The Swamp

EUR/USD Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis – June 2025
Precision Trading Setup for Bulls Eye Entries
Overview
As we enter June 2025, EUR/USD continues to build bullish momentum across all major timeframes. Price has broken out of its consolidation structures, supported by key technical confluences including moving averages, Bollinger bands, and oscillators. Here’s a structured deep-dive across H1, H4, Daily, and Weekly timeframes to prepare swing, position, and short-term scalping entries.
1-Hour Chart (H1) – Intraday Trend Momentum
Structure:

1. Higher highs and higher lows indicate a strong intraday uptrend.
2. Price recently broke out above short-term resistance at 1.1350.
3. Candles closing above the Bollinger band midline and 50 EMA.

Indicators:

1. 50 EMA > 200 EMA = Confirmed short-term bullish trend.
2. RSI climbing towards 70 = momentum strong but nearing overbought.
3. Stochastic Oscillator in overbought zone, but still bullish crossover.

Insights:

1. Short-term breakout with Bollinger Band expansion = volatility entry zone.
2. Dynamic support forming at 1.1325–1.1340 (previous breakout + 20 EMA).

Intraday Bias: Bullish
Ideal for breakout traders and 2:1 scalp setups on pullbacks.
4-Hour Chart (H4) – Swing Structure Confirmation
Market Structure:

1. Clean reversal from bearish channel.
2. Bullish engulfing followed by continuous uptrend forming a rising wedge.
3. Price trading well above Ichimoku cloud support.

Indicators:

1. 50 EMA crossing 200 EMA = Bullish crossover.
2. Bollinger Bands widening = volatility injection.
3. RSI at 60+, trending without divergence.
4. Stochastic bullish and mid-slope = room for continuation.

Key Zone:

1. Consolidation re-tested at 1.1280–1.1300 — now acting as demand.

Swing Bias: Strongly Bullish
Best timeframe for pullback-based swing entries. Re-entry zones: 1.1315–1.1345.
Daily Chart – Macro Trend Clarity
Trend Landscape:

1. Breakout from prolonged accumulation phase.
2. Rounded bottom completed; price in impulsive phase 2.
3. 50 and 200 MAs in strong uptrend alignment.

Indicators:

1. RSI sustaining above 60 = mid-uptrend health.
2. Stochastic crossover near 65 = good continuation potential.
3. Bollinger Bands wide and price hugging upper band = bullish confidence.

Support/Resistance:

1. Support: 1.1200 (structure base), 1.1275 (mid-term retest zone)
2. Target: 1.1385 → 1.1450 → 1.1625 (extension based on fib & prior tops)

Daily Bias: Confirmed Bullish Trend
Ideal for multi-day holds, pyramid entries, and trailing stop strategy.
Weekly Chart – Investor Sentiment & Big Picture
Long-Term Overview:

1. Rounded bottom formed between Sep 2022–Feb 2024.
2. Breakout retested, new uptrend in motion.
3. Price holding above Ichimoku cloud and all key SMAs.

Indicators:

1. RSI: Rising, not overbought — strength without exhaustion.
2. Stochastic: Mid-range bullish slope — confirms momentum isn't over.
3. Bollinger Bands: Opening up after squeeze — indicative of macro breakout.

Key Macro Levels:

1. Support: 1.1100 (Weekly pivot)
2. Resistance: 1.1390 → 1.1650 → 1.1780

Weekly Bias: Long-Term Bullish
Perfect for position traders and fund-flow tracking.
Trade Setup Summary (As of 02 June 2025)
Time frame Bias Entry Zone SLTP Targets
H1Bullish Momentum1.1340–1.1355 (pullback)1.13151.1385 / 1.1410
H4Swing Bullish1.1320–1.13451.12801.1450 / 1.1500
Daily Confirmed Uptrend1.1270–1.13001.12101.1490 / 1.1620
Weekly Macro Bullish Re-entry on dips > 1.12501.11001.1650 / 1.1780

Risk Note
This setup assumes trend continuation. If EUR/USD breaks below 1.1270 on high volume and closes daily under the 50 EMA, bias invalidation kicks in.
Pro Tip:
“A trend that survives the H4 chart but fails on the Daily is just noise. Respect structure. Trust confluence. And never forget — sideways kills more accounts than reversals ever did.”
Conclusion
EUR/USD is showing coordinated bullish structure across all timeframes. Whether you’re scalping or positioning for macro trends, this is a rare alignment phase where technical, structural, and momentum indicators agree. Don’t chase. Plan your re-entries. Let price come to you. Markets reward patience, not panic.

Sell Lmt at 1.1428; STP=1.1440; TPs= Every 100 pips

This setup still valid?

Triggered!

I'm in.

Stopped!

Pa is back at 1452.. its looking bullish, and is. If it would fall back below 1352.. maybe with a 4h close it could retrace more. It may support there or b/o there
Its tuesday,, it may be sideways
eu pa likes 100 pip moves
Anyway its 100 pips above 1352, see if it weakens.. It may fall about 50 pips and run sideways. It has a chance to return to 1352 for Wednesday. Cott was still bearish.. It may have a limited rise.

1341 and 1352 do have support value. If its below 1341 with a long wick,, It may be slipping. It may seem like a buy there (the trend is up).. be careful buying if its closing below 1341 or 1352

it might be hard to get 1.0802 by the end of this quarter it will be a 650 pips drop from here (assume this is the top)
seems unlikely but we have done almost 750 pips in April, nothing impossible

if the close in 45 min is above 1435. Its probably going to have a bullish 12h close. If the 12h closes above 1435.. the average move is 80+ pips... +60 pips 80% of the time. 100 pips 40% of the time above 1435.

the 6h close hours ago did not place a bullish shadow on the 12h. the 12h will close in 12 min. It dont appear it will closing above..

What this suggest to me,, PA at some point this week will get back close to 1352. Below it and 134x sustained may give more

its 1/2 way there. If it runs back to 1434.. and later is closing below 1411 sustained. That could be a sign.. continuing below 1411 now could be too. But later in the week has best odds to get back to 1352. It may be best to let it happen and let 1352/4x start to resist

1411.8 is trying to hold.

Those are a wtf kind of move.. Like the rise to here after all the bearish markers 12xx at the recent low. It will have a bullish appearance in every way before, little bearish signs start to root. 1.0802.. We cant tell yet.. Pa loves 100 pip moves. 1352 and the high atm near 1452.. The 6h not confirming the 12h would be bullish. Not getting back to 1434 today again could be another.. 1411 becoming R etc.

top is in

last week when it crossed 1272 sustained it made me close shorts.. This week sustained below 1341 may be the same thing. PA may be attracted to 1352.. Sustained below 1341 can be a b/o

Just have to take it one step at a time

I think i know what it wants.. I may not know. It may take several attempts to get there.