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The Swamp

  • #123,241
  • Jun 6, 2025 3:26am Jun 6, 2025 3:26am
Some play the tl
it looks to be breaking
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,242
  • Jun 6, 2025 3:40am Jun 6, 2025 3:40am
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,243
  • Jun 6, 2025 4:22am Jun 6, 2025 4:22am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1/2 right point to 1352x.. 1399 could be bouncy back to here again {image}
I will call it right 19.5X to 2.5X now. and 20 to 2 if it makes it.. to 1352ish today
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,244
  • Jun 6, 2025 4:28am Jun 6, 2025 4:28am
EU might not work...
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  • #123,245
  • Jun 6, 2025 4:59am Jun 6, 2025 4:59am
Quoting LoneTrader1
EU might not work... {image}
COT favors drop still.. But it is Summer range season. If NFP is anti bull usd.. And we close today below 1.1342. I think we have a shot at 1.0802. 1.0354 is too far in 3 weeks. 1.0802 could fit.. Support in the 1.1342/67 zone looks to be tested.. If NFP numbers favor the euro, and it still falls. To close below 1342.. Its probably no accident
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,246
  • Jun 6, 2025 5:24am Jun 6, 2025 5:24am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} COT favors drop still.. But it is Summer range season. If NFP is anti bull usd.. And we close today below 1.1342. I think we have a shot at 1.0802. 1.0354 is too far in 3 weeks. 1.0802 could fit.. Support in the 1.1342/67 zone looks to be tested.. If NFP numbers favor the euro, and it still falls. To close below 1342.. Its probably no accident
Nothing makes sense to me this year if you ask me. Weekly candle has closed as a doji with long wick to the downside. High probability of filling that wick and possibly more downside. But as I said market has changed drastically, not in a good way.
  • #123,247
  • Jun 6, 2025 7:33am Jun 6, 2025 7:33am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1/2 right point to 1352x.. 1399 could be bouncy back to here again {image}
enitial bounce
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,248
  • Jun 6, 2025 9:17am Jun 6, 2025 9:17am
GJ
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  • #123,249
  • Jun 6, 2025 9:23am Jun 6, 2025 9:23am
Quoting LoneTrader1
EU might not work... {image}
Another try
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  • #123,250
  • Jun 6, 2025 10:05am Jun 6, 2025 10:05am
Quoting LoneTrader1
GJ {image}
GU
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  • #123,251
  • Jun 6, 2025 10:08am Jun 6, 2025 10:08am
1399 can resist now Looking for a fade into close to 1352ish
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1/2 right point to 1352x.. 1399 could be bouncy back to here again {image}
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,252
  • Jun 6, 2025 3:21pm Jun 6, 2025 3:21pm
Quoting LoneTrader1
{quote} Another try {image}
Have closed.
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  • #123,253
  • Edited 4:13pm Jun 6, 2025 3:35pm | Edited 4:13pm
Quoting gatorinla
1399 can resist now Looking for a fade into close to 1352ish {quote}
This dont look to be happening. It missed atm by 19 pips.. The entry near 1.14 was solid. If it gaps to 0352. I will count it. 1399 sa far is holding up. COT Larger players are short by 61%. So if it rises Monday.. It may fall just as far Tuesday. ATM pa at 1394 with 25 min left
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,254
  • Jun 6, 2025 4:10pm Jun 6, 2025 4:10pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} This dont look to be happening. It missed atm by 91 pips.. The entry near 1.14 was solid. If it gaps to 0352. I will count it. 1399 sa far is holding up. COT Larger players are short by 61%. So if it rises Monday.. It may fall just as far Tuesday. ATM pa at 1394 with 25 min left {image}
in a like situation the 2 misses hovered 45/50 pips above 1352.. before hitting it after some sideways action by Tuesday.. What happened was later was a 190 and a 280 pip drop
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,255
  • Jun 6, 2025 9:33pm Jun 6, 2025 9:33pm
I may be wrong.. I think the odds are decent for a 20/35 pip gap down Sunday. 1352 or near hit. The gap closing later may be a entry.. 1399 may resist most pullbacks.. A decent chance to tag 1.1xx.. Void maybe be above 1399.. But it may still drop after
Things Can change if Musk releses DT dic pics from the Epstien files or something
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,256
  • Jun 6, 2025 9:48pm Jun 6, 2025 9:48pm
Quoting gatorinla
I may be wrong.. I think the odds are decent for a 20/35 pip gap down Sunday. 1352 or near hit. The gap closing later may be a entry.. 1399 may resist most pullbacks.. A decent chance to tag 1.1xx.. Void maybe be above 1399.. But it may still drop after Things Can change if Musk releses DT dic pics from the Epstien files or something
week closed near 1352 or under would have been ideal but we still get a pretty long wick, let see Monday open and how next week plays out

of course Crazy man is the uncertainty here.

china-us talk in London on Monday, may help with a gap down
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,257
  • Jun 8, 2025 2:04pm Jun 8, 2025 2:04pm
Quoting gatorinla
I may be wrong.. I think the odds are decent for a 20/35 pip gap down Sunday. 1352 or near hit. The gap closing later may be a entry.. 1399 may resist most pullbacks.. A decent chance to tag 1.1xx.. Void maybe be above 1399.. But it may still drop after Things Can change if Musk releses DT dic pics from the Epstien files or something
not much gap if any looking atm.. definitely not 35 pips. No need to closes what dont happen. 1.399 is on the r scale. I usually like to trade the return to a strong COT bias after the Monday run from hits adr +.. In this case 1399 can prevent the run
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,258
  • Jun 8, 2025 2:05pm Jun 8, 2025 2:05pm
Quoting gatorinla
I may be wrong.. I think the odds are decent for a 20/35 pip gap down Sunday. 1352 or near hit. The gap closing later may be a entry.. 1399 may resist most pullbacks.. A decent chance to tag 1.1xx.. Void maybe be above 1399.. But it may still drop after Things Can change if Musk releses DT dic pics from the Epstien files or something
not much gap if any looking atm.. definitely not 35 pips. No need to close what dont happen. 1.399 is on the r scale. I usually like to trade the return to a strong COT bias after the Monday run from hits adr +.. In this case 1399 can prevent the run
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,259
  • Jun 8, 2025 4:21pm Jun 8, 2025 4:21pm
1930s Germany: Find a group of people to berate, call news fake, Only I can save you. superior race talk I know more than the generals. Corruption out the ass , burn the books, attack institutions.. Send out the military against it citizens. Will the country survive? If folks do stop it, it will come. When it comes, You have no Social Security or Pensions. Your money may be worth nothing. Your home deed may be useless. People may own nothing.
"all that is needed for evil to prevail is for good men to do nothing"
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,260
  • Jun 9, 2025 8:11am Jun 9, 2025 8:11am
Quoting gatorinla
pay attention here near 1400.. if it fails.. over the last 1.5 years out of 21 like moves. 19 ended back in the 135x area Friday. 2 b/o higher. # 3 or # 20 is next
in 21 times over 1.5 y, in a like situation. PA hit 1352 19 out of 21 times by Friday's close. In the 2 times it didnt. PA later went to 1352. Later on in those 21 times pa dropped over 100 pips below the 1352 type number. I will post the 2 drops pips. one was over 200 pips the other almost 200 pips. Off the top of my head the last one March 6 or 7th was the start area. Today is the 9th. this started Friday June 6..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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