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  • #12,821
  • May 19, 2025 3:21am May 19, 2025 3:21am
Quoting josip
EURUSD H1 trendlines waiting for h1 to close Don't forget - Moody's downgraded the United States' top credit rating... {image}
i think that is the main driver for the usd weakness
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #12,822
  • May 19, 2025 3:24am May 19, 2025 3:24am
Today is shaping up to be an interesting day.
Over the last 24 hours, retail traders have opened many BUY LIMIT orders around 1.1180 and released many sell orders during during LONDON SESSION opening.
I'm curious how institutional traders will read this?

Is this a FAKE move to grab LIQUIDITY before a massive move DOWN from 1.1280-1.1300?
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  • #12,823
  • May 19, 2025 3:46am May 19, 2025 3:46am
All eyes on the 4 hour and 1 hour candle close now. I think 1.1220 should be reached before more up. Maybe and lower!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #12,824
  • May 19, 2025 4:21am May 19, 2025 4:21am
Quoting halkins
Today is shaping up to be an interesting day. Over the last 24 hours, retail traders have opened many BUY LIMIT orders around 1.1180 and released many sell orders during during LONDON SESSION opening. I'm curious how institutional traders will read this? Is this a FAKE move to grab LIQUIDITY before a massive move DOWN from 1.1280-1.1300? {image} {image}
Maybe a sweep above 1.1300 or even higher in bigger timeframe! Will need confirmation from bar formations and also and other tools like rsi and macd.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #12,825
  • May 19, 2025 4:25am May 19, 2025 4:25am
We are back to 1270 level which is theorevious neckline.

i think i would now consider moving to sideline for a bit
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #12,826
  • May 19, 2025 4:39am May 19, 2025 4:39am
Quoting johncen
We are back to 1270 level which is theorevious neckline. i think i would now consider moving to sideline for a bit
Will look at the daily close with big interest. If USD's weakness persist or EU fundamentals get stronger for a reason (look for Trump & Putin call today) then bears will have a serious problem.... even if I'll wait for a base towards 1.1200 again. Some of my analysis says even lower but first things first.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #12,827
  • May 19, 2025 5:13am May 19, 2025 5:13am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Will look at the daily close with big interest. If USD's weakness persist or EU fundamentals get stronger for a reason (look for Trump & Putin call today) then bears will have a serious problem.... even if I'll wait for a base towards 1.1200 again. Some of my analysis says even lower but first things first.
its not the pa that i expect to see, so i dont want to rush into making any trade, would prefer wait and see. Daily close today should give good indication where we wanna go.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #12,828
  • May 19, 2025 5:29am May 19, 2025 5:29am
It's slowly becoming clear to me what I'd like to do this afternoon :-)

First, I'd like to place a few SELL orders and step away from the computer to let things sort themselves out, because I've been trying to think too much lately

I think New York will push the price up to around 1.1320 and then a lot of selling will start.
The big SELL order buildup around 1.1320-1.1330 makes me think that there's just going to be a big sell-off

But that's my plan, I might be wrong,
I'd love to hear what you think...
Wish me luck
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  • #12,829
  • May 19, 2025 5:45am May 19, 2025 5:45am
May never fill these sell orders! I'll watch for signals to sell but with smaller lot and if we get there will have to check again.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #12,830
  • May 19, 2025 5:54am May 19, 2025 5:54am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
May never fill these sell orders! I'll watch for signals to sell but with smaller lot and if we get there will have to check again.
Well, I often have a problem with FOMO (fear of missing out)
Is it better to enter a position right now or wait for a better price, but being aware that the price may never reach that level?
But I think I'm not the only one who has such dilemmas
Read Charts - Not Papers
  • #12,831
  • May 19, 2025 6:03am May 19, 2025 6:03am
1,1275 sell pt. 1,11
  • #12,832
  • May 19, 2025 6:28am May 19, 2025 6:28am
Quoting halkins
{quote} Well, I often have a problem with FOMO (fear of missing out) Is it better to enter a position right now or wait for a better price, but being aware that the price may never reach that level? But I think I'm not the only one who has such dilemmas
Well never get rid of them!

Ill give it some time!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #12,833
  • May 19, 2025 6:31am May 19, 2025 6:31am
The United States is selling $11 trillion of new debt this year and, even with the downgrade, is having a hard time finding buyers.
China is quietly cleaning up US Treasury bonds
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #12,834
  • May 19, 2025 6:51am May 19, 2025 6:51am
Quoting josip
The United States is selling $11 trillion of new debt this year and, even with the downgrade, is having a hard time finding buyers. China is quietly cleaning up US Treasury bonds
Despite the dowgrade from moody's china will continue to purchase bonds in a mutual effort and the FED can cut rates or start Quantitave Easing again. Dollar is not in its best but its a double edged sword messing with Trumps plans to have both the pie and dog.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #12,835
  • May 19, 2025 6:52am May 19, 2025 6:52am
might be off topic, what I can see is uj defended 144.8 which should help eu bear.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #12,836
  • May 19, 2025 8:14am May 19, 2025 8:14am
ACCORDING TO ME
EUR/USD Intraday: bullish bias above 1.1150. Pivot: 1.1150 Our preference is to have long positions above 1.1150 with targets at 1.1220 & 1.1245 in extension. Alternative scenario: Below 1.1150, look for further downside with 1.1130 & 1.1110 as targets. Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out Opinion published is an intraday view. Green Lines Represent Resistances | Red Lines Represent Support Levels | Light Blue is a Pivot Point | Black represents the price when the report was produced. Comment: The RSI lacks downward momentum.
  • #12,837
  • May 19, 2025 10:12am May 19, 2025 10:12am
1.1245, 1.1219 short term supports resistance at 1.1288/92 - plus more on the below 1H chart! Free lunch!
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #12,838
  • May 19, 2025 10:54am May 19, 2025 10:54am
Driven by the US credit rating downgrade, EURUSD has surged significantly today due to broad US Dollar weakness. The pair is trading near its intraday high, also supported by anticipation of potential EU-UK trade news.

Technically, EURUSD is attempting a bullish breakout, with buyers pushing the pair towards the 1.1292-1.1300 resistance area.

Market conditions can change rapidly. Stay updated on news headlines and price action.

See you tomorrow again bye!
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #12,839
  • May 19, 2025 3:57pm May 19, 2025 3:57pm
bear does not look promising for now

however uj remain above 144.8 and defended well.

mixed signals
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #12,840
  • May 19, 2025 8:25pm May 19, 2025 8:25pm
Buy

Have Lost in Demo about 20K, so must be Careful

Still...not Consistent...and Don't ask for teaching and mentoring
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