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The Swamp

  • #123,281
  • Jun 12, 2025 7:26am Jun 12, 2025 7:26am
anyone having problems with traderview acting funky?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,282
  • Jun 12, 2025 7:42am Jun 12, 2025 7:42am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} U.S. GDP last year was 2.8%. The world bank estimate this year is 1.4% . 1/2 of last year's GDP. Also not good for the usd. Lets play the tape.. I think we were promised 6%..By a con man
a 13.7% loss verse's the euro in 60 days was a first. Today's move is over 14% in less than 5 months. That's what the world including u.s. investors as a group think and current conditions. Just think if China push the sell button/not buy button. That exactly where we are going by screwing out friends. It may already be too late. China is making friends while we screw our friends.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,283
  • Jun 12, 2025 7:55am Jun 12, 2025 7:55am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} a 13.7% loss verse's the euro in 60 days was a first. Today's move is over 14% in less than 5 months. That's what the world including u.s. investors as a group think and current conditions. Just think if China push the sell button/not buy button. That exactly where we are going by screwing out friends. It may already be too late. China is making friends while we screw our friends. {image}
Today this year from the low.
14.29%
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,284
  • Jun 12, 2025 3:20pm Jun 12, 2025 3:20pm
Nasdaq 1 Minute chart
What's this?
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  • #123,285
  • Jun 12, 2025 4:43pm Jun 12, 2025 4:43pm
pa is likely bullish sustained above 1601. But if unable to hold above 1301 and rise. A long at 1510/1480 could be a bounce point. Its bullish, but if it fails to hold above 1601. Larger players in COT was still holding more shorts. So watch those for either direction. below 1510 and 1480 is probably bearish. If given a chance I may post something close to a decent dynamic turn
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,286
  • Jun 12, 2025 4:48pm Jun 12, 2025 4:48pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} ea got a piece of the fall. {image}
that ea entry was to the pipet.. My broke is actually a pip below on the high.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,287
  • Jun 12, 2025 4:50pm Jun 12, 2025 4:50pm
Quoting gatorinla
pa is likely bullish sustained above 1601. But if unable to hold above 1301 and rise. A long at 1510/1480 could be a bounce point. Its bullish, but if it fails to hold above 1601. Larger players in COT was still holding more shorts. So watch those for either direction. below 1510 and 1480 is probably bearish. If given a chance I may post something close to a decent dynamic turn
testing 1601 live
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,288
  • Jun 12, 2025 4:52pm Jun 12, 2025 4:52pm
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,289
  • Jun 12, 2025 4:55pm Jun 12, 2025 4:55pm
pa is bullish... So it should press it.. but there may be a pocket
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,290
  • Jun 12, 2025 5:10pm Jun 12, 2025 5:10pm
Quoting gatorinla
pa is bullish... So it should press it.. but there may be a pocket
I have got 1590. And above 1560 it is bullish for sure
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,291
  • Jun 12, 2025 5:12pm Jun 12, 2025 5:12pm
Israel attacks iran.
  • #123,292
  • Jun 12, 2025 5:18pm Jun 12, 2025 5:18pm
Quoting gatorinla
pa is bullish... So it should press it.. but there may be a pocket
Nice 55 pip drop in a few minutes.. a pocket evidently was there
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,293
  • Edited 5:39pm Jun 12, 2025 5:24pm | Edited 5:39pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Nice 55 pip drop in a few minutes.. a pocket evidently was there {image}
1560 still holds though
update : breaks
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,294
  • Jun 12, 2025 5:45pm Jun 12, 2025 5:45pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} 1560 still holds though update : breaks
targeting 1431 I think.. The 8 largest COT traders were holding 60% shorts at 1280.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,295
  • Jun 12, 2025 6:00pm Jun 12, 2025 6:00pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} targeting 1431 I think.. The 8 largest COT traders were holding 60% shorts at 1280. {image}
if we get there it might turn bearish
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,296
  • Jun 12, 2025 6:03pm Jun 12, 2025 6:03pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} 1560 still holds though update : breaks
in the last 1.5 yrs pa return to, or very near 1430.8 redline was 125 times.. the time it didnt go to 1430.8 was 13 time. But We didnt have the crazy shit going on in the past. I got 50 pips off the high..During asia was the chance to catch the 1601 spike.. If it was rejected it helps my odds. The odds were about 90% in would go back to 1430.8.... Once there it has a 50/50 chance. So considering the potential bounce.. it may be a place to long.. or short in a true breakout/breakdown
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,297
  • Jun 12, 2025 6:09pm Jun 12, 2025 6:09pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} in the last 1.5 yrs pa return to, or very near 1430.8 redline was 125 times.. the time it didnt go to 1430.8 was 13 time. But We didnt have the crazy shit going on in the past. I got 50 pips off the high..During asia was the chance to catch the 1601 spike.. If it was rejected it helps my odds. {image}
sadly we have crazy man around, which is the uncertain bits
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,298
  • Jun 12, 2025 7:39pm Jun 12, 2025 7:39pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} sadly we have crazy man around, which is the uncertain bits
there is a limited amount of money in the world. Of the largest 8 traders. They were 61% short. Price has been mostly up. If most of the larger players are short. When does the rug get pulled? Its always at a rejected high. I dont know if this is one. But the algo has a good track record. Not as good as last Fridays algo. it missed by 19 pips. But it did fall 125 pips in that miss. in the current case from the high.. its 200 pips. pa loves 100 and 200 pip moves. Once there it has a 30% of making a HH.. The rest of the time it may bounce 40 to 80 pips. it has a 50% of this bounce.. It also has a 66% to drop deeper over making the HH.. If it falls.. you may gat a bounce Monday to fade. 1430.8 may become R once below.. I will look to long 143x.. tp 40+ and look for a short.. By then everyone will be jumping in long..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,299
  • Jun 12, 2025 7:52pm Jun 12, 2025 7:52pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} there is a limited amount of money in the world. Of the largest 8 traders. They were 61% short. Price has been mostly up. If most of the larger players are short. When does the rug get pulled? Its always at a rejected high. I dont know if this is one. But the algo has a good track record. Not as good as last Fridays algo. it missed by 19 pips. But it did fall 125 pips in that miss. in the current case from the high.. its 200 pips. pa loves 100 and 200 pip moves. Once there it has a 30% of making a HH.. The rest of the time it may bounce...
going with the odds
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,300
  • Jun 13, 2025 1:39am Jun 13, 2025 1:39am
Quoting gatorinla
pa is likely bullish sustained above 1601. But if unable to hold above 1301 and rise. A long at 1510/1480 could be a bounce point. Its bullish, but if it fails to hold above 1601. Larger players in COT was still holding more shorts. So watch those for either direction. below 1510 and 1480 is probably bearish. If given a chance I may post something close to a decent dynamic turn
Right here my ea took a long. For full disclosers I closed it before it reached its target. Because the larger picture has 1430.8. So I still have my shorts despite the possible pull to 1582...
That 1480/1510.. area I need to beat.. The larger picture has me beating it 90% of the time historically. If I turn out to be wrong.. this is the likely place. My smaller ea voted against me. But it did what it was supposed to do
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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