Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

USD/JPY Analysis: Bears Put Pressure on Key Support



As shown on the USD/JPY chart, the pair is hovering near key support at ¥142.50 per US dollar.
While demand was strong enough at the end of May to lift the exchange rate from this level to a peak around ¥146.00, USD/JPY has once again retreated to the ¥142.50 area.

Why has USD/JPY declined?
On one hand, the US dollar has weakened following disappointing economic data released yesterday. The figures revealed a sharp slowdown in private sector hiring and an unexpected contraction in the US services sector, fuelling concerns over a possible recession.
On the other hand, yen strength is being driven by the Bank of Japan's apparent willingness to raise interest rates — reaffirmed on Tuesday by Governor Kazuo Ueda — which has reinforced expectations of a tightening cycle.



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What Are Market Cycles And How Can You Use Them?



Market cycles are a cornerstone of financial trading, shaping the opportunities and risks faced by traders across various markets. This article delves into the key phases of market cycles, how they manifest in different trading arenas, and how traders can capitalise on these predictable patterns for trading success.
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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Euro Strengthens, Yen Consolidates Ahead of Nonfarm Payrolls Report


The major currency pairs, EUR/USD and USD/JPY, are showing restrained movement as markets await the release of key US employment data. Investors remain cautious, assessing the outlook for monetary policy in light of recent central bank decisions.
Today, market participants will focus on the release of the monthly US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. According to the consensus forecast, employment is expected to increase by 127K jobs in May, down from 177K in April and below the 12-month average of 156,800. The unemployment rate is projected to remain steady at 4.2%, consistent with recent months.

The anticipated slowdown in job growth is likely tied to ongoing economic uncertainty driven by trade tensions and the imposition of new tariffs. Weak ADP employment data, which showed a gain of only 37K jobs in May, has further raised concerns about the labour market. If the NFP data comes in below expectations, it may reinforce forecasts of potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in the coming months.
EUR/USD

Yesterday, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut its interest rate by 25 basis points to 2.15%. This marks the eighth rate reduction since May 2024, driven by a slowdown in eurozone inflation to 1.9%, below the ECB’s 2% target. ECB President Christine Lagarde noted that the bank is in a “strong position” to navigate the current global economic uncertainty, including trade tensions with the United States. This contributed to the strengthening of the EUR/USD pair to the 1.1490 level. Technical analysis of EUR/USD suggests a potential retest of the April high around 1.1570.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

ECB Cuts Rates. EUR/USD Spikes to 1.5-Month High


Yesterday, as widely expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut interest rates for the eighth time since May 2024. According to ForexFactory, the main refinancing rate was lowered from 2.40% to 2.15% (having stood at 4.50% in May 2024).
According to Reuters:
→ ECB President Christine Lagarde stated that interest rates are now at a “good level”, despite the extremely high uncertainty caused by tariff threats from President Donald Trump.
→ Following the press conference, markets interpreted the message as a sign that the ECB is unlikely to cut rates again at its next meeting in July.
In response to the ECB's decision, the EUR/USD rate jumped to its highest level in a month and a half, but later retreated (as indicated by the arrow) back to previous levels.


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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

GBPUSD Edges Higher, EURGBP Hits Support


GBP/USD is attempting a fresh increase above the 1.3500 resistance. EUR/GBP declined steadily below the 0.8440 and 0.8430 support levels.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and EUR/GBP Analysis Today

 

1. The British Pound is attempting a fresh increase above 1.3515.
2. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 1.3535 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
3. EUR/GBP is trading in a bearish zone below the 0.8450 pivot level.
4. There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.8415 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair declined after it failed to clear the 1.3615 resistance. The British Pound even traded below the 1.3575 support against the US Dollar.

Finally, the pair tested the 1.3500 zone and is currently attempting a fresh increase. The bulls were able to push the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.3540. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 1.3535.
The pair tested the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3616 swing high to the 1.3507 low. It is now showing positive signs above 1.3540.
On the upside, the GBP/USD chart indicates that the pair is facing resistance near 1.3575 and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3616 swing high to the 1.3507 low.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Dow Jones Index Rises Towards Key Resistance


On Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (Wall Street 30 mini on FXOpen) climbed above the 42,950 level — a high not seen since early March.
The index has gained around 1.6% since the beginning of June.
Why Is the Dow Jones Rising?
→ Friday’s US jobs report helped ease concerns about the country’s economic outlook. According to ForexFactory, Non-Farm Employment Change came in at +139K, beating the forecast of +126K.
→ On Thursday, Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping held a call, easing tariff tensions. Market participants also welcomed news that officials may hold trade negotiations in London on 9 June.
Could the DJIA (Wall Street 30 mini on FXOpen) Rally Continue?



