpredictable.. its a smaller pool to look at.. only 40 in 10 years
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,470
  • Jun 27, 2025 6:32am Jun 27, 2025 6:32am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Get over 1727/28 or go home. adr in the 100 area. If it cant get up.. 70 pips off the high dont seem greedy.. Its Q end.. Go to the beach I said 70%.. its a little higher. Its in the shadow of a q end.. that's more unpredictable.. its a smaller pool to look at.. only 40 in 10 years
current set up looks like it wants higher, i hope market prove me wrong and slap it down

while i want bear to win and not good at scalping, i probably should just log off and come back next week
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,471
  • Jun 27, 2025 6:54am Jun 27, 2025 6:54am
Quoting johncen
{quote} current set up looks like it wants higher, i hope market prove me wrong and slap it down while i want bear to win and not good at scalping, i probably should just log off and come back next week
sometimes its better to say nothing. The trend is bullish. (6 months) Here in the 1682area has a trend 16 yrs old. Close the month above, and that trend ends. The thing being its still at the top of a trend. The month is still open. Short term in the area of the months end is nothing .. But it gets more weight in a larger trend. Pa has risen for 6 months. Its been dropping for 16 years. 32 X 6 months. Most of us just see the last 6 months.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,472
  • Jun 27, 2025 8:42am Jun 27, 2025 8:42am
Quoting gatorinla
Its bullish, all our charts show it. It may punch a hole in a hh. Or is may not get back above 1728. After, if it ends up back below 1682 closing this month. It may be settling down for a fall. That could start or not anytime now. {image}
It did poke the hole.. my 15m did turn bearish.. 30 and 60 not yet. they are slightly bearish to neutral atm.. its about the closes Friday and Monday
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,473
  • Jun 27, 2025 8:51am Jun 27, 2025 8:51am
1.17095 can support, but below and closing is more likely added drop confirmation.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,474
  • Jun 27, 2025 9:08am Jun 27, 2025 9:08am
Quoting gatorinla
1.17095 can support, but below and closing is more likely added drop confirmation.
pa still pretty choppy~ i do see a bit of bull exhaustion but is not enough
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,475
  • Jun 27, 2025 9:12am Jun 27, 2025 9:12am
Quoting johncen
{quote} pa still pretty choppy~ i do see a bit of bull exhaustion but is not enough
it may be at 1709/08 still this h.. after if its closing below it often continues
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,476
  • Jun 27, 2025 9:15am Jun 27, 2025 9:15am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} it may be at 1709/08 still this h.. after if its closing below it often continues
if it is really the pump and dump we have been waiting for yea that should be the case. Let see, hope we close the day/week under 1680
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,477
  • Jun 27, 2025 9:16am Jun 27, 2025 9:16am
just in case 1h support 1660.. the 1682 has its own,, 30 min 1685, 15 m 1701 timed ones dynamic. 4h 1560
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,478
  • Jun 27, 2025 9:23am Jun 27, 2025 9:23am
Quoting johncen
{quote} if it is really the pump and dump we have been waiting for yea that should be the case. Let see, hope we close the day/week under 1680
if it is it may not be what your used too.. The wick may be on the larger time frames.. For instance below 1682..It may not be noticeable in the smaller ones
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,479
  • Jun 27, 2025 9:52am Jun 27, 2025 9:52am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} it may be at 1709/08 still this h.. after if its closing below it often continues
it made the hookup.. Now will it close below 1709 1701..
If it closes below 1709.5.. That may be a R.. But it may not get tested if it makes it below 1682
since pa has not closed below 1709x.. it can support
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,480
  • Jun 27, 2025 10:27am Jun 27, 2025 10:27am
week range maybe 300 pips with ruler!
I can't believe the new high has been made ..for the rest of the day.
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