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Elliott Wave Update: Silver (XAGUSD) Breaks Out – What’s the Paths Forward?

Silver has experienced a significant breakout, decisively surpassing its previous high from October 2024. This signals the start of the next upward leg in its price trajectory. From the last notable low on April 7, 2025, the rally has been unfolding as an impulsive wave with an extended structure, often referred to as a “nest.” Beginning from the April 7, 2025 low, wave (1) reached its peak at 33.684. It was then followed by a corrective pullback in wave (2), which concluded at 31.635. From this point, silver resumed its upward momentum in wave (3). The metal displays an internal subdivision characteristic of another impulsive wave.

Breaking down the progression from wave (2) low, the initial wave 1 advanced to 33.69. A subsequent dip in wave 2 found support at 32.58, as illustrated in the accompanying 1-hour chart. The metal then continued its ascent, nesting higher once again. From the wave 2 low, the sub-wave ((i)) peaked at 33.56. A pullback in wave ((ii)) then followed which bottomed out at 32.67. Silver then resumed its upward trend in wave ((iii)). Wave (i) of ((iii)) concluded at 33.49 and wave (ii) of ((iii)) ended at 32.75.

Looking ahead, silver is expected to achieve two additional highs to complete wave (iii) before encountering a corrective pullback in wave (iv). Afterwards, the upward trajectory should resume. In the near term, as long as the pivotal low at 32.58 remains intact, any dips are likely to attract buyers in 3, 7, or 11 swings, setting the stage for further upside potential. This technical analysis suggests a bullish outlook for silver, with the current structure supporting continued gains in the near future.

Silver (XAGUSD) 60-Minute Elliott Wave Technical Chart



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Elliott Wave Perspective: S&P 500 (SPX) Set to Finish Wave 3

Since reaching its low on April 7, 2025, the S&P 500 (SPX) has embarked on an impulsive rally. From that bottom, the index progressed through distinct waves, as defined by Elliott Wave theory. Wave 1 concluded at 5246.57, followed by a corrective pullback in wave 2, which found support at 4910.42. Currently, wave 3 is underway, unfolding as a strong impulse with subdivisions in a lesser degree.

From the wave 2 low, the rally continued with wave ((i)) peaking at 5481.34. A brief retracement in wave ((ii)) then followed which ended at 5101.63. The index then surged higher in wave ((iii)), reaching 5968.61. A subsequent pullback in wave ((iv)) found support at 5767.41, setting the stage for further gains. The index should push to a few more highs to complete wave ((v)) of 3. This will mark the culmination of this upward phase.

Looking ahead, once wave 3 concludes, a corrective wave 4 should follow, retracing part of the rally from the April 7, 2025 low. This correction could unfold in a 3, 7, or 11-swing pattern before the index resumes its upward trajectory. In the near term, as long as the pivot low at 5765.74 holds, the S&P 500 is poised to achieve additional highs to finalize wave ((v)) of 3. However, if this critical support at 5765.74 is breached, it would signal the end of wave 3, prompting a larger wave 4 pullback, potentially in a 3, 7, or 11-swing structure.

S&P 500 (SPX) 60-Minute Elliott Wave Technical Chart

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SPX Elliott Wave Technical Video

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Elliott Wave Insight: Dow Futures (YM) Set to Wrap Up Wave 3 Soon

Since reaching its low on April 7, 2025, Dow Futures (YM) has shown signs of recovery. The Index has initiated a rally that requires further development to confirm whether the April 7 low will hold as a significant bottom. To establish this, the Index needs to either achieve a new all-time high or complete a clear five-wave structure from the April 7 low. Either of these developments would significantly reduce the probability of the Index undergoing a larger double correction. Currently, the rally from the April 7 low is in progress and appears to be forming an impulsive structure. An impulse is typically a strong bullish signal in technical analysis.