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Apple (AAPL) Shares Consolidate Ahead of WWDC



Today, 9 June, marks the start of Apple’s Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC) — an event that traditionally attracts significant attention from investors and traders.
It is fair to say that WWDC 2025 begins against a rather negative backdrop:
→ Since the start of 2025, AAPL stock price has fallen by 19%, and Apple has lost its title as the world’s most valuable company, now trailing behind Microsoft and Nvidia.
→ Expectations raised by last year’s conference — particularly regarding new AI features in the iPhone — were not fully realised. As Barron’s noted, in March, an Apple spokesperson admitted that the new Siri “will take longer than we thought to implement these features. We expect to roll them out next year.”



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 9 - 13 June


Market Insights with Gary Thomson: UK Unemployment & GDP, US Inflation & PPI, Earnings Reports
In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!
In this episode, we discuss:
— UK Unemployment Rate
— US Inflation Rate
— UK GDP Growth Rate
— US Producer Price Index
— Corporate Earnings Statements
Don’t miss out—gain insights to stay ahead in your trading journey.

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Disclaimer: This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

How to Trade with the 5-0 Pattern


The 5-0 pattern is a relatively new harmonic trading formation revealed by Scott Carney in 2007. It is a reversal setup signalling a change in the direction of the market trend. In this FXOpen article, you will learn more about the 5-0 formation and why it’s worth spotting it on a chart. You’ll find out how to trade it effectively and see a real-market example of the 5-0 setup placed on the TickTrader platform.

What Is the 5-0 Harmonic Pattern?
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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Common Mistakes to Avoid in Trading



You have probably heard that trading is risky and that traders often make silly mistakes. At FXOpen, we know that many questions arise during trading regardless of your level of experience. In this article, we will discuss the common trading mistakes that you might make even if you have been in the markets for a long time.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

XBR/USD Chart Analysis: Brent Crude Reaches 1.5-Month High


In our analysis of Brent crude oil six days ago, we identified a large contracting triangle and a local ascending channel. We also outlined a potential scenario involving a bullish breakout above the upper boundary of the triangle.
Although this was not the base-case scenario, the XBR/USD chart now suggests it has played out: yesterday, the price climbed to nearly $67 per barrel — its highest level since the end of April.

The main bullish catalyst appears to be ongoing trade talks between the United States and China, which have raised hopes of a resolution to tariff-related tensions between the world’s two largest economies.
At the same time, rising oil prices may exacerbate geopolitical tensions, particularly amid Israeli threats to strike ports in Yemen — a risk that could disrupt supply chains across the Middle East.


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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

FTSE 100 Surges Towards Record High


Today saw the release of new data on the UK labour market.
According to official statistics, the number of payrolled employees in the UK fell by 55,000 (0.2%) between March and April 2025. Over the broader period from February to April 2025, the number declined by 78,000 (0.3%).

In response to the drop in employment, the UK’s FTSE 100 index (UK 100 on FXOpen) jumped sharply, rising close to the 8,900 mark — near its all-time high reached in early March this year.

Market participants likely interpreted the weakening labour market as an additional argument in favour of interest rate cuts by the Bank of England. Such a move would be seen as supportive of the economy and a bullish factor for equities.


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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Automated Trading vs Manual Trading



In the modern world of trading, two distinct methodologies exist: manual trading vs algorithmic trading. Both these approaches aim at the same goal - to optimise profit and minimise losses in the financial markets. However, they vary significantly in their operation, the level of involvement required, and the nature of decision-making processes. In this FXOpen article, you will find the key differences between the approaches and their advantages and limitations that may help you to choose the right approach for you.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

AUD/USD & NZD/USD Aim Steady Increase


AUD/USD started a decent increase above the 0.6450 and 0.6500 levels. NZD/USD is also rising and might aim for more gains above 0.6080.

Important Takeaways for AUD USD and NZD USD Analysis Today

 

1. The Aussie Dollar rebounded after forming a base above the 0.6400 level against the US Dollar.
2. There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6510 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
3. NZD/USD is consolidating gains above the 0.6030 zone.
4. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6030 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 0.6450 support. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear the 0.6500 resistance to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar.
There was a close above the 0.6500 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 0.6535 zone. A high was formed near 0.6533 and the pair recently started a consolidation phase.
There was a move below the 0.6520 level. The pair dipped below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6489 swing low to the 0.6533 high.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

USD/CAD Holds Near 2025 Low


When we last analysed the USD/CAD chart on 4 June, we identified a descending channel that remains relevant.
On 5 June, the pair reached a new low for 2025, and it is possible that bears will attempt to extend this move further over the course of the month.

