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The Swamp

  • #123,261
  • Jun 9, 2025 8:25am Jun 9, 2025 8:25am
hurdle 1389
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,262
  • Jun 9, 2025 9:56am Jun 9, 2025 9:56am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} in 21 times over 1.5 y, in a like situation. PA hit 1352 19 out of 21 times by Friday's close. In the 2 times it didnt. PA later went to 1352. Later on in those 21 times pa dropped over 100 pips below the 1352 type number. I will post the 2 drops pips. one was over 200 pips the other almost 200 pips. Off the top of my head the last one March 6 or 7th was the start area. Today is the 9th. this started Friday June 6..
22 times is allusive..Most of these were before tariffs, and calling up the National Guard. 22 times? The last time was early March
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,263
  • Jun 9, 2025 10:14am Jun 9, 2025 10:14am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 22 times is allusive..Most of these were before tariffs, and calling up the National Guard. 22 times? The last time was early March
if the next 30 (in 15 m) min close is not below 1408.. its less likely to drop much more today
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,264
  • Jun 10, 2025 4:20pm Jun 10, 2025 4:20pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if the next 30 (in 15 m) min close is not below 1408.. its less likely to drop much more today
still going sideways
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,265
  • Jun 11, 2025 6:51am Jun 11, 2025 6:51am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if the next 30 (in 15 m) min close is not below 1408.. its less likely to drop much more today
EU mostly held support.. Other than COT. things look bullish. COT may be the only thing stopping this from rising. It may keep pa in a range. COT 8 larger player are the market makers with over 61% short. The 8 largest own 85% of the total EU forex market trades. Of those (8 largest traders) market maker's trades. 61% of them are short. The largest 4 own 46.8% of the eu trades. Of them, they are 76% short..The tariffs and now the National Guard/Marine appear to be a distraction for the base. The Bond Market is smart enough to see the game plan. In less than 6 months he is destroying the markets little by little. The frog is being boiled slowly. The bond markets are voting with their feet. This may not end pretty. There's no social security or anything else guaranteed if this gamble is lost. Those COT players can be wrong. If you take away the law, we dont get another 249 years. There is no reset on the gamble, its over. The king controls everything. Meanwhile China is shadowing Japan with war ships.. This stupidity caused by a Moron has put WW3 closer. Be careful for what your wish for. You may just get it. The 28% will destroy what the 72% took for granted with their complacently. The frog is being boiled slowly. If you dont think China has warehouses of drones surely by the 100ks by now. Lined up to take out a carriers you dont get it. If one can produce 100kc worth. Why not millions. It won't matter. The jet needs the deck to take off. Those warehouses can be already in the U.S. And instead of the FBI looking for them. He is running a support detail to lookup old lady garment workers. This is of a greater stupidity. Than leaving fighter planes on the airfields wing tip, to wing tip in 1941. The U.S. is begging to be hit hard
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,266
  • Jun 11, 2025 7:00am Jun 11, 2025 7:00am
Quoting johncen
{quote} still going sideways
yeah.. it wants to rise.. but COT keeps it down. A stalemate until somebody blinks. But man if the bond market stops buying. The moron is doing everything possible to destroy the economy. It's too obvious to be stupidity alone. This has to be planned. You dont get this stupid without a plan. It takes a lot of practice and determination to be this stupid. The economy had to be stronger than anyone ever thought to hold up this long
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,267
  • Jun 11, 2025 7:54am Jun 11, 2025 7:54am
Quoting LoneTrader1
{quote} Another try {image}
I got in again 100 + pips
Chart was telling me to look for shorts, I just did the opposite and it worked. As I said in recent post doesn't make any sense.
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  • #123,268
  • Jun 11, 2025 1:27pm Jun 11, 2025 1:27pm
Quoting LoneTrader1
{quote} I got in again 100 + pips Chart was telling me to look for shorts, I just did the opposite and it worked. As I said in recent post doesn't make any sense. {image}
GU 100+
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  • #123,269
  • Jun 11, 2025 2:27pm Jun 11, 2025 2:27pm
My counter trend ea took the short at 1498.