From the April 7 low, the rally has unfolded as follows: wave 1 peaked at 39,427. A corrective wave 2 then followed which ended at 36,882. The ongoing wave 3 is subdividing into a smaller-degree impulse, indicating continued upward momentum. Within wave 3, wave ((i)) concluded at 41,140, and the subsequent pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 37,998. The advance in wave ((iii)) reached 42,976, with the corrective wave ((iv)) bottoming at 41,236. Currently, wave ((v)) is forming as an ending diagonal, a pattern often signaling the final stage of a move. As long as the Index remains above 41,238, expect one more push higher to complete wave ((v)), which should also finalize wave 3 in the higher degree. Following this, the Index is anticipated to experience a larger-degree wave 4 pullback, likely unfolding in a 3, 7, or 11-swing corrective pattern, before resuming its upward trajectory.

Dow Futures (YM) 60-Minute Elliott Wave Technical Chart

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Elliott Wave Outlook: Microsoft (MSFT) Surges to Record High, Sustaining Bullish Momentum

Microsoft (MSFT) has demonstrated remarkable resilience, fully recovering from losses incurred during the tariff war sell-off. The stock has even achieved a new all-time high. This performance underscores the stock’s persistent bullish trend. The low recorded on April 7, 2025 likely serves as a robust support level during future pullbacks. The rally from this low is unfolding as a classic five-wave impulse pattern, indicative of strong upward momentum, with wave (3) nearing completion.

From the April 7 low, wave (1) concluded at 394.65, followed by a pullback in wave (2) that bottomed at 355.67. Wave (3) has since extended higher, exhibiting its own internal impulse structure. Within wave (3), wave 1 peaked at 380.39, with wave 2 dipping to 375.19. The stock then surged in wave 3 to 459.58, followed by a wave 4 retracement ending at 448.91. A detailed 45-minute chart below highlights the final leg wave 5, which further subdivides into a lesser-degree impulse. From wave 4, wave ((i)) reached 463 and wave ((ii)) corrected to 454. Wave ((iii)) climbed to 473.43, and wave ((iv)) dipped to 466.96.

MSFT may experience a slight further upside to complete wave ((v)) of 5 of (3). However, a larger-degree pullback in wave (4) is anticipated soon, setting the stage for one final upward push to conclude the five-wave rally from the April 7 low. This structured advance reinforces Microsoft’s bullish outlook, with key support levels likely to hold firm.

Microsoft (MSFT) 45-Minute Elliott Wave Technical Chart

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Elliott Wave Analysis: USDCHF Resumes Bearish Trend

The USDCHF currency pair has been declining since its peak on May 13, 2025. It follows a pattern that technical analysts identify as an impulsive wave with an extended structure, often referred to as a “nest.” This analysis tracks the pair’s movement through a series of waves, as observed on the 1-hour chart. It provides insight into its short-term trajectory and potential future movements.

Starting from the May 13 high, the initial decline, labeled wave 1, concluded at 0.8184. This was followed by a corrective rally in wave 2, which peaked at 0.8347. From there, the pair resumed its downward trend in wave 3. The wave 3 has unfolded with further subdivisions, forming another impulsive pattern in a lesser degree. Specifically, from the wave 2 high, the first sub-wave (i) ended at 0.8312, followed by a brief rally in wave (ii) to 0.8338. The pair then extended lower in wave (iii), reaching 0.8195, before a corrective wave (iv) rallied to 0.8249. The subsequent decline in wave (v) completed at 0.8153, finalizing wave ((i)) of the larger structure.

Following this, a recovery rally in wave ((ii)) reached 0.8250 before the pair turned lower again in wave ((iii)). Within this segment, the first sub-wave (i) ended at 0.8167, and a corrective wave (ii) rallied to 0.8248. In the near term, as long as the pair remains below 0.8250, any rallies are expected to fail after 3, 7, or 11 swings, with the pair likely to extend lower. This analysis suggests continued bearish momentum, with traders advised to monitor key levels for confirmation of further downside.

