Gold By NextElliott

It was nice move for BTC 101500..

My short term target 103500 achieved ..

BTCUSD Market Analysis & Trade Outlook (Post $103,500 Target) - May 9th 2025

Instrument: BTCUSD
Strategy Type: Probabilistic Breakout with Elliott & Gann Confluence
Current Price: $102,600
Trade Horizon: 2–5 Days
Timeframes Observed: 4H / Daily



Market Overview
BTCUSD has successfully completed the prior trend continuation target of $103,500, respecting the bullish structure on 4H and Daily timeframes.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BT...-May-4th-2025/

As of now, price is consolidating just below key resistance, printing a high of $103,800 and retracing slightly to $102,600. This signals a potential decision zone where BTC may either continue its advance or initiate a deeper pullback.

I define short-term key boundaries between:

Upside: $106,200 – $108,400

Downside: $96,850 – $95,700

Technical Structure & Key Zones
Support Zone: $ 97870 , $96,850–$95,700 (Previous consolidation + high volume node)

Resistance Zone: $106,200–$108,400 (Measured move & fib cluster area)

Structure Bias: Bullish above $99,000; bearish pressure increases below $96,850

Elliott Wave Count (Short-Term, 4H)
BTC appears to be in a Wave (3) of a higher-degree Wave 3, following a Wave (2) retracement toward $94,500.

Current price movement is within a sub-wave 3 of (3), with the recent high at $103,800 potentially marking a sub-wave 3 top.

A brief corrective Wave 4 could develop toward $100,500–$99,000, before a final Wave 5 drives price into the $106,200–$108,400 zone.

If price fails to hold above $96,850, the structure may morph into a larger corrective Wave (4), targeting the lower boundary.

Gann Analysis
The Gann 1/1 angle from the March swing low is currently intersecting near $102,500–$103,000, offering resistance.

Next key Gann levels:

Above: $106,200 (120°) and $108,400 (135°) resistance arcs

Below: $96,850 and $95,700 align with 45° and 60° support angles

Timewise, entering a minor Gann cycle window on May 10–11, often associated with inflection points. Watch for breakout or reversal signals near this period.

Trade Scenario Outlook

Bullish Scenario (Breakout)
Trigger: 4H close above $104,000

Target Zones:

TP1: $106,200

TP2: $108,400

Invalidation: 4H close below $99,000 (consider tightening SL)

Bearish Scenario (Pullback)
Trigger: Break below $99,000, especially on strong volume

Target Zones:

TP1: $97870 or $96,850

TP2: $95,700

Invalidation: Close above $104,000 invalidates pullback thesis

Strategic Trade Notes
Scalping & Swinging Options:

Consider range scalps within $102,000–$99,000, but prepare for trend breakout.

Swing traders may build positions on retracement (Wave 4) with invalidation below $97870, $96,850.

Risk Management:

Use volatility-adjusted stop losses under key Gann levels or 50EMA on 4H.

Consider tightening stops or taking partials near $106,200 to protect gains if price extends.

Conclusion
BTCUSD remains in a bullish macro structure but approaches a key inflection zone. A break and hold above $104,000 could launch the next impulsive leg toward $108,400. Conversely, failure to hold above $99,000 opens the door for a deeper retracement to $ 97870, $96,850–$95,700. Traders should remain flexible, aligning with the prevailing momentum while respecting structural boundaries.

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Bullish Scenario (Breakout)
Trigger: 4H close above $104,000

Target Zones:

TP1: $106,200

TP2: $108,400

Invalidation: 4H close below $99,000 (consider tightening SL)

Get ready for my BTC Upper boundaries

Finally

From 04 - 08 as well as from 09 - 19 May I followed your BTC movement predictions as the first guided trades in periods of several days.
Starting from input data through timely information management, the mentoring reliability of NextElliott was felt.
Congratulations on your professionalism

Thank you MisaVuk, for your nice words... I'm glad that you liked my work. Best wishes for you.

Subscription Update

Want to know about BTC's & Gold's next move? Join my premium market analysis service for expert insights, real-time strategies, and high-probability trade setups—stay ahead of the curve.

Contact : https://t.me/nextelliott

From Silver May 1st 2025 Update :



Finally 21st May 2025 Update: Silver Nicely followed my boundary lines..

Attached Image (click to enlarge)

My ForexFactory Membership is now : Commercial

Subscription Update

Want to know about BTC's & Gold's next move? Join my premium market analysis service for expert insights, real-time strategies, and high-probability trade setups—stay ahead of the curve.

Contact : https://t.me/nextelliott

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GOLD Walking forward with NextElliottTimeMachine :

June 20th 2025:



June 23rd 2025:

Price reacting to turning points (XAUUSD June 23rd 2025 ):

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GOLD June 24th 2025 :

Lets see how Gold price react to future Turning Points:

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GOLD June 25th 2025 Update:
Gold price reacted precisely at a future Turning Point projected by NextElliottTimeMachine...

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GOLD June 26th 2025 Update:
Price turned with accuracy and reached to next projected turning zone given by NextElliottTimeMachine. let's see how it react to this zone...

Attached Image (click to enlarge)

Attached Image (click to enlarge)