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  • #12,981
  • May 28, 2025 7:00am May 28, 2025 7:00am
Yesterday I managed to catch a very nice swing of the short TOP down to the BOTTOM.
This doesn't happen very often, so I have to brag a bit, sorry, sorry

Today, it seems to me that we will pull it up to 1.1380 and there we will wait calmly until the end of the day.
Then the FED will turn the tables upside down... or not
It is worth noting that during such events, it does not matter how the candle closes, where the SMA runs or what it crosses with or where the oscillator jumps...
It simply does not matter...
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Read Charts - Not Papers
  • #12,982
  • May 28, 2025 7:40am May 28, 2025 7:40am
EurUsd H4,H1
Trendlines
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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #12,983
  • May 28, 2025 8:11am May 28, 2025 8:11am
any predictions once the us market opens?
since we are close to an important demand zone ...
  • #12,984
  • May 28, 2025 9:20am May 28, 2025 9:20am
Until now ranging pricing action persists between 1.1295 & 1.1340/45. FOMC is later and I expect a break of the range but I need to see a proper one. Wait for confirmation!

Also watch for fake moves outside the range that might continue to be in play even later after the noise calms down.

1.1274-55 and 1.1375 - 1.1400 are targets if it breaks!

Good luck!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #12,985
  • May 28, 2025 10:32am May 28, 2025 10:32am
OK.. My PLAN only worked only for a couple of hours, then BULLS lost their power.
Price reversed, waiting for FOMC...
I closed my LONGS with a small profit.
I could have it closed earlier..
So, I am OUT for the moment... no sense to fight against the market.
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  • #12,986
  • May 28, 2025 10:44am May 28, 2025 10:44am
Quoting halkins
OK.. My PLAN only worked only for a couple of hours, then BULLS lost their power. Price reversed, waiting for FOMC... I closed my LONGS with a small profit. I could have it closed earlier.. So, I am OUT for the moment... no sense to fight against the market. {image}
I thought you took profits at near 1340! That might be a drop to 1.1255/74 and then a bounce from there!
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  • #12,987
  • May 28, 2025 10:56am May 28, 2025 10:56am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} I thought you took profits at near 1340! That might be a drop to 1.1255/74 and then a bounce from there!
Noooo ...
I thought it would return to 1.13 and then bounce up again, but stronger this time...
But I saw on its way that volume was low and power was very week...
Yeah... I could have closed it on 1340...
huh.. I am a greedy bastard

I like to stay out in events like FOMC etc...
If something stupid is said on conference, spreads and spikes can kill your positions in seconds...
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  • #12,988
  • May 28, 2025 11:01am May 28, 2025 11:01am
Quoting halkins
{quote} Noooo ... I thought it would return to 1.13 and then bounce up again, but stronger this time... But I saw on its way that volume was low and power was very week... Yeah... I could have closed it on 1340... huh.. I am a greedy bastard I like to stay out in events like FOMC etc... If something stupid is said on conference, spreads and spikes can kill your positions in seconds...
You where that close!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #12,989
  • May 28, 2025 11:04am May 28, 2025 11:04am
Quoting halkins
{quote} Noooo ... I thought it would return to 1.13 and then bounce up again, but stronger this time... But I saw on its way that volume was low and power was very week... Yeah... I could have closed it on 1340... huh.. I am a greedy bastard I like to stay out in events like FOMC etc... If something stupid is said on conference, spreads and spikes can kill your positions in seconds...
I think it may bounce around 1.12800
Measure your progress by pips —master the pips, and the profit will come
  • #12,990
  • May 28, 2025 11:16am May 28, 2025 11:16am
Today EURUSD consolidated around the key 1.1300 support level, with the Euro remaining weak due to soft economic data from the Eurozone, while the US Dollar found some renewed strength amidst easing trade tensions and strong consumer confidence figures. The market's price action remained largely muted as traders awaited the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes later in the evening, which are expected to provide further insights into the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook and could trigger significant volatility for the pair.