USDCHF 60-Minute Elliott Wave Technical Chart

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USDCHF Elliott Wave Technical Video

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AMD Elliott Wave Analysis: 5 Wave Rally Supports Bullish Bias

Since bottoming out on April 10, 2025, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has embarked on a robust rally, signaling a bullish trend. Technical analysis reveals a five-swing sequence from the April 10 low, favoring continued upward momentum. The initial ascent, wave (1), peaked at $97.91, followed by a corrective pullback in wave (2) that found support at $83.75. The stock then surged in wave (3) to $122.52. A subsequent retracement in wave (4) concluded at $107.10, as depicted in the one-hour chart below. Currently, wave (5) is unfolding, structured as an impulse in a lesser degree, driving the stock higher.

From the wave (4) low, the subdivision of wave (5) began with wave ((i)) reaching $117.05, followed by a dip in wave ((ii)) to $108.62. The rally resumed in wave ((iii)), peaking at $119.40, with wave ((iv)) retracing to $114.25. The final leg, wave ((v)), concluded at $124.60, completing wave 1 of a higher degree. A corrective wave 2 unfolded as a zigzag, with wave ((a)) declining to $119.88. Wave ((b)) rebounded to $121.35, and wave ((c)) bottomed at $115.06. As long as AMD holds above $107.10, expect one more upward leg to complete wave 3. Then it should be followed by a wave 4 pullback and a final push in wave (5) to conclude the cycle from the April 10 low. This structured advance underscores AMD’s bullish outlook, with key support levels guiding its near-term trajectory.

AMD 60-Minute Elliott Wave Technical Chart

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AMD Elliott Wave Technical Video

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Elliott Wave Perspective: Nvidia (NVDA) Wave 3 Close to Conclusion

Since July 4, 2025, Nvidia (NVDA) has been experiencing a robust rally. The rally is unfolding as a five-wave impulse structure according to Elliott Wave analysis. This upward movement began at a low on July 4, 2025, with wave (1) concluding at $115.44. A subsequent pullback in wave (2) found support at $95.04. This sets the stage for the ongoing wave (3), which has developed as another impulsive subdivision.

Within wave (3), the stock advanced in wave 1 to $111.92. A brief dip in wave 2 then followed to $104.08. The momentum resumed in wave 3, pushing the stock to $143.84. Afterwards, a corrective wave 4 settled at $132.92, as observed on the 30-minute chart below. Currently, Nvidia is advancing in wave 5 of (3). This wave has seen wave ((i)) peak at $144, followed by a pullback in wave ((ii)) to $137.88. The stock then surged in wave ((iii)) to $145, with a minor correction in wave ((iv)) completing at $140.46.

Wave ((v)) higher should end soon, concluding wave 5 of (3). Following this, a larger-degree wave (4) correction is expected, potentially unfolding in a 3, 7, or 11-swing pattern. This pullback should precede a final ascent in wave (5), completing the cycle from the July 4, 2025 low.

Nvidia (NVDA) 30-Minute Elliott Wave Technical Chart

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NVDA Elliott Wave Technical Video



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Dow Futures (YM) Elliott Wave Outlook: Wave 4 Correction Underway

The rally in Dow Futures (YM) that began from the April 7, 2025 low remains intact. It is unfolding as a five-wave impulse pattern according to Elliott Wave analysis. Starting from that low, wave 1 peaked at 39,649. A corrective pullback in wave 2 followed which found support at 36,922. The Index then resumed its upward trajectory in wave 3, which itself subdivides into five smaller-degree waves. As shown on the 1-hour chart below, wave 3 reached its high at 43,316. The market is now experiencing a pullback in wave 4.

