Nasdaq-Simple Intraday Strategy | Page 90 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Related Instruments

NDX

Similar Threads

SIMPLE EA for a simple method needed!! 2 replies

NASDAQ 5m Fair Value Gap Strategy 12 replies

Trading is this Simple? Finally Explained simple and clearly! 46 replies

My Simple System for Intraday and Intraweek Trades 4 replies

Simple Trading system for Intraday/short term 167 replies

Attachments: Nasdaq-Simple Intraday Strategy
Exit Attachments

Nasdaq-Simple Intraday Strategy

  • #1,781
  • Apr 11, 2025 11:01am Apr 11, 2025 11:01am
Quoting PeBe
{quote} Instead of relying on FA and TA we are guessing if Trump is in front of the keyboard or not We have to learn to live with this, OMG... Fadhl, like always, I thank you for your great work here!!
Indeed, we're in a complete different context! The "I of Trump" is so high.
But fundamentally, US equities are in the downtrend ST/MT/LT.
  • #1,782
  • Apr 11, 2025 11:37am Apr 11, 2025 11:37am
Finally there's broke of the compression. Price seems decided to go up.
Btw, U10y is now exactly at 4.5.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NAS100_2025-04-11_12-33-37.png Size: 40 KB

It's already afternoon and Friday, so I'll pass for today. No trade for me.

Have a nice weekend!
Will share my weekly analysis during the weekend!
  • #1,783
  • Apr 13, 2025 10:56am Apr 13, 2025 10:56am
Upcoming Weekly Analysis!
ST/Mt/Lt Outlook: SELL
FA Analysis:
1- US is in or about to be in RECESSION.
2- US is isolating itself from the world economy; from the driver seat.
3- 90-days tariff pause: Market relief, recovery period; it's absolutely not a "buying the dip" strategy!
4- Inflation (CPI and PPI) are softening surprisingly!!! The explanation might be from a lower demand (considering the recession/economy slowing down); So this is not necessary the right softening inflation that the FED is looking for.
5- The FED will use the inflation softening to cut rates.
6- On the other hand, Tariffs will increase inflation.
7- Also, Consumer sentiment is at lowest level.
8- Bonds are skyrocketing (Follow U10y and U30y). Trump wants them down but market is pushing them up to make pressure on him to withdraw the tariffs. Hence, Trump will intervene with carrots and candies every time Y10y, e.g., breaks 4.5%.
9- Dollar is loosing foot whereas Gold is seeking the sky. Money is flying outside USA.

Next week is soft in terms of economic data beside ECB meeting and Trump's tweets.
TA Analysis:
Weekly TF:

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NAS100_2025-04-13_11-37-47.png Size: 50 KB


a- As the outlook is Sell, here is a chart based on Waves theory.
b- I consider Wave 1 completed and price is in retrace to complete Wave 2 (between 50-61.8 fib) (Yellow box)
c- The current wave 2 might take few other days/weeks (at least 2). This wave 2 is supported by the 90-days pause, the Inflation softening and the FED cutting rate next meeting.
(Note: I invite you to keep this chart close to your eyes)
Daily TF:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NAS100_2025-04-13_11-44-52.png Size: 34 KB

FY awareness, each wave has at least 3 moves: Initial swing; Retrace' and Impulsive swing.
Wave 2 has already made both Initial and retrace swings. We should expect to see the last impulsive swing.
From TA, the daily close was irrelevant; it was inside inside previous daily candles!

