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  • #2,001
  • May 11, 2025 7:34pm May 11, 2025 7:34pm
Always appreciate your insights !! Congrats on reaching 100 pages in this post !! You hit a century !! Looking forward to more centuries, good luck and thanks for all your knowledge sharing !!
  • #2,002
  • May 14, 2025 2:42pm May 14, 2025 2:42pm
Quoting BikB
Always appreciate your insights !! Congrats on reaching 100 pages in this post !! You hit a century !! Looking forward to more centuries, good luck and thanks for all your knowledge sharing !!
Thanks so much for your appreciation! At least, some traders are finding it useful
  • #2,003
  • May 14, 2025 2:50pm May 14, 2025 2:50pm
End of day Analysis!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NAS100_2025-05-14_17-40-09.png Size: 42 KB

NQ continued moving north following:
1- Soft CPI: The FED has at least a rational reason to cut in June. This said, the impact of tariffs is not in yet.
2- Trump's "deals".
3- Tomorrow, we've PPI data to confirm and validate this push up or completely void it.

I'm opening a Sell full swing position at current level as I still fundamentally think that Equities will lose another 50%.
Tomorrow, I'll be around to trade our intraday strategy.
Have a good night!
  • #2,004
  • May 15, 2025 6:21am May 15, 2025 6:21am
Quoting Fadhl
End of day Analysis! {image} NQ continued moving north following: 1- Soft CPI: The FED has at least a rational reason to cut in June. This said, the impact of tariffs is not in yet. 2- Trump's "deals". 3- Tomorrow, we've PPI data to confirm and validate this push up or completely void it. I'm opening a Sell full swing position at current level as I still fundamentally think that Equities will lose another 50%. Tomorrow, I'll be around to trade our intraday strategy. Have a good night!
Good day!
PPI data came undershoot which is good for Equities to continue up. However, as mentioned many times now that all these data do not reflect yet the impact of tariffs.
I don't think NQ will go further up and I'm not interested in the buy side until next set of data.
  • #2,005
  • May 15, 2025 7:03am May 15, 2025 7:03am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NAS100_2025-05-15_09-59-20.png Size: 32 KB

Yesterday candle was around 200 points/ticks which is one of the smallest daily candle! It shows buyer exhaustion.
Today with an undershoot PPI, price is within the 5min opening range! True, NY session is still young, but it's just a sign.
GL!
  • #2,006
  • May 15, 2025 8:02am May 15, 2025 8:02am
Quoting Fadhl
{quote} Good day! PPI data came undershoot which is good for Equities to continue up. However, as mentioned many times now that all these data do not reflect yet the impact of tariffs. I don't think NQ will go further up and I'm not interested in the buy side until next set of data.
Something I don't get yet is why the DOW doesn't follow. S&P500 and NQ got up liquidating the opening Month candle of April and are even going to take the march one BUT the dow is retracing since tuesday. It doesn't go up.

I know you this is a thread only for NQ but if someone can explain me on a TA and FA standpoint, because it can help for a better understanding of the correlation between the 3 indices.
Thanks.
  • #2,007
  • May 15, 2025 9:52am May 15, 2025 9:52am
Quoting Anddmitt
{quote} Something I don't get yet is why the DOW doesn't follow. S&P500 and NQ got up liquidating the opening Month candle of April and are even going to take the march one BUT the dow is retracing since tuesday. It doesn't go up. I know you this is a thread only for NQ but if someone can explain me on a TA and FA standpoint, because it can help for a better understanding of the correlation between the 3 indices. Thanks.
NQ and SP are moving up because Tech Stocks are moving up. Hence the Dow is not following or better it's lagging and it will catch up.
  • #2,008
  • May 15, 2025 9:54am May 15, 2025 9:54am
Tomorrow end of week!
Consumer Sentiment data will be relevant.
Two remaining levels to watch before I change my Sell Outlook to Buy.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NAS100_2025-05-15_12-49-03.png Size: 32 KB
  • #2,009
  • May 16, 2025 5:45am May 16, 2025 5:45am
My opinion: Trump seems to have calmed down with his trade terror, but i dont think its not going to stay that still. Trump is going to escalate trade deals as soon as China just steps out of line even a little bit. I´m exited for the next week
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Bild_2025-05-16_144132998.png Size: 5 KB
  • #2,010
  • May 16, 2025 6:07am May 16, 2025 6:07am
...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Bild_2025-05-16_150738858.png Size: 6 KB
  • #2,011
  • May 16, 2025 7:05am May 16, 2025 7:05am
Good day!
Both US Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations data came against US Equities.
NO CHANGE to ST/MT/LT OUTLOOK: SELL.
  • #2,012
  • May 16, 2025 7:11am May 16, 2025 7:11am
Here is my planned Sell order after a breakout and bearish retest.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NAS100_2025-05-16_10-10-22.png Size: 37 KB
  • #2,013
  • May 16, 2025 8:08am May 16, 2025 8:08am
Quoting Fadhl
Here is my planned Sell order after a breakout and bearish retest. {image}
I've to leave. I put a Sell Lmt order at 21337.
  • #2,014
  • May 16, 2025 8:58am May 16, 2025 8:58am
Quoting Fadhl
{quote} I've to leave. I put a Sell Lmt order at 21337.
It was triggered.
  • #2,015
  • May 16, 2025 9:11am May 16, 2025 9:11am
Quoting Fadhl
{quote} It was triggered.
TP / SL is as shown above?
  • #2,016
  • May 16, 2025 9:24am May 16, 2025 9:24am
Quoting anonrika
{quote} TP / SL is as shown above?
Yes
  • #2,017
  • May 16, 2025 11:23am May 16, 2025 11:23am
Quoting Fadhl
{quote} It was triggered.
Stopped out! This was my first NQ trade during this week
Have a great weekend!
  • #2,018
  • May 16, 2025 12:09pm May 16, 2025 12:09pm
Quoting Fadhl
{quote} Yes
as I see it was a bullish market today may I ask what made you trade into opposite direction? What were your indicators?

thank you
  • #2,019
  • May 16, 2025 12:31pm May 16, 2025 12:31pm
Quoting anonrika
{quote} as I see it was a bullish market today may I ask what made you trade into opposite direction? What were your indicators? thank you
I don't use indicators.
My ST/MT/LT Outlook for NQ is Sell.
NQ is at the top of the range.
Consumer sentiment came strong red and Inflation expectations came so high.
The tariffs impacts are not reflected in the prices yet and when it hits, inflation will be crazy.
Hope these are enough reasons.
  • #2,020
  • May 16, 2025 12:31pm May 16, 2025 12:31pm
Have a nice weekend Everyone!
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