Wave 4 is taking shape as a double three structure, a corrective pattern characterized by multiple sub-waves. From the wave 3 high, wave (a) declined to 42,518, followed by a wave (b) rally that topped at 42,944. The subsequent wave (c) dropped to 42,223, completing the first leg of the double three, labeled wave ((w)). The Index then rallied in wave ((x)), peaking at 43,069. Then it turns lower in wave ((y)), which also unfolds as a double three. Within this structure, wave (w) ended at 42,424, and a corrective wave (x) rally concluded at 42,860. The Index is now expected to extend lower in wave (y) of ((y)), targeting the 41,297–41,972 range. This decline should finalize wave 4, setting the stage for a potential wave 5 rally to new highs.

Dow Futures (YM) 60-Minute Elliott Wave Technical Chart

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YM Elliott Wave Technical Video

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Elliott Wave Analysis: Silver (XAGUSD) Nears Key Support Zone

Silver (XAGUSD) has surged to a new 13-year high, decisively confirming the bullish trend in the precious metal. The ongoing rally, which began from the May 15, 2025 low, is unfolding as an impulsive Elliott Wave structure, characterized by strong upward momentum. From the May 15 low, wave 1 peaked at 33.69. A corrective pullback in wave 2 followed that concluded at 32.58. The metal then resumed its ascent in wave 3, demonstrating robust bullish sentiment.

Within wave 3, the internal structure is clear. Wave ((i)) reached 33.56 and a shallow pullback in wave ((ii)) followed to 32.67. The subsequent wave ((iii)) propelled silver to a high of 37.31, underscoring the strength of the uptrend. Currently, a corrective wave ((iv)) is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave pattern. From the wave ((iii)) peak, wave (w) declined to 36.51, followed by a brief recovery in wave (x) to 36.78.

The ongoing decline in wave (y) is expected to find support between 35.45 and 35.96, potentially completing wave ((iv)). Once this correction concludes, silver is poised to either extend higher in wave ((v)) to a new peak or rally in at least three waves, reinforcing the bullish outlook.

Silver (XAGUSD) 60-Minute Elliott Wave Technical Chart

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XAGUSD Elliott Wave Technical Video

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GBPJPY Elliott Wave Outlook: Impulse Pattern Approaching End

The short-term Elliott Wave analysis for GBPJPY indicates that the cycle initiated from the April 9, 2025 low has reached a mature stage. The upward movement is unfolding as a five-wave impulse structure, a hallmark of Elliott Wave theory, signaling a strong bullish trend. Wave 1 concluded at 189.82, followed by a corrective pullback in Wave 2, which found support at 185.98. The subsequent rally in Wave 3, as depicted on the 1-hour chart, peaked at 196.84. Wave 4 then unfolded as a zigzag corrective structure. Its internal subdivisions completing as follows: Wave ((a)) declined to 194.75, and wave ((b)) rebounded to 195.33. Wave ((c)) finalized at 196, marking the completion of Wave 4 in the higher degree.

Currently, GBPJPY has resumed its ascent in Wave 5. From the Wave 4 low, the rally has so far developed in three waves. Wave (i) reached 196.7, followed by a dip in Wave (ii) to 196.09. Wave (iii) extended higher to 198.19. A corrective pullback in Wave (iv) is anticipated to find support within the 196.2–196.8 range, likely in a three-wave structure. Afterwards, one final push higher in Wave (v) should happen to complete Wave ((i)) of 5 in the higher degree. Following this, a larger-degree correction in Wave ((ii)) is expected to retrace the cycle from the June 19, 2025 low. Pullback is likely unfolding in a 3, 7, or 11-swing pattern before the pair resumes its upward trajectory.

GBPJPY 60-Minute Elliott Wave Technical Chart

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Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) Affirms Bullish Outlook with Five Wave Rally

The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) has continued its upward trajectory, confirming a five-wave Elliott Wave structure originating from the April 7, 2025 low. This development solidifies a bullish market outlook and eliminates the possibility of a double correction scenario. Starting from the April 7 low, wave (1) concluded at 443.14. Wave (2) pullback then followed which ended at 404.44. Subsequently, the ETF surged in wave (3) to 537.5, exhibiting an internal five-wave impulse structure. As depicted in the 1-hour chart, the wave (4) pullback unfolded as a double three Elliott Wave pattern.

