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  • #13,021
  • May 29, 2025 10:40am May 29, 2025 10:40am
Need to read this:

How Trump might bypass US courts to continue his tariff agenda

Will have to close for today, see you for one last day of the week tomorrow Friday. Until then, green pips!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #13,022
  • May 29, 2025 11:26am May 29, 2025 11:26am
Quoting halkins
Time to wipe the board clean and redraw everything. SELL signals have been generated on higher TF, so now I need to look for where it would be good to enter a SELL position. My plan for today is as follows: If, after NEWS announced at 1:30 PM the price shoots up and lands in the selling range, I will simply start selling.. If it shoots down, well, I will simply go for a walk :-) My STOP LOSS - 1.1370 {image}
Ouch... STOP LOSS HIT.. , 3 attempts, 3 failures
Unbelievable BUY pressure... , I hope it won't fall now
The market ATE me for dinner today
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  • #13,023
  • May 29, 2025 11:31am May 29, 2025 11:31am
EUR/USD Options Expiry Influence – Key Strike Level: 1.1325
Date: 29 May 2025
Currency Pair: EUR/USD
Focus: Options Expiry Dynamics
Identified Magnet Level: 1.1325
Why 1.1325 Is Emerging as a Critical Expiry Level
1. Open Interest Clustering
A significant concentration of open interest has been observed around the 1.1325 strike, according to CME Group’s FX options data. Strikes with high open interest tend to exert a gravitational pull on price action approaching expiry, due to dealer positioning and hedging behaviors.
2. Gamma Pinning Dynamics
Market makers dynamically hedge their delta exposure as spot approaches high OI strikes. This leads to what is known as “gamma pinning”, where the spot rate experiences a self-reinforcing consolidation near that level. This effect is especially potent when volatility is stable and no major macro news disrupts flow.
3. Technical Confluence
1.1325 has previously acted as a local pivot—both as support and resistance—on lower timeframes. This enhances its significance as an expiry magnet, as both technical traders and option desks may anchor their levels around it.
Implications for Intraday Traders

  1. If spot consolidates near 1.1325: Expect range-bound action driven by hedging flows. Scalping strategies with tight stop-losses could perform well around this level.
  2. If spot breaches 1.1325 with momentum: It may imply that directional flows (possibly from macro data or institutional rebalancing) are overpowering expiry-related gamma pressure.
  3. If 1.1325 is defended near the NY cut: That would be a classic gamma pinning outcome, indicating market-maker dominance in the session.

Strategic Takeaways

  1. Monitor the EUR/USD price behavior around 1.1325 closely, especially as we approach the 10 AM ET (NY cut) expiry window.
  2. Any sharp rejection or absorption at this level could provide actionable intraday opportunities.
  3. Use this level as an anchor for tactical entries, with tight risk-defined setups on either side depending on the market's reaction.

The Phoenix Trader....
  • #13,024
  • May 29, 2025 11:52am May 29, 2025 11:52am
Quoting halkins
{quote} Maaann.. You must have nerves of steel to go all-in Good. Congratulations.
Just for fun

All in ??...Depends on Leverage, Range and TL

Now to 100K in Lower Leverage

Impossible or Possible ? who knows, Only Time will Tell
Holy Betting Grail strategy
  • #13,025
  • Edited 6:27pm May 29, 2025 3:19pm | Edited 6:27pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Update. A huge move today! 1.1381-1.1418 is a daily supply zone not sure will reach there. 1H based on 4H supply and demand. {image}
such a crazy move! Month end weekly end next!

bulls seems to be favoured at this stage but who knows!
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #13,026
  • May 29, 2025 10:45pm May 29, 2025 10:45pm
The EUR/USD is trading negatively after bouncing from the 1.1210 low. The US Dollar found some support from a flight to safety due to reinstated US trade tariffs, though concerns about US fiscal conditions and expected Fed rate cuts are limiting its upside. If support at 1.1345 or 1.1300, 1.1275/55 holds, 1.1390 and 1.1418/24 could be the next upside targets. Watch selling at highs might take some time.

Green pips!