Happy green week to Everyone!
  • #1,784
  • Apr 13, 2025 10:02pm Apr 13, 2025 10:02pm
Is this new "Big short" movie?
  • #1,785
  • Apr 13, 2025 10:07pm Apr 13, 2025 10:07pm
Quoting Fadhl
Upcoming Weekly Analysis! ST/Mt/Lt Outlook: SELL FA Analysis: 1- US is in or about to be in RECESSION. 2- US is isolating itself from the world economy; from the driver seat. 3- 90-days tariff pause: Market relief, recovery period; it's absolutely not a "buying the dip" strategy! 4- Inflation (CPI and PPI) are softening surprisingly!!! The explanation might be from a lower demand (considering the recession/economy slowing down); So this is not necessary the right softening inflation that the FED is looking for. 5- The FED will use the inflation...
I agree
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 29 KB
  • #1,786
  • Apr 13, 2025 10:50pm Apr 13, 2025 10:50pm
Quoting Fadhl
Upcoming Weekly Analysis! ST/Mt/Lt Outlook: SELL FA Analysis: 1- US is in or about to be in RECESSION. 2- US is isolating itself from the world economy; from the driver seat. 3- 90-days tariff pause: Market relief, recovery period; it's absolutely not a "buying the dip" strategy! 4- Inflation (CPI and PPI) are softening surprisingly!!! The explanation might be from a lower demand (considering the recession/economy slowing down); So this is not necessary the right softening inflation that the FED is looking for. 5- The FED will use the inflation...
By the way , is it possible that price may go up and make Bullish trend ?? since price is already retraced alot on Weekly Time frame and trend is bullish on WTF .
  • #1,787
  • Apr 14, 2025 8:29am Apr 14, 2025 8:29am
Quoting todaysbeauty
{quote} By the way , is it possible that price may go up and make Bullish trend ?? since price is already retraced alot on Weekly Time frame and trend is bullish on WTF .
From fundamental perspective, the answer is NO! Unless a complete change in US policy. Even with that, the rest of the world has lost trust in US leader and word!
  • #1,788
  • Apr 14, 2025 8:30am Apr 14, 2025 8:30am
I think at best we are going back to 19,909 before droping back down again, with the 90 day pause ending and possible onhoing trade war
  • #1,789
  • Apr 14, 2025 8:46am Apr 14, 2025 8:46am
The opening range was bearish and we got a break down! This is against the direction! I'm not interested to sell it.
  • #1,790
  • Apr 14, 2025 8:50am Apr 14, 2025 8:50am
Not sure price will reach this area
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NAS100_2025-04-14_09-49-22.png Size: 39 KB
  • #1,791
  • Apr 14, 2025 10:02am Apr 14, 2025 10:02am
Inserted Video
  • #1,792
  • Apr 14, 2025 10:50am Apr 14, 2025 10:50am
Quoting Fadhl
Not sure price will reach this area {image}
Price has reached a VA to go long. Watching the reaction and a signal (HH followed by HL at 5min TF).
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NAS100_2025-04-14_11-48-33.png Size: 39 KB
  • #1,793
  • Apr 14, 2025 11:01am Apr 14, 2025 11:01am
Here is my potential entry:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NAS100_2025-04-14_12-00-23.png Size: 41 KB
  • #1,794
  • Apr 14, 2025 11:02am Apr 14, 2025 11:02am
Possible Cup and Handle forming
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NQCUSD_2025-04-14_18-00-55_3588e.png Size: 28 KB
  • #1,795
  • Apr 14, 2025 11:38am Apr 14, 2025 11:38am
I got in with a slightly different value.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NAS100_2025-04-14_12-37-19.png Size: 41 KB
  • #1,796
  • Apr 14, 2025 1:16pm Apr 14, 2025 1:16pm
This thread is underrated!
especially it's managed by that dear Fadhl! ....
ima be watching this thread from now on!
thanks for all of your efforts dears!
Hakuna Matata!
  • #1,797
  • Apr 14, 2025 1:56pm Apr 14, 2025 1:56pm
Quoting Fadhl
I got in with a slightly different value. {image}
Banked 200 points and moved STP to BE.
  • #1,798
  • Apr 14, 2025 1:57pm Apr 14, 2025 1:57pm
Quoting Hoshey
This thread is underrated! especially it's managed by that dear Fadhl! .... ima be watching this thread from now on! thanks for all of your efforts dears!
Thanks so much for your kind words! Nice to see you around!
  • #1,799
  • Apr 14, 2025 2:03pm Apr 14, 2025 2:03pm
been reading some of your past post regarding nas and tbh i believe we are on the same type of strategy i think i found a good page dedicated to nas with a high win rate and this will be my main page for nas!
  • #1,800
  • Apr 14, 2025 3:40pm Apr 14, 2025 3:40pm
Any Ideas why Nasdaq got dumped so hard in the last hour? Didnt find any news or lives that could have caused much
8 traders viewing now