Why is USD/CAD declining?
The Canadian dollar appears to be strengthening amid speculation that a trade agreement between the US and Canada could be finalised soon — possibly on 15 June, when the G7 summit is due to be held in Canada.
Media reports highlight several indicators supporting this view:
→ Prime Minister Mark Carney stated that Canada will meet its NATO spending target of 2% of GDP.
→ Canada refrained from retaliatory tariffs on steel and aluminium.
→ The US ambassador to Canada confirmed that “secret” negotiations are ongoing.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Market Flat Ahead of US Inflation Data


Major currency pairs — particularly GBP/USD and USD/JPY — are showing sideways movement following Friday’s mixed US labour market data. While non-farm payrolls rose to 139,000, above the forecast of 126,000, weaker industrial employment (–8,000) and a steady unemployment rate of 4.2% dampened market response. A 0.4% increase in average hourly earnings also failed to give the dollar a strong push, maintaining uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s next steps.
Today, investors will focus on the release of US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for May. Core CPI is forecast to rise by 2.5%. The report may significantly affect the short-term direction of the dollar and trigger increased volatility in major currency pairs.

Technical Analysis of USD/JPY

The USD/JPY pair is holding around 144.90, reflecting a neutral market sentiment ahead of a block of key US macroeconomic data. The lack of fresh catalysts from the Japanese economy is contributing to the pair’s consolidation near current levels.
Technical analysis of USD/JPY suggests potential growth towards the 146.20–145.40 zone, as a Stick Sandwich candlestick formation has appeared on the daily timeframe. A clear drop below 144.00 would invalidate the scenario of a bullish correction.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Tesla (TSLA) Shares Rebound After Sharp Drop


When analysing the Tesla (TSLA) stock price chart six days ago, on the morning of 5 June, we:
→ highlighted Elon Musk’s critical comments regarding the spending bill promoted by the US President;
→ noted that a potential rift between Musk and Trump could have long-term implications, including for TSLA shares;
→ outlined an ascending channel (marked in blue);
→ suggested that the price might correct from the upper to the lower boundary of the channel.

This scenario played out rather aggressively: later that same day, during the main trading session, Tesla’s share price dropped sharply to the lower boundary of the channel amid a scandal involving Musk and Trump.
However, the lower boundary of the channel predictably acted as support. Yesterday, TSLA shares were among the top five performers in the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen), gaining around 5.6%.
As a result, TSLA stock price climbed back above the psychologically important $300 mark, recovering from the previous week’s sell-off.

Why Are Tesla (TSLA) Shares Rising?
Bullish drivers include:
→ The upcoming launch of Tesla’s robotaxi service, provisionally scheduled for 22 June. Elon Musk has stated he intends to use the service himself.
→ Easing of tensions with the US President. Donald Trump declared that he has no intention of "getting rid of Tesla or Starlink" should he return to the White House.
→ Continued support from Cathie Wood, the prominent asset manager, who once again reaffirmed her confidence in Tesla’s future success.[/img]


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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

What Are the Benefits of Demo Trading?


Demo trading has become an indispensable tool for traders to test out their skills and gain experience before entering the real market. In this article, we’ll look at the benefits of demo trading, including its ability to help traders develop discipline, improve decision-making skills, and reduce emotional strain.

What Is Demo Trading?
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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

S&P 500 Maintains Uptrend — But for How Long?


As the chart of the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) shows, price movements in June continue to form an upward trend (highlighted in blue).

The bullish momentum is being supported by:
→ News of a potential trade agreement between the United States and China;
→ The latest inflation report. Data released yesterday showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) slowed from 0.2% to 0.1% month-on-month.
President Donald Trump described the inflation figures as “excellent” and said that the Federal Reserve should cut interest rates by a full percentage point. In his view, this would stimulate the economy — and serve as another bullish driver.

However, as illustrated by the red arrow, the index pulled back yesterday from its highest level in three and a half months, falling towards the lower boundary of the channel. This decline was triggered by concerning developments in the Middle East. According to media reports, the US is preparing a partial evacuation of its embassy in Iraq, following statements by a senior Iranian official that Tehran may strike US bases in the region if nuclear talks with Washington fail.


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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Intel (INTC) Shares Drop Over 6% in a Day


As shown on the Intel (INTC) chart, after Tuesday’s candle closed above $21, the price dropped sharply on Wednesday. INTC was the worst-performing stock of the day among the components of the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen).

Why Did INTC Shares Fall?
The decline is linked to growing competitive pressure. According to media reports:
→ On one hand, AMD continues to rapidly expand its share of the server CPU market. A report by Mercury shows that the company already controls 40% of the segment and could match Intel as early as next year.
→ On the other hand, Nvidia is preparing to launch two accelerated processing units (APUs) for the consumer market, which will combine CPU and GPU capabilities in a single product.


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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.