(testing live with 0.01)
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,270
  • Jun 11, 2025 3:12pm Jun 11, 2025 3:12pm
Quoting gatorinla
My counter trend ea took the short at 1498. (testing live with 0.01)
i have had one from 1493
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,271
  • Jun 11, 2025 8:03pm Jun 11, 2025 8:03pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} i have had one from 1493
stopped out bull went above 1.15
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,272
  • Jun 11, 2025 9:35pm Jun 11, 2025 9:35pm
Quoting gatorinla
My counter trend ea took the short at 1498. (testing live with 0.01)
it reached lc.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,273
  • Edited 10:09pm Jun 11, 2025 9:58pm | Edited 10:09pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} i have had one from 1493
I'm on a strict diet. That's the first time in 32 times it missed 1352.. that was the first miss in 1.5 years. If the 12h closes below 1488 in 6hs. PA 29 out of 32 times hits 1390. Most often before Friday, 2x early the following week. those trades from the high average 180 to 220 pips.
Last weeks miss was 19 pips. It was still over a 100 pip drop. If pa closes the next 12h below 1388. I will be trying to find a high to short from.
Lc is below 1488..Lets see if it pulls it to close below later.
above 1488 12h close goes to the bulls.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,274
  • Jun 12, 2025 1:38am Jun 12, 2025 1:38am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I'm on a strict diet. That's the first time in 32 times it missed 1352.. that was the first miss in 1.5 years. If the 12h closes below 1488 in 6hs. PA 29 out of 32 times hits 1390. Most often before Friday, 2x early the following week. those trades from the high average 180 to 220 pips. Last weeks miss was 19 pips. It was still over a 100 pip drop. If pa closes the next 12h below 1388. I will be trying to find a high to short from. Lc is below 1488..Lets see if it pulls it to close below later. above 1488 12h close goes to the bulls. {image}...
if we achieve all these and closing the week under 1.14, mayb good news to the bear.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,275
  • Jun 12, 2025 3:41am Jun 12, 2025 3:41am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I'm on a strict diet. That's the first time in 32 times it missed 1352.. that was the first miss in 1.5 years. If the 12h closes below 1488 in 6hs. PA 29 out of 32 times hits 1390. Most often before Friday, 2x early the following week. those trades from the high average 180 to 220 pips. Last weeks miss was 19 pips. It was still over a 100 pip drop. If pa closes the next 12h below 1388. I will be trying to find a high to short from. Lc is below 1488..Lets see if it pulls it to close below later. above 1488 12h close goes to the bulls. {image}...
This 12h closed well above 1488.. So its not eligible to be #23 .. Above is wrong.. I typo 32.. its really 22.. I will edit
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,276
  • Jun 12, 2025 3:45am Jun 12, 2025 3:45am
Quoting johncen
{quote} if we achieve all these and closing the week under 1.14, mayb good news to the bear.
If is a big word.. It closed above 1488. When you send armed soldiers in the streets. That dont do much for the image of the country. Less interest in buying treasuries.Not only does the budget blow the deficit. It makes borrowing cost more. The tariffs. the budget, armed Marines in the streets. Putin and China are loving the do-dos jumping off a cliff. Death by a thousand cuts. They couldn't have planned this any better. The moron just dont get it..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,277
  • Jun 12, 2025 3:52am Jun 12, 2025 3:52am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If is a big word.. It closed above 1488. When you send armed soldiers in the streets. That do much for the image of the country. Less interest in buying treasuries.Not only does the budget blow the deficit. It makes borrowing cost more. The tariffs. the budget, armed Marines in the streets. Putin and China are loving the do-dos jumping off a cliff. Death by a thousand cuts. You couldn't have planned this any better. The moron just dont get it..
well thats true, not a single thing is supporting the dollars
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,278
  • Jun 12, 2025 5:44am Jun 12, 2025 5:44am
Quoting johncen
{quote} well thats true, not a single thing is supporting the dollars
U.S. GDP last year was 2.8%. The world bank estimate this year is 1.4% . 1/2 of last year's GDP. Also not good for the usd. Lets play the tape.. I think we were promised 6%..By a con man
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,279
  • Jun 12, 2025 6:07am Jun 12, 2025 6:07am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} U.S. GDP last year was 2.8%. The world bank estimate this year is 1.4% . 1/2 of last year's GDP. Also not good for the usd. Lets play the tape.. I think we were promised 6%..By a con man
instead of 1.0802 maybe we ended up with 1.18
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,280
  • Jun 12, 2025 9:01am Jun 12, 2025 9:01am
Quoting johncen
{quote} instead of 1.0802 maybe we ended up with 1.18
ea got a piece of the fall.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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