See you tomorrow!
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #12,991
  • May 28, 2025 11:24am May 28, 2025 11:24am
Quoting Psalmorg
{quote} I think it may bounce around 1.12800
In the evening it MAY shoot both ways...
also, it may stay where it is until tomorrow as well...
so we step on no-mans-land at the moment...
Read Charts - Not Papers
  • #12,992
  • May 28, 2025 12:43pm May 28, 2025 12:43pm
Quoting josip
EurUsd H4,H1 Trendlines {image} {image}
update before news
EURUSD H1
trendlines
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #12,993
  • May 28, 2025 10:50pm May 28, 2025 10:50pm
The EUR/USD broke below 1.1255 after a U.S. federal court blocked Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs from going into effect, according to forexlive.com. It reached 1.1210 before bouncing at resistance (a previously broken level). For now, the trend is down, targeting 1.1200/10 and 1.1170/80. A rise above 1.1283 would change the bearish view to neutral, with targets at 1.1300 and 1.1340/45.

Green pips!


Daily volatility (range) 64 pips

Option expiries for Thursday: 1.1200 (EU783.8m), 1.0865 (EU471.2m), 1.1500 (EU460m) source: financialjuice.com

Significant news - US GDP Growth Rate QoQ & US Initial Jobless Claims

1H
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #12,994
  • Edited 11:34pm May 28, 2025 11:19pm | Edited 11:34pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
The EUR/USD broke below 1.1255 after a U.S. federal court blocked Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs from going into effect, according to forexlive.com. It reached 1.1210 before bouncing at resistance (a previously broken level). For now, the trend is down, targeting 1.1200/10 and 1.1170/80. A rise above 1.1283 would change the bearish view to neutral, with targets at 1.1300 and 1.1340/45. Green pips! Daily volatility (range) 64 pips Option expiries for Thursday: 1.1200 (EU783.8m), 1.0865 (EU471.2m), 1.1500 (EU460m)...
Are u sure that we go down???
DXY doesnt look like that
DXY H1
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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #12,995
  • May 28, 2025 11:25pm May 28, 2025 11:25pm
EURUSD H1
trendlines
There is a possible signal to sell, we are below the white line, but the DXY is not so clear for buying with a gap.
So, if we stay below white line, ok I can think about short possitions,otherwise long to red line.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #12,996
  • May 28, 2025 11:46pm May 28, 2025 11:46pm
Quoting josip
{quote} Are u sure that we go down??? DXY doesnt look like that DXY H1 {image}
Hi josip! Trading with the trend on my chosen timeframe. While intraday movements can be corrective, trying to align with the dominant higher timeframes, short-term trend is often more favorable.

Gaps doesn't always get filled but also I have reached my maximum goal for the week and shorting with small lots now.

Also waiting for the US news that will give us more clues about a continuation or a bigger bounce up above 1.1300!

Have a great day
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #12,997
  • May 28, 2025 11:59pm May 28, 2025 11:59pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Hi josip! Trading with the trend on my chosen timeframe. While intraday movements can be corrective, trying to align with the dominant higher timeframes, short-term trend is often more favorable. Gaps doesn't always get filled but also I have reached my maximum goal for the week and shorting with small lots now. Also waiting for the US news that will give us more clues about a continuation or a bigger bounce up above 1.1300! Have a great day
It was small control question
Staying below today's morning highs could be a signal to sell.
but ready to buy
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #12,998
  • Edited 12:50am May 29, 2025 12:24am | Edited 12:50am
Quoting josip
{quote} It was small control question Staying below today's morning highs could be a signal to sell. but ready to buy {image}
Might test the lower bound of the broken bigger channel around 1.1300!

Edit: Also in my consideration if it goes lower - 4H. Another one open gap on EU!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #12,999
  • May 29, 2025 1:39am May 29, 2025 1:39am
Buy

Almost recover, 30K lost in Demo, with 5K start
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Holy Betting Grail strategy
  • #13,000
  • May 29, 2025 1:49am May 29, 2025 1:49am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
The EUR/USD broke below 1.1255 after a U.S. federal court blocked Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs from going into effect, according to forexlive.com. It reached 1.1210 before bouncing at resistance (a previously broken level). For now, the trend is down, targeting 1.1200/10 and 1.1170/80. A rise above 1.1283 would change the bearish view to neutral, with targets at 1.1300 and 1.1340/45. Green pips! Daily volatility (range) 64 pips Option expiries for Thursday: 1.1200 (EU783.8m), 1.0865 (EU471.2m), 1.1500 (EU460m)...
Price below 1.1275! 1H
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
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