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  • #12,181
  • Apr 11, 2025 5:28am Apr 11, 2025 5:28am
I won't Buy/ Long
Holy Betting Grail strategy
  • #12,182
  • Apr 11, 2025 7:38am Apr 11, 2025 7:38am
1 hour levels and techs.
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  • #12,183
  • Apr 11, 2025 8:52am Apr 11, 2025 8:52am
EUR/USD ran up 285 daily pips to 1.1474 today, marking a near-record 600-pip week after the dollar weakened significantly. Later, profit-taking pulled the pair back to the midpoint of the daily trading range, where it’s now trading some pips above with lower volume—a typical Friday effect. For now, there’s uncertainty in the market about the main driving theme: tariffs. I don’t think this is over; it will likely take weeks until—and if—a deal is reached with most countries facing significant tariffs, as they try to avoid the worst outcomes. The ECB meeting next week will be interesting to watch, especially to see if they cut rates by another 0.25 percentage points and what they say about it.

For me, it was a profitable week, and I’m glad I shared my analysis with all of you. I’ll have to close for the weekend now. Stay safe, always use stops, and aim for higher targets.

See you next week—bye!
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  • #12,184
  • Apr 11, 2025 11:53am Apr 11, 2025 11:53am
eur/usd was a great swing
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  • #12,185
  • Apr 11, 2025 6:40pm Apr 11, 2025 6:40pm
I dont know what to expect for next week, is all bull now unless any drama happens.

Potentially 1.2 as a stop and could achieve this before year end!

Potentially a h&s? And if we get to 1.11 may offer next buy opportunity
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #12,186
  • Apr 12, 2025 12:33am Apr 12, 2025 12:33am
The EUR/USD rose to a high of 1.1474, surpassing the 1.1145 resistance this week. It broke the weekly and monthly resistance levels at 1.1214 and 1.1275 in the last two days of the week after consolidating in the first part within the 1.0878–1.1145 range.

In the news, US CPI and PPI data came in significantly lower, signaling a possible earlier easing by the Fed than the second half of the year. However, a tariff war with China soured sentiment toward the US dollar.

Technically, the pair has established a new trading range (1.1246–1.1474) until something triggers a breakout. The next possible targets are 1.1495–1.1500 and 1.1516 for the bulls. If a break above occurs, 1.1600, 1.1698, or 1.1700 & 1.1747 could be in play, depending on the momentum. For the bears, potential targets include 1.1214–1.1200, 1.1185/75, 1.1145/53, and 1.1100 or 1.1050 if momentum is strong.

Green pips!


Weekly volatility (range) 205 pips

Option expiries for Monday: 1.0870 (EU615.5m), 1.1300 (EU437.2m), 1.0850 (EU437m) Source: financialjuice.com

Significant news - US Retail Sales, US Industrial Production, ECB Interest Rate, US Initial Jobless Claims & US Housing Starts.


Daily
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Weekly
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  • #12,187
  • Apr 12, 2025 10:00am Apr 12, 2025 10:00am
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  • #12,188
  • Apr 13, 2025 9:14am Apr 13, 2025 9:14am
The ECB has cut rates 5 times in the last 6 months and EURUSD had an average range of 80 pips on the days it was cut. I’m guessing it will be more than 80 this week because the market has been wild lately.
Consistency is key
  • #12,189
  • Apr 13, 2025 3:18pm Apr 13, 2025 3:18pm
Slight gap down but remain above 1300, let see if we close the gap but contained under 1350 to trigger another drop lower
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #12,190
  • Apr 13, 2025 3:39pm Apr 13, 2025 3:39pm
I feel it's a strong bullish trend overall despite the gap down, taking a longer term picture.
  • #12,191
  • Apr 13, 2025 3:45pm Apr 13, 2025 3:45pm
Quoting PianistMat
I feel it's a strong bullish trend overall despite