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  • #13,481
  • Jun 18, 2025 10:47pm Jun 18, 2025 10:47pm
The EUR/USD dropped to 1.1450 after the FOMC kept the interest rate steady and forecasted two rate cuts later in 2025, coupled with the continued Middle East crisis. More support is located at the 1.1424/00 zone, and the 1.1488 resistance should hold for another leg down. If bulls can maintain momentum above resistance, the next level of interest is at 1.1530.

Have a great day!


Daily volatility (range) 64 pips

Option expiries for Thursday: 1.1600 (EU1.97b), 1.1420 (EU1.06b), 1.1800 (EU1.26b) source: financialjuice.com



1H
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2025-06-19_06-44-27 (1).png Size: 31 KB
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  • #13,482
  • Jun 19, 2025 12:52am Jun 19, 2025 12:52am
my chart for now
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: IMG_5623.jpeg Size: 364 KB
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #13,483
  • Jun 19, 2025 1:36am Jun 19, 2025 1:36am
Quoting johncen
my chart for now {image}
No support below?! Its going to hell!
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  • #13,484
  • Jun 19, 2025 1:37am Jun 19, 2025 1:37am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} No support below?! Its going to hell!
hahaha no there is 1430 1400 1350 next
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #13,485
  • Jun 19, 2025 1:49am Jun 19, 2025 1:49am
Quoting johncen
{quote} hahaha no there is 1430 1400 1350 next
Thanks.

I'm going to be banned from this thread but the 1.1430 +/- level should be reached according to that: Swiss Interest Rate Decision. The banks is forecasted to bring its interest rate down to 0.00%. Given that its a us holiday I think that bulls should join at the first support after the drop.

Lets see in some hour!
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  • #13,486
  • Jun 19, 2025 2:33am Jun 19, 2025 2:33am
EURUSD H1
trendlines

Now retesting resistance.
(1.1480-1.15)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.jpg Size: 143 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #13,487
  • Jun 19, 2025 3:52am Jun 19, 2025 3:52am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Thanks. I'm going to be banned from this thread but the 1.1430 +/- level should be reached according to that: Swiss Interest Rate Decision. The banks is forecasted to bring its interest rate down to 0.00%. Given that its a us holiday I think that bulls should join at the first support after the drop. Lets see in some hour!
Went the other way! The market discounted the rate cut. Anyway resistance on eu is still intact.
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  • #13,488
  • Jun 19, 2025 4:08am Jun 19, 2025 4:08am
Us public holiday range might be tight
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #13,489
  • Jun 19, 2025 4:19am Jun 19, 2025 4:19am
Quoting johncen
Us public holiday range might be tight
Correct but position building should happen today in case it drops after tomorrow opening!
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  • #13,490
  • Jun 19, 2025 4:49am Jun 19, 2025 4:49am
Holiday, time for some art!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 20250619_1245_Global Market Forces_simple_compose_01jy3s5tw2fg5rp6ghqj5mtfgp.png Size: 1.1 MB
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  • #13,491
  • Jun 19, 2025 7:10am Jun 19, 2025 7:10am
Quoting Iressent
{quote} Still holding the trade, +80 pips now..

Closed @1.1480 for +100 pips profit. Done for the week
https://www.myfxbook.com/members/Iressent/spektrum/11572381
  • #13,492
  • Jun 19, 2025 9:16am Jun 19, 2025 9:16am
Quoting josip
EURUSD H1 trendlines Now retesting resistance. (1.1480-1.15) {image}
update
EURUSD H1
trendlines

The resistance is still alive...(1.1480-1.15)

Pic2. DXY H1
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.jpg Size: 131 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: DXY1.jpg Size: 126 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #13,493
  • Jun 19, 2025 10:45am Jun 19, 2025 10:45am
The primary driver for EURUSD today has been the strengthening of the US Dollar in response to the Federal Reserve's slightly more hawkish tone and updated economic projections from yesterday, which indicate a higher-for-longer interest rate environment in the US. This is compounded by the Eurozone's easing inflation figures, which may give the ECB more flexibility to consider rate cuts. Middle east tensions offer more pressure to the pair. The Juneteenth holiday in the US is contributing to reduced market liquidity.

Technical:

Support: 1.1446 & 1.1424

Resistance: 1.1488 & 1.1500


Have a great rest of the day. See you tomorrow!
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  • #13,494
  • Jun 19, 2025 3:07pm Jun 19, 2025 3:07pm
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TSLA: 30-Dec-22 123.18 // 16-Jun-23 260.54 **111.51%**
  • #13,495
  • Edited 6:46pm Jun 19, 2025 6:08pm | Edited 6:46pm
Not sure if 1.151 will hold the bull

i may have to look for buy opportunity
but uj usdx both above that dailu downeard tl
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #13,496
  • Jun 19, 2025 10:13pm Jun 19, 2025 10:13pm
looks like bull has taken back control
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #13,497
  • Jun 19, 2025 10:32pm Jun 19, 2025 10:32pm
The EUR/USD advanced above the 1.1500 resistance now support overnight, driven by profit-taking and some hopes of de-escalation in the Middle East crisis. The next resistance level is 1.1530, before the bullish target of 1.1580, if it gives way. Should conditions deteriorate, 1.1445 might be the next support however, if that breaks, 1.1424 could be next.

Have a great Friday!

Daily volatility (range) 63 pips

Option expiries for Friday: 1.1400 (EU1.25b), 1.1700 (EU1.15b), 1.1500 (EU1.11b) source: financialjuice.com

1H
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2025-06-20_06-28-38 (1).png Size: 30 KB
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  • #13,498
  • Jun 19, 2025 10:47pm Jun 19, 2025 10:47pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
The EUR/USD advanced above the 1.1500 resistance now support overnight, driven by profit-taking and some hopes of de-escalation in the Middle East crisis. The next resistance level is 1.1530, before the bullish target of 1.1580, if it gives way. Should conditions deteriorate, 1.1445 might be the next support however, if that breaks, 1.1424 could be next. Have a great Friday! Daily volatility (range) 63 pips Option expiries for Friday: 1.1400 (EU1.25b), 1.1700 (EU1.15b), 1.1500 (EU1.11b) source: financialjuice.com...
thought bear gonna do well this time but seems like they will fail to impress again
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #13,499
  • Jun 19, 2025 11:20pm Jun 19, 2025 11:20pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} thought bear gonna do well this time but seems like they will fail to impress again
I thought the bears will fail like many other Fridays but you cant tell with the man on the wires that only he knows what he will do with Iran and no one else!
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  • #13,500
  • Jun 20, 2025 3:01am Jun 20, 2025 3:01am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} I thought the bears will fail like many other Fridays but you cant tell with the man on the wires that only he knows what he will do with Iran and no one else!
on daily chart we have a strong bullish hammer and I am waiting for the price to come down to 1490-1500 and find a support here. If it goes deeper than this level then I will be really careful with buying In Sha Allah.
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