From the wave (3) peak, wave W declined to 524.61, and wave X rebounded to 535.37. Last leg wave Y descended to 523.65, completing wave (4) at a higher degree. The ETF has since resumed its ascent in wave (5). From the wave (4) low, wave 1 of (5) is nearing completion, with a forthcoming wave 2 pullback expected to correct the cycle from the June 24, 2025 low before the rally resumes. This pullback should attract buyers at the 3, 7, or 11 swing levels, setting the stage for further upside potential. The bullish structure underscores confidence in continued upward momentum for QQQ.

Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) 60-Minute Elliott Wave Technical Chart

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QQQ Elliott Wave Technical Video

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USDCHF Reaches New Lows: A Perfect Reaction from the Blue Box Zone
June 25, 2025 By Hassan Sheikh
In this technical blog, we are going to take a look at the past performance of USDCHF 1-Hour Elliott wave Charts that we presented to our members. In which, the decline to 6.13.2025 low took place as an impulsive structure and showed a lower sequence calling for more downside to happen. Therefore, our members knew that selling the bounces in the direction of the right side tag remained the preferred path. We will explain the Elliott wave structure & selling opportunity our members took below:
USDCHF 1-Hour Elliott Wave Chart From 6.18.2025

USDCHF 1-Hour Elliott Wave Chart from 6.18.2025 London update. In which the decline to $0.8052 low ended the decline from 5.12.2025 peak & made a bounce higher. Up from there, the pair made a bounce towards the blue box area. The internals of that bounce unfolded as zigzag structure where wave a ended at $0.8148 high. Wave b pullback ended at $0.8085 low. And wave c was expected to reach the blue box area. From there, sellers were expected to appear looking for further downside or a minimum 3-wave reaction lower.

$USDCHF 1-Hour Elliott Wave Chart From 6.25.2025

This is the latest 1-Hour view from the 6.25.2025 Asia update. In which the pair is showing a reaction lower taking place from the blue box area. Allowing shorts to get into a risk-free position shortly after taking the position. Since then the pair has already made a new low below 6.13.2025 low confirming the next extension lower towards $0.7790- $0.7528 target area.

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Powering the Future: ARM Breakout Potential in a Connected World
June 24, 2025 By EWFLuis

ARM Holdings plc is a relatively new entrant to public markets, yet its technological foundation is anything but inexperienced. Renowned for pioneering energy-efficient, high-performance processor designs, ARM powers billions of devices globally. Its recent IPO signals a strategic leap, positioning the company for strong, long-term growth as demand for smart, connected technologies accelerates.
ARM enjoys strong positioning in the AI and mobile computing boom. Its licensing model delivers recurring revenue and scalability across multiple markets. Moreover, the company’s robust ecosystem encourages adoption and long-term customer relationships, securing its role in tech’s future.
ARM’s chart reflects solid upside momentum above key moving averages. Bullish breakouts signal trend strength, supported by healthy trading volume. Additionally, positive momentum indicators suggest continued buying interest, reinforcing current price action.
ARM Daily Chart June 2025

In the daily chart above, ARM Holdings began a strong impulsive rally ending wave (I) at 188.75 high. After that, the stock entered a flat correction as wave (II), retracing into the 90.78–68.99 Blue Box—a high-probability reversal zone. The pullback bottomed at 80.00 low, completing wave (II) and triggering a sharp bullish reaction. That move launched a wave ((1)) impulse, which continues unfolding with momentum. Once wave ((1)) completes, expect a pullback in wave ((2)). Typically, wave ((2)) unfolds in 3, 7, or 11 swings. After that, the broader rally is likely to resume. Traders should monitor the correction for entry opportunities.

