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The Swamp

  • #122,761
  • May 7, 2025 10:22pm May 7, 2025 10:22pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I guess it was the right decision. {image}
I closed my GU long 3355. 11 pips early.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,762
  • May 7, 2025 10:36pm May 7, 2025 10:36pm
The gu at 3366/82 ish is a good place to look for a short. Use you own signal if you agree ..3392.5 has a b/o R there.. But the gbp to me is stronger than the euro. A Euro short may be better
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,763
  • May 8, 2025 2:24am May 8, 2025 2:24am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I closed my GU long 3355. 11 pips early. {image}
It turns out to have been the right move.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,764
  • May 8, 2025 5:05am May 8, 2025 5:05am
[quote=gatorinla;15239678]A big "If". if it can break and hold below 1278... That's a drop sign.[/quote
Hi Gator it broke 1278 but did not hold. Is this a sign of downsde confirmation for eu?
  • #122,765
  • May 8, 2025 6:47am May 8, 2025 6:47am
[quote=mars1;15240398]
Quoting gatorinla
A big "If". if it can break and hold below 1278... That's a drop sign.[/quote Hi Gator it broke 1278 but did not hold. Is this a sign of downsde confirmation for eu?
Its a good question... I view it bearish below 1337 today. But it has to take and hold below 1278 to start. It didnt make the LL yet.
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} missed eu atm too. If it holds 1337/38 R. Its the bear side. It opens up a drop. Its attracted to 1367, but it may not make it {image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,766
  • May 8, 2025 6:49am May 8, 2025 6:49am
[quote=gatorinla;15240534]
Quoting mars1
{quote} Its a good question... I view it bearish below 1337 today. But it has to take and hold below 1278 to start. It didnt make the LL yet {image}
Thank you. Much appreciated
  • #122,767
  • May 8, 2025 6:54am May 8, 2025 6:54am
Quoting gatorinla
The EG is below .8513/14. Above is sustained may be a b/o. But if it holds its a good R area.. Cot may favor EG shorts {image} {image}
Be sure to take a little profit if your gonna ride it.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,768
  • May 8, 2025 6:57am May 8, 2025 6:57am
Quoting gatorinla
The GU did not close below 3285. So i longed it.. Not now.. but later that will change to 3292 If the eu gets a sustained hold above 1338. it may be going up too (1367). As much as i wanted it too. It didnt take 1278 In a couple of hours the R at 1307 will expire.. it may test 1338 {image}
it missed the gu first time, but it may be coming back for a kiss
I was long and closed 11 pips from the entry. I'm glad I did.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,769
  • May 8, 2025 7:02am May 8, 2025 7:02am
A possible EU short at 1337... or 1332. If it dont close and hold below 1278
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,770
  • May 8, 2025 7:07am May 8, 2025 7:07am
Possible long u-chf. 0.8202 Support area.. The usd just is not running. Were probably just setting a range. If the court rules against dummy. The usd can strengthen.

A possible EU range 1278/1391 if it cant take and hold below 1278.. I figured FOMC would break 1278.. it hasn't atm. It may need the wheaties at 1337.. 1367 is lc, I didnt think it would get there. I can always be wrong
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,771
  • May 8, 2025 7:25am May 8, 2025 7:25am
It looks like a trade deal with GB. One of the few countries we have a trade surplus with.

It may move in a minute
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,772
  • May 8, 2025 7:37am May 8, 2025 7:37am
Quoting gatorinla
It looks like a trade deal with GB. One of the few countries we have a trade surplus with. It may move in a minute {image}
employment news was good
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,773
  • May 8, 2025 8:11am May 8, 2025 8:11am
over what cot indicates. I closed EG, I went long. Tp 0.8534. I'm probably wrong. Tp is about 55 pips. My 15 min signaled long. I think pa has an attraction to 0.8534x for Friday.
There may a opening to short 0.8534ish with COT later.. The long trade is against what Cot indicated.
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  • #122,774
  • May 8, 2025 9:06am May 8, 2025 9:06am
It may not have enough time for the CHF to hit .8004 in 1 h.. But i did take it
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,775
  • May 8, 2025 9:17am May 8, 2025 9:17am
Quoting gatorinla
It may not have enough time for the CHF to hit .8004 in 1 h.. But i did take it {image}
I closed it.. It had a limited time to fall. 45 min from lc. It didnt seem to be taking off. I got 3 positive pips
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,776
  • May 8, 2025 9:30am May 8, 2025 9:30am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I closed it.. It had a limited time to fall. 45 min from lc. It didnt seem to be taking off. I got 3 positive pips {image}
It was a good setup. They all dont work. I luckily got out early
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,777
  • May 8, 2025 10:27am May 8, 2025 10:27am
Lc closed slightly below 1278.7.. Maybe it will be enough to free it.. But it may come back again to 1278..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,778
  • May 8, 2025 10:31am May 8, 2025 10:31am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I see it like this. The larger here are mostly short. But these guys get it wrong too. No fireworks January 29, 2025 Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement For release at 2:00 p.m. EST Share Recent indicators suggest that economic activity has continued to expand at a solid pace. The unemployment rate has stabilized at a low level in recent months, and labor market conditions remain solid. Inflation remains somewhat elevated. The Committee seeks to...
CFTC made a mistake on last weeks report for 4-29-25. the data you posted was for 4-22-26. They didn't update properly. I'm looking at Futures and options combined. The spread is much tighter.

How did you post the data? I can't seem to do that. Thx
  • #122,779
  • May 8, 2025 10:36am May 8, 2025 10:36am
Quoting FT.Trader
{quote} CFTC made a mistake on last weeks report for 4-29-25. the data you posted was for 4-22-26. They didn't update properly. I'm looking at Futures and options combined. The spread is much tighter. How did you post the data? I can't seem to do that. Thx
Scroll down till you find it.
https://www.cftc.gov/dea/futures/deacmelf.htm
The eu according to this info is weaker than the gbp. I took a shot it will run up some anytime now before Friday. From there it may fall very hard EG. I may be wrong with the long first. Its against COT to long EG. But earlier 1278 was holding eu up
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,780
  • May 8, 2025 10:43am May 8, 2025 10:43am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Scroll down till you find it. https://www.cftc.gov/dea/futures/deacmelf.htm The eu according to this info is weaker than the gbp. I took a shot it will run up some anytime now before Friday. From there it may fall very hard EG. I may be wrong with the long first. Its against COT to long EG. But earlier 1278 was holding eu up
Sorry about the confusion. My comments were about the Gold futures COT data.
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