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The Swamp

  • #122,921
  • May 14, 2025 11:49am May 14, 2025 11:49am
Quoting gatorinla
Possible trade may develop.. Exhaustion 1176 area, tp 1212. 36+ pips
I will not take the trade.. But will short if it makes it to 1212
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  • #122,922
  • May 14, 2025 3:15pm May 14, 2025 3:15pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I will not take the trade.. But will short if it makes it to 1212
Sooner or later the 1.03547 target will come up and like 1187.. 1.0964 will be one that needs to fall.. This quarter can take both of these. Or 1.0354 could be the second 1/2.
I may be wrong but since pa took back -1187.. I didnt want to chance 1212. That's why I didnt long..That's why yesterday when i went long toward 1267.. It had broken out the cluster around and above 1187.
1.0802 and 1.0354 are in the same boat as targets..1.0802 is smaller but the next in line. 1.1187 and 1.0964 are the 1/2 marks
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  • #122,923
  • Edited 4:40pm May 14, 2025 4:11pm | Edited 4:40pm
I dont bet pa will make it back to 1208/12.. But If it did.. look for some pool to force it down.. I have it as bearish sustained below 1171. b/o may be sustained above 1191 sustained dont mean a wick wont hit 1212 or 1208..
if it starts to run below 1171. it may be real. Asia has the better entries often before London and within the first 2 hs. The direction may change after.. Cot favored bears.
a 1h close below 1161 may help. 42 another
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  • #122,924
  • May 14, 2025 6:53pm May 14, 2025 6:53pm
A hell of a day candle
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,925
  • May 14, 2025 6:56pm May 14, 2025 6:56pm
1.0347 may start lining up..
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  • #122,926
  • May 14, 2025 7:19pm May 14, 2025 7:19pm
A 1 adr drop from 1187, is about the low this week 1067. ADR (120)
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  • #122,927
  • Edited 7:28am May 15, 2025 7:16am | Edited 7:28am
Quoting gatorinla
I dont bet pa will make it back to 1208/12.. But If it did.. look for some pool to force it down.. I have it as bearish sustained below 1171. b/o may be sustained above 1191 sustained dont mean a wick wont hit 1212 or 1208.. if it starts to run below 1171. it may be real. Asia has the better entries often before London and within the first 2 hs. The direction may change after.. Cot favored bears. a 1h close below 1161 may help. 42 another
Sorry I didnt take the long from 1171. More CPI. it was red Tuesday. Somebody may be playing with the numbers. If red then why not today too. 1171 still needs a sustained push below to drop. If the numbers are red again. 1242 can resist.. it also needs a substantiated push above to break out. 1267 may resist. I closed.. Powell to speak after the releases. if red 1212 looks to attract, maybe attract anway off 1171 again. If 1171/67 dont give in..
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  • #122,928
  • May 15, 2025 7:35am May 15, 2025 7:35am
Inflation lower.. I think someone is playing with the numbers..
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  • #122,929
  • May 15, 2025 7:36am May 15, 2025 7:36am
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,930
  • May 15, 2025 7:39am May 15, 2025 7:39am
I got it favoring North,, but its not moving
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,931
  • May 15, 2025 7:45am May 15, 2025 7:45am
Its capped at 1212 atm.. I cant believe it wont push on 1242. That 1212 pools looks dry...If it breaks 1171... Its may run.. Powell still needs to speak
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  • #122,932
  • May 15, 2025 8:14am May 15, 2025 8:14am
Looking for a stray calf to short on the edge of the heard
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  • #122,933
  • May 15, 2025 8:20am May 15, 2025 8:20am
That pullback made me think it wasn't going to test 1242..
I didnt think 1212 would cap it.. It needed to hunt. I hoped it would give 1242 52..
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  • #122,934
  • May 15, 2025 8:30am May 15, 2025 8:30am
Looks like i missed.. I didnt take the 1171 one either..
1171 may bounce back to 1212.. it may also b/o on not look back 100 pips
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  • #122,935
  • May 15, 2025 8:38am May 15, 2025 8:38am
I see EU going either to 1.1040 or 1.0857
I went short at 1.1210.
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  • #122,936
  • May 15, 2025 12:28pm May 15, 2025 12:28pm
Quoting gatorinla
Looks like i missed.. I didnt take the 1171 one either.. 1171 may bounce back to 1212.. it may also b/o on not look back 100 pips {image}
Not much happening 1171 is the gatekeeper to fall.. so it may also be a buy point. I target 1.0802 and this weeks low.. so I need to let it break out.
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  • #122,937
  • May 15, 2025 12:44pm May 15, 2025 12:44pm
If it breaks it may have some follow through.
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  • #122,938
  • May 15, 2025 12:47pm May 15, 2025 12:47pm
Quoting gatorinla
If it breaks it may have some follow through. {image}
It tried and missed on the 15 m
The b/o levels are dropping on top 1212..So it may squeeze it out the bottom 1171. Its support, it's not broken yet..
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  • #122,939
  • May 15, 2025 5:32pm May 15, 2025 5:32pm
https://www.google.com/search?q=walm...Zz0JLZcCk,st:0
Walmart warning on prices.
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  • #122,940
  • May 15, 2025 5:59pm May 15, 2025 5:59pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It tried and missed on the 15 m The b/o levels are dropping on top 1212..So it may squeeze it out the bottom 1171. Its support, it's not broken yet.. {image}
Still unbroken.. Tonight I see some R **1195 1212 *1239. Above 1239 may be a break out if sustained. I dont think its going there, but i can't ignore 1171 held support. Tonight a sustained move below *1171/73 may be a breakout.. PA atm is near **1.1195
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