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  • #122,801
  • May 8, 2025 9:29pm May 8, 2025 9:29pm
I got it bearish below 1220. 1220 may act as R. It made a decent LL. That's not typical in Asia. 1278 lc is much less likely now. A possible short against 1220 R. With this sidenote. LC often attracts, a fib often attracts. 1278 is both. So if pa manages to get back above 1220. It takes a lot of power to do that.
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  • #122,802
  • May 8, 2025 9:53pm May 8, 2025 9:53pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1220 is real now. Last hour did close above. Currently pa is below 1220. In 1.5 hrs is a 6h close. Below 1220 atm dont appear to favor a rise to 1278. But the 6h could give a little sign about 1220 either way. Another broker has 1220, as 1216. 1216 is lower the close is also above it. {quote}On the edge LL {image}
I refreshed because 1216 and 1220 were different .. 1216.6 is the right number.. Not 1220.
Quoting gatorinla
I got it bearish below 1220. 1220 may act as R. It made a decent LL. That's not typical in Asia. 1278 lc is much less likely now. A possible short against 1220 R. With this sidenote. LC often attracts, a fib often attracts. 1278 is both. So if pa manages to get back above 1220. It takes a lot of power to do that.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,803
  • May 8, 2025 10:03pm May 8, 2025 10:03pm
It did close above 1216.6
That increases going to 1278 a bunch more than an hour ago. Thats a 6h closes above 1216.6. It's on the neutral/bullish side of 1216. It sucked up the liquidity at 1200
That possible short 1278ish looks better now
bulls wanna spank 1226 now
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,804
  • May 8, 2025 10:16pm May 8, 2025 10:16pm
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  • #122,805
  • May 8, 2025 11:27pm May 8, 2025 11:27pm
1278 area looks like the better odds to me now, once 1226 is cleared
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  • #122,806
  • May 8, 2025 11:37pm May 8, 2025 11:37pm
Quoting gatorinla
1278 area looks like the better odds to me now, once 1226 is cleared
she looks to be trying
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,807
  • Edited 3:07am May 9, 2025 2:57am | Edited 3:07am
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I just seeking 1278, but it could go higher. 1278 does have R value. beyond 1299 and 1329 are a few.. Some smaller ones in the mix too. It would be nice to get a slap down from 1278 to 1187 today.
I plan to short if we make 1278/1305
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  • #122,808
  • May 9, 2025 3:32am May 9, 2025 3:32am
My 4h turned bullish.. It carries much more weight. Possible buy the dip ..
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  • #122,809
  • May 9, 2025 3:45am May 9, 2025 3:45am
The fibs I posted are not off solid points. They are dynamic for 1.0802 and 1.15xx high. The mid point of that path is 1187.x.. Earlier pa was rejected for near there. So atm pa is on the bullish side of 1187 after a rejection. 1278 is the 38.2%
1.0802 is what i think pa is attracted too. The Pull i think is toward it. But there will be these bounces on the way
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  • #122,810
  • May 9, 2025 4:24am May 9, 2025 4:24am
The 12h candle closed at 1256, that's bullish. So pa can push beyond 1278.. possible near 1330 I have some R1305 1h
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  • #122,811
  • May 9, 2025 8:51am May 9, 2025 8:51am
if 1.1278 is reached it maybe in the next hour or anytime now. We may see a drop after to 1.1187 today after. ADR and AWR has room. Look out for a possible rejection in the 1278 area
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  • #122,812
  • May 9, 2025 9:09am May 9, 2025 9:09am
I'm going to dump my longs earlier than 1278.. and sell before. Earlier in the week pa missed 1368 by 2 pips.. Since COT favored bears. They may do it again
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  • #122,813
  • May 9, 2025 9:22am May 9, 2025 9:22am
I dumped my longs... I started shorting
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,814
  • May 9, 2025 9:23am May 9, 2025 9:23am
Quoting gatorinla
I dumped my longs... I started shorting {image}
tp would of hit
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  • #122,815
  • May 9, 2025 9:54am May 9, 2025 9:54am
lets see how it goes.. 15m
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  • #122,816
  • May 9, 2025 10:34am May 9, 2025 10:34am
Assuming pa falls. Monday could set up a bounce in the 1187 area.. Back to this current area. If short the high+ may be a decent stop loss. I dont have long plans so i dont give any readings on it. A possible bounce may be at 1216ish. Now if the high would break, 1329 area may break it back down. Or at least 1329 has R value where above sustained can be a break out. But for me 1278 is likely the key.
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  • #122,817
  • May 9, 2025 10:54am May 9, 2025 10:54am
I'm basing this on a biased drop. EU looks like it’s in a trap zone. Price is holding near 1.1271, but there’s a tug-of-war going on. Some signs show big players might still be buying quietly, while others show volume slipping out like someone unloading before a drop. When price stalls like this under a key level, it often means one of two things: a fake push higher to grab late buyers, then a sharp drop or just a slow grind down that leaves people stuck. As long as it holds above 1.1260, there’s a chance it pops up to take out stops around 1.1278 or higher. But if it starts rolling over from here, it could turn into a Friday/Monday selloff that flushes out the weak hands. So it may have a spike North and fall
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  • #122,818
  • May 9, 2025 10:57am May 9, 2025 10:57am
I did close the eg trade. I should not traded against COT.
We get a new COT later today. Last week it was EU bearish in my interpretation. Today is unknown atm. That could help with direction
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  • #122,819
  • May 9, 2025 11:39am May 9, 2025 11:39am
New fact based on pa alters my plan. I need to be nimble. Goal is about 50 pips on a bounce in the 1216/21 area.. It can be more. But this is my plan to base the risk compared to reward. If the reward is 50 pips. You need to figure your personal risk. On a drop to the 1216/21 area, if i have a long signal. I will long toward 1270. If when I have a short signal. i short toward 1216/21. If it breaks. 1187 ish or deeper. if there a long signal presents. it may bounce but i may not have a tp yet.. that's still maturing 1221 by them may be R
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  • #122,820
  • May 9, 2025 11:43am May 9, 2025 11:43am
Quoting gatorinla
It did close above 1216.6 That increases going to 1278 a bunch more than an hour ago. Thats a 6h closes above 1216.6. It's on the neutral/bullish side of 1216. It sucked up the liquidity at 1200 That possible short 1278ish looks better now bulls wanna spank 1226 now {image}
13 hs ago.. 1278 didnt seem likely.. oh well.. I hope to see you at 1216..
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