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The Swamp

  • #123,141
  • May 28, 2025 11:40am May 28, 2025 11:40am
maybe tomorrow 1.12
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,142
  • May 28, 2025 3:17pm May 28, 2025 3:17pm
Quoting gatorinla
maybe tomorrow 1.12 {image}
1302/10 has a low chance for a bounce. Breaking above is a even less. If it did it likely will be pulled down in a pin bar. If/when pa is below 1272... Getting closes maybe just a 15m can make it harden as a R.. imho
below 1372 it will likely see 1250 soon and near 1200 or deeper i suspect in time
The trap seems to have worked
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,143
  • May 28, 2025 3:24pm May 28, 2025 3:24pm
Quoting gatorinla
The month is about to close.. Its getting tight atm.. But pa is below 1367 and 1345... I dont want to get cocky.. I need to mostly remain and close below these.. below 1341 is better today. The 12h and under candles. Probably look bullish. But against these numbers may be a trap
this one.. 1.1302/10 may be another trap.. If people see it breaking North... It will likely quickly drop without recovery to 1.12
1246/50 may give some false hope. But at expiry or before 1.12 (very close) I think will print. Once 1272 swallows its unlikely to come back.. I had 1345 in my brain but its not likely again once below 1272
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,144
  • May 28, 2025 5:10pm May 28, 2025 5:10pm
Another one less strong as a day trader. May be sustaining below 1287 as bearish. Usually I treat these as a area to consider a long when sustained above. Now I believe it is those larger players who were selling on the rise above 1367. If pa falls between 1287 and 72... it may grind it out, before slipping below the waves
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,145
  • May 28, 2025 6:12pm May 28, 2025 6:12pm
It may not matter but 1280 may have some s too
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,146
  • May 28, 2025 6:17pm May 28, 2025 6:17pm
here we go..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,147
  • May 28, 2025 6:26pm May 28, 2025 6:26pm
me court ruled against the DT tariffs
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,148
  • May 28, 2025 6:52pm May 28, 2025 6:52pm
Nice leg
My buddy will be happy
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,149
  • May 28, 2025 7:01pm May 28, 2025 7:01pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} My point is he cant sign anything. It's not for him to decide. All trade deals need Senate approval. Trade deals are treaty's. They can't be signed by him alone. We still have a constitution without a king. It took about 2 years for USMCA. Those 100 deals still need congress. The senate has yet to have one in a debate. I dont see any on the agenda. So there are no deals.
hmmmm
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,150
  • May 28, 2025 8:59pm May 28, 2025 8:59pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} hmmmm
given the tariffs have been such a disaster and he has to keep backing down....this may be his off ramp for the dumb idea....and he can as usual blame someone else
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #123,151
  • May 28, 2025 9:49pm May 28, 2025 9:49pm
Quoting gatorinla
me court ruled against the DT tariffs
That court ruling may distort or change things. It may reduce the inflation curve. It could affect the EU one way way or another. It came out of left field. It's not in my analysis .. It may change things. I dont know in what way. But before the tariff talk, the year closed with a break out lower close.. Some digestion can take time.
year chart
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,152
  • May 28, 2025 11:00pm May 28, 2025 11:00pm
Quoting axecap
{quote} given the tariffs have been such a disaster and he has to keep backing down....this may be his off ramp for the dumb idea....and he can as usual blame someone else
It's in plain words for me to understand he dont have the authority. Congress has the authority. He just wants the center stage. He would of destroyed the economy. 6 time bankrupt dont make your a good businessman. It just means your successful at going bankrupt. He did a pretty good job last time adding near 8 trillion in debt.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,153
  • May 29, 2025 12:17am May 29, 2025 12:17am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It's in plain words for me to understand he dont have the authority. Congress has the authority.
Yes correct, so he used the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. A long stretch and the court has decided too long.
But I dont tink its over, still more chaos to come.
Scalping is the only way to go for me.
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #123,154
  • May 29, 2025 3:31am May 29, 2025 3:31am
1302 may be a better R area.. It may not make it there.. 1287 may also and is closer. It may take it to 1200
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,155
  • May 29, 2025 3:48am May 29, 2025 3:48am
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That large option at 1.12
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,156
  • May 29, 2025 4:14am May 29, 2025 4:14am
if the 15m now closes below 1272 that may be bearish.. 30 min and 1h would be stronger
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,157
  • May 29, 2025 4:16am May 29, 2025 4:16am
Quoting gatorinla
if the 15m now closes below 1272 that may be bearish.. 30 min and 1h would be stronger
it didnt... yet
but the 12h did... So its is already primed.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,158
  • May 29, 2025 4:22am May 29, 2025 4:22am
COT was short. atm we just closed a 12h below the 2023 high.. the 2024 high is the low. This is what the institutions are working on.
That 12h cangle looks like a bottom forming... Why is the larger players short here... Maybe its about to open the bottom soon
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,159
  • May 29, 2025 4:33am May 29, 2025 4:33am
Quoting axecap
{quote} Yes correct, so he used the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. A long stretch and the court has decided too long. But I dont tink its over, still more chaos to come. Scalping is the only way to go for me.
Those trade judges are not normal judges. They are the experts on trade. The Supreme court will have the final word
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,160
  • May 29, 2025 4:39am May 29, 2025 4:39am
not even a 5 min yet
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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