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The Swamp

  • #122,861
  • May 12, 2025 3:52am May 12, 2025 3:52am
Closed my Long Gold trade. Looking for EU short opportunities
  • #122,862
  • May 12, 2025 4:00am May 12, 2025 4:00am
Quoting gatorinla
1142/54 looks to have some light R. 1130 can be too.. But maybe after it can be a loose one. 1142 may be stiffer
Ok so far so good..
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  • #122,863
  • May 12, 2025 5:01am May 12, 2025 5:01am
Quoting gatorinla
1142/54 looks to have some light R. 1130 can be too.. But maybe after it can be a loose one. 1142 may be stiffer
that 1142 was a good call. currently short with a profitable S/L.
  • #122,864
  • May 12, 2025 5:04am May 12, 2025 5:04am
EU made a new 20 day low
  • #122,865
  • May 12, 2025 5:51am May 12, 2025 5:51am
I tp 1076 again. placed another the same place 1142
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,866
  • May 12, 2025 8:27am May 12, 2025 8:27am
Quoting gatorinla
1142/54 looks to have some light R. 1130 can be too.. But maybe after it can be a loose one. 1142 may be stiffer
change to 1129, but it may get a wick to 1142ish and settle below 1129. Below 1129 should be bearish. 1129 can resist
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,867
  • May 12, 2025 8:32am May 12, 2025 8:32am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} change to 1129, but it may get a wick to 1142ish and settle below 1129. Below 1129 should be bearish. 1129 can resist
lets see how high past 1129..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,868
  • May 12, 2025 9:00am May 12, 2025 9:00am
For Eu FX futures the daily VWAP is currently approximately 1169 for spot. 1std dev below is approx 16 pips below day low
  • #122,869
  • May 12, 2025 10:54am May 12, 2025 10:54am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} lets see how high past 1129.. {image}
1129 looks to have worked for now.. I'm not anticipating a 1187 push. But if there it can resist. PA has made a run to 1079.. If there and its tired.. It may return back to 1111.. The same when above 1111.. 1142 is possible and it can resist.. But let's include 1153. It bearish so the 1111 mark to tp may be overrun. Its bearish...its bounced about 40+ pips since the low. It may not give more.. But on a stall, it may flag, it may reach 1142+..

So if you took the 1129 short. dont be surprised if it comes back to 1111 when the lowish area comes again. Even 1096ish is suspect. i thinks its going to 1.0802 and likely lower. But not in a straight line. This chart is a path to 1.0802
I will have a more dynamic R to post later.
I said i dont anticipate 1187, the longer here above 1096 it has a better chance to reach 1187
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  • #122,870
  • May 12, 2025 1:40pm May 12, 2025 1:40pm
L 1067 tp 1111. I may extend tp a little.. I will update later 3-1 r/r
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,871
  • May 12, 2025 3:25pm May 12, 2025 3:25pm
Quoting gatorinla
L 1067 tp 1111. I may extend tp a little.. I will update later 3-1 r/r
I closes the long 1093
I usually look for 40+.. its close to NY close.. It dont look like it will get much above 1111.. But it if it did.. I will look to short 40+ above if given the chance
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,872
  • May 12, 2025 3:28pm May 12, 2025 3:28pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1129 looks to have worked for now.. I'm not anticipating a 1187 push. But if there it can resist. PA has made a run to 1079.. If there and its tired.. It may return back to 1111.. The same when above 1111.. 1142 is possible and it can resist.. But let's include 1153. It bearish so the 1111 mark to tp may be overrun. Its bearish...its bounced about 40+ pips since the low. It may not give more.. But on a stall, it may flag, it may reach 1142+.. So if you took the 1129 short. dont be surprised if it comes back to 1111 when the lowish area comes...
Is that 55.90% a Fib #?
  • #122,873
  • May 12, 2025 3:52pm May 12, 2025 3:52pm
Quoting FT.Trader
{quote} Is that 55.90% a Fib #?
if it was it was just coincidence. I study reaction..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,874
  • May 12, 2025 3:56pm May 12, 2025 3:56pm
Quoting FT.Trader
{quote} Is that 55.90% a Fib #?
Its pa leaving breadcrumbs to 1.0802..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,875
  • May 12, 2025 5:31pm May 12, 2025 5:31pm
If you have access. Your should see this report on Long beach Ports. It's like a ghost own. Very few ships..
jacob soboroff
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,876
  • May 12, 2025 6:58pm May 12, 2025 6:58pm
Monday was a good day to start the week..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,877
  • May 12, 2025 8:29pm May 12, 2025 8:29pm
Quoting gatorinla
L 1067 tp 1111. I may extend tp a little.. I will update later 3-1 r/r
I closed early.. it looks I would of got 1111.. During Asia, it may test that area around 1142.. Some R may be there. But it may wick past. It may not pass 1111.. It may resist.. But if at 1142 area.. 1111 may attract while 1142 resist. During low volatility it may reach 1142. I lean on shorting.
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  • #122,878
  • May 12, 2025 8:54pm May 12, 2025 8:54pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I closed early.. it looks I would of got 1111.. During Asia, it may test that area around 1142.. Some R may be there. But it may wick past. It may not pass 1111.. It may resist.. But if at 1142 area.. 1111 may attract while 1142 resist. During low volatility it may reach 1142. I lean on shorting. {image}
The 4h did close above 1097... It may pass 1111 to 1142..
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  • #122,879
  • May 12, 2025 9:08pm May 12, 2025 9:08pm
COT was bearish with the larger players sentiment.. It dont know if pa will make it to test 1143/42.. But 1143 may be the gatekeeper for institutions. If rejected and pa runs below 1111. There is a decent chance to see a new LL..or at least test the breakout support at 1075..It may drop if sustained below 1075.. what it does first may test 1142/43. if it can clear 1111. Asia is a good time to test 1143
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  • #122,880
  • May 12, 2025 9:48pm May 12, 2025 9:48pm
If correct about 1143 possibly being a gatekeeper. Late Asia would be a good time for the larger players to close some shorts, to drive the price up to 1143. While the market is thin, would give closing shorts the better advantage. Later when London opens. May be when enough shorts are added pressure a further drop. Just a guess. My big day Monday reversal, tells me the opposite. But with China tariff and 1.0802 pulling. It may be enough.. S/l can be just avoiding a wick poke of 1143..
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