ARM Daily Alternative Chart June 2025


While the current reaction from the Blue Box supports the bullish scenario, an alternate view suggests wave (II) may not be completed. In this case, the decline into the 80.00 low would mark wave w of a double correction. The current bounce would then be part of a wave x connector, setting the stage for another leg lower. If so, wave y could take the stock below 80.00 to complete wave (II) and offer a high probability buying opportunity. If you want to learn more about Elliott Wave Theory, follow these links: Elliott Wave Education and Elliott Wave Theory).
To invalidate this alternate scenario, price must break above the 188.75 high. Until then, both views remain valid, and traders should stay flexible while tracking the structure in real time. Stay tuned as the market unfolds the next wave—trade smart!

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S&P 500 ETF $SPY Extreme Areas Offering Buying Opportunities
June 24, 2025 By EWFTaha
Hello everyone! In today’s article, we’ll examine the recent performance of S&P 500 ETF ($SPY) through the lens of Elliott Wave Theory. We’ll review how the rally from the April 21, 2025 low unfolded as a 5-wave impulse followed by a 7-swing correction (WXY) and discuss our forecast for the next move. Let’s dive into the structure and expectations for this ETF.
5 Wave Impulse + 7 Swing WXY correction

$SPY 1H Elliott Wave Chart 6.22.2025:
In the 1-hour Elliott Wave count from June 22, 2025, we saw that $SPY completed a 5-wave impulsive cycle at 5 of (3). As expected, this initial wave prompted a pullback. We anticipated this pullback to unfold in 7 swings, likely finding buyers in the equal legs area between $592.48 and $585.08.
This setup aligns with a typical Elliott Wave correction pattern (WXY), in which the market pauses briefly before resuming its primary trend.
$SPY 1H Elliott Wave Chart 6.23.2025:

The next update, from June 23, 2025, shows that the ETF bounced as predicted. Currently, it is trading higher in wave 1 of (5) looking for continuation higher in 5 waves towards 627 – 647 area before another pullback can happen.
Conclusion
In conclusion, our Elliott Wave analysis of S&P 500 ETF ($SPY) suggests that it remains supported against April 2025 lows. As a result, traders should buy the dips and monitor the $627–$647 zone as the next potential target. In the meantime, keep an eye out for any corrective pullbacks that may offer entry opportunities. By applying Elliott Wave Theory, traders can better anticipate the structure of upcoming moves and enhance risk management in volatile markets.
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Elliott Wave Insight: GDX Climbs Higher After Three Wave Decline

The rally in the Gold Miners Junior ETF (GDX) from its December 30, 2024 low remains intact. This rally is unfolding as a five-wave impulse pattern, as observed on the 1-hour chart below. Wave (4) of this impulse concluded at $44.75, setting the stage for wave (5) higher. Wave (5) is currently progressing with its own impulsive subdivision. From the wave (4) low, wave ((i)) peaked at $46.70, followed by a pullback in wave ((ii)) to $45.19. The ETF then surged in wave ((iii)) to $54.62. Subsequent correction in wave ((iv)) ended at $51.12. The final leg, wave ((v)), completed at $54.73, marking the end of wave 1 in the higher degree.

Following this, GDX entered a corrective wave 2, characterized by a clear seven-swing corrective structure. From the wave 1 peak, wave ((w)) declined to $52.19. It was then followed by a recovery in wave ((x)) to $53.74. The subsequent wave ((y)) bottomed at $50.70, completing wave 2. The ETF has since bounced from the 100%–161.8% Fibonacci extension zone of $49.61–$51.18. Currently, GDX could either resume its rally to new highs or stage a three-wave bounce before a potential larger double correction. However, even if a deeper pullback occurs, the corrective nature of the decline from the wave 1 peak supports a bullish outlook, suggesting that any downturn is likely a temporary pause within an ongoing uptrend.