Daily volatility (range) 70 pips

Option expiries for Friday: 1.0970 (EU1.16b), 1.1250 (EU914.5m), 1.1500 (EU773.1m) source: financialjuice.com

Significant news - US Core PCE Price Index & University Michigan Sentiment Final

1H
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #13,027
  • May 29, 2025 10:49pm May 29, 2025 10:49pm
Quoting sunilpawar
EUR/USD Options Expiry Influence – Key Strike Level: 1.1325 Date: 29 May 2025 Currency Pair: EUR/USD Focus: Options Expiry Dynamics Identified Magnet Level: 1.1325 Why 1.1325 Is Emerging as a Critical Expiry Level 1. Open Interest Clustering A significant concentration of open interest has been observed around the 1.1325 strike, according to CME Group’s FX options data. Strikes with high open interest tend to exert a gravitational pull on price action approaching expiry, due to dealer positioning and hedging behaviors. 2. Gamma Pinning Dynamics...
1.1325 CME or FX spot price?
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #13,028
  • Edited 12:25am May 30, 2025 12:02am | Edited 12:25am
Quoting johncen
{quote} such a crazy move! Month end weekly end next! bulls seems to be favoured at this stage but who knows!
Looking at the monthly doji a bounce for a test to yearly resistance and the monthly high seems possible next. From the other consolidation with a downward bias might take some time from the bull.
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #13,029
  • May 30, 2025 12:54am May 30, 2025 12:54am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Looking at the monthly doji a bounce for a test to yearly resistance and the monthly high seems possible next. From the other consolidation with a downward bias might take some time from the bull. {image}
with what happened yesterday plus month end it might be pretty volatile today. Close today should give us good indication
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #13,030
  • May 30, 2025 1:04am May 30, 2025 1:04am
Quoting johncen
{quote} with what happened yesterday plus month end it might be pretty volatile today. Close today should give us good indication
Lets see the inflation news today and get clues!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #13,031
  • May 30, 2025 1:18am May 30, 2025 1:18am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Update. A huge move today! 1.1381-1.1418 is a daily supply zone not sure will reach there. 1H based on 4H supply and demand. {image}
Coming down from the supply zone I mentioned yesterday. I have a what if bear take us below 1.1200 next in my mind. Just don't rush to just get an entry for long wait for confirmation candles, macd, rsi and fundamentals to match your trade.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #13,032
  • May 30, 2025 2:13am May 30, 2025 2:13am
Sell eurusd
Buy stop around 1.12850
Both Eurusd and USDX want to will the liquidity gap
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Measure your progress by pips —master the pips, and the profit will come
  • #13,033
  • May 30, 2025 2:45am May 30, 2025 2:45am
In 15 min. these releases will set the tone to German cpi later but remember US PCE is the King today.
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  • #13,034
  • May 30, 2025 4:18am May 30, 2025 4:18am
Im looking for entry
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Hi I'm Aayush.j
  • #13,035
  • May 30, 2025 4:22am May 30, 2025 4:22am
Waiting for either 1.1320 or 1.1300 to hold until US news!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #13,036
  • May 30, 2025 4:42am May 30, 2025 4:42am
DXY H1
trendline
below R - EURUSD up
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #13,037
  • May 30, 2025 6:20am May 30, 2025 6:20am
Yesterday's Daily Range of 160 to 170 pips totally surprised me.
In my opinion, there was no reason in the published data to cause such a turnaround... really nothing special...

If today's news can pull the price to around 1.13, I'm jumping back into BUY...
This time, I will not load a full magazine to shoot
Does anybody agree or disagree?
Green Pips
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  • #13,038
  • May 30, 2025 6:44am May 30, 2025 6:44am
Eurusd H1
trendlines
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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #13,039
  • May 30, 2025 6:49am May 30, 2025 6:49am
If anybody is interested...
Last snapshot of recent retail traders PENDING ORDERS..
As you can see, nearly 70% of retail traders want to go LONG with a large accumulation below 1.1295
But retail traders are too small to create a move...
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  • #13,040
  • May 30, 2025 7:05am May 30, 2025 7:05am
Quoting halkins
Yesterday's Daily Range of 160 to 170 pips totally surprised me. In my opinion, there was no reason in the published data to cause such a turnaround... really nothing special... If today's news can pull the price to around 1.13, I'm jumping back into BUY... This time, I will not load a full magazine to shoot Does anybody agree or disagree? Green Pips {image}
Agreed but I look forward to 1.12400 area as the proper buy area.
I just think it should reach the area before it will reverse to buy
Measure your progress by pips —master the pips, and the profit will come
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