Gold Miners ETF (GDX) 60-Minute Elliott Wave Technical Chart

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EURUSD Elliott Wave Update: Upward Momentum Resumes

The EURUSD Elliott Wave sequence initiated from the September 2022 low reveals an incomplete bullish structure, signaling potential for further upside. A short-term rally from the May 29, 2025 low is currently unfolding as a five-wave impulse. As depicted in the 1-hour chart below, wave ((i)) peaked at 1.16319. A corrective wave ((ii)) followed which concluded at 1.14435. The internal structure of wave ((ii)) formed a zigzag pattern, with wave (a) declining to 1.1486 and wave (b) rebounding to 1.1614. Wave (c) completed the correction at 1.144, finalizing wave ((ii)) in the higher degree.

The pair has resumed its ascent in wave ((iii)), exhibiting an impulsive internal subdivision. From the wave ((ii)) low, wave i advanced to 1.1544, followed by a minor dip in wave ii to 1.1451. Wave iii surged to 1.1641, with a subsequent wave iv pullback ending at 1.1587. The final leg, wave v, culminated at 1.1745, completing wave (i) in the higher degree. A corrective wave (ii) pullback, likely a three-wave zigzag, appears to have concluded at 1.1678. However, a break above the wave (i) high at 1.1745 is required to negate the possibility of a double correction lower. Given the shallow nature of the wave (ii) pullback, the risk of a deeper correction remains. However, as long as the pivotal low at 1.144 holds, dips should attract buyers in 3, 7, or 11 swings, supporting further upside momentum.

EURUSD 60-Minute Elliott Wave Technical Chart



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Elliott Wave Analysis: Nasdaq (NQ) Continues Bullish Cycle, Reaching New All-Time High

The Nasdaq (NQ) has surged to a new all-time high, reaffirming the strength of its ongoing bullish trend. The index established a significant low on April 7, 2025, at 16,460, following a sell-off triggered by tariff war concerns. This low marked a critical turning point, from which the Nasdaq embarked on a robust upward trajectory, unfolding in a five-wave impulse structure as per Elliott Wave analysis.

From the April 7 low, wave 1 peaked at 18,357.25. A corrective wave 2 then followed which bottomed at 16,735. The index then rallied in wave 3, reaching 22,222, before a shallow wave 4 pullback concluded at 21,565.17, as illustrated on the one-hour chart. Currently, wave 5 is in progress, exhibiting an internal impulse structure in a lesser degree. Within this wave 5, wave (i) topped at 21,944.25, with wave (ii) finding support at 21,738.25. Wave (iii) extended to 22,915, followed by a wave (iv) correction that ended at 22,781. The final wave (v) is expected to conclude soon, completing wave ((i)) of the higher-degree wave 5.

Looking ahead, a wave ((ii)) pullback is anticipated to correct the cycle from the June 23, 2025 low, likely unfolding in a 3, 7, or 11-swing pattern before the index resumes its ascent. In the near term, as long as the pivot low at 21,565.17 holds, any dips should find support in a 3, 7, or 11-swing structure, paving the way for further upside. This technical outlook underscores the Nasdaq’s resilience and potential for continued gains, provided key support levels remain intact.

Nasdaq 60-Minute Elliott Wave Technical Chart

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Elliott Wave Outlook: Gold (XAUUSD) Signals Bullish Trend Resumption

Gold (XAUUSD) has exhibited a robust rally since its low on May 15, 2025. The metal formed a five-swing motive sequence that culminated in wave 1 at 3452.50 on June 16, 2025. This five-swing structure, characteristic of an impulsive Elliott Wave pattern, signals potential for further upside. The subsequent pullback in wave 2 appears to have completed at 3246.15, as illustrated in the accompanying 1-hour chart. The internal structure of wave 2 unfolded as a double-three Elliott Wave corrective pattern. Specifically, from the wave 1 peak, wave ((w)) declined to 3340.18. A corrective rally in wave ((x)) followed to 3398.35. The final leg, wave ((y)), concluded at 3246.15, marking the completion of wave 2 in the higher-degree structure.

Gold has since resumed its upward trajectory in wave 3. However, to confirm the bullish outlook and eliminate the possibility of a double correction, the price must decisively break above the wave 1 high at 3452.50. From the wave 2 low, wave (i) advanced to 3296.85. A shallow pullback in wave (ii) followed to 3274.41. Wave (iii) then propelled the metal to 3358.02. Based on the current structure, gold is expected to rally further in wave (v) to complete wave ((i)). Subsequently, a corrective pullback in wave ((ii)), likely unfolding in a 3, 7, or 11-swing structure, is anticipated from the June 30 low before the metal resumes its upward trend. In the near term, as long as the pivot low at 3246.15 remains intact, gold is poised to extend higher, supported by the impulsive momentum of the ongoing wave 3.

Gold 60-Minute Elliott Wave Technical Chart

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Gold (XAUUSD) Elliott Wave Technical Video

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Elliott Wave Update: Dollar Index (DXY) Bearish Trend Intact

The Dollar Index (DXY) cycle, originating from its September 2022 peak, remains incomplete and exhibits a bearish outlook, signaling potential for further declines. The descent from the May 29, 2025 high is currently unfolding as a five-wave impulse pattern. From this high, wave ((i)) concluded at 98.35, followed by a corrective rally in wave ((ii)). The rally formed as an expanded flat, peaking at 99.43 as depicted on the one-hour chart below.

Subsequently, the Index extended lower, forming a nested structure. Within this decline from wave ((ii)), wave i bottomed at 97.7, with a corrective wave ii rally reaching 98.2. Wave iii then drove the Index lower to 97, followed by wave iv peaking at 97.49. The final leg, wave v, completed at 96.37, marking the end of wave (i). Currently, a corrective rally in wave (ii) is underway, aiming to retrace the decline from the June 23, 2025 peak. This rally appears to be unfolding as a zigzag pattern, with wave a concluding at 97.15 and wave b dipping to 96.69. Wave c is expected to target the 100%–161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave a, projecting a range of 97.45–97.9.

Should the Index reach this zone, it may encounter selling pressure, potentially leading to further downside or a three-wave pullback. As long as the pivot high at 99.4 remains intact, any rally is likely to falter in a 3, 7, or 11-swing structure, reinforcing the bearish bias for additional declines.

Dollar Index 60-Minute Elliott Wave Technical Chart

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DXY Elliott Wave Technical Video


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Elliott Wave Outlook: S&P 500 ($SPX) Nests Upward in Strong Rally

Since bottoming out on April 7, 2025, following the tariff war selloff, the S&P 500 (SPX) has sustained a robust rally. The Index is reaching new all-time highs in a clear Elliott Wave impulsive structure. Technical analysis, particularly momentum indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), shows no divergence at the latest peak. This indicates sustained bullish momentum and suggests the rally remains within the third wave of the Elliott Wave sequence. From the April 7 low, wave 1 concluded at 5968.6. A corrective wave 2 followed which ended at 5767.41. The index has since nested higher within wave 3, demonstrating strong upward momentum.

Breaking down the substructure of wave 3, the hourly chart below reveals that wave ((i)) peaked at 6059.4. The subsequent pullback in wave ((ii)) unfolded as a zigzag pattern. Wave (a) declined to 5963.21, and wave (b) rebounded to 6050.83. Wave (c) concluded at 5941.4, completing wave ((ii)) in the higher degree. The index has since resumed its ascent in wave ((iii)). Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) reached 215.08 and a minor pullback in wave (ii) ended at 6177.97.
The SPX is expected to continue its upward trajectory, with potential pullbacks finding support in a 3, 7, or 11 swing against the 5941.4 level, setting the stage for further gains. This analysis underscores the index’s bullish outlook, supported by technical indicators and Elliott Wave structure, as it navigates higher within this impulsive cycle.

S&P 500 (SPX) 60-Minute Elliott Wave Technical Chart

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SPX Elliott Wave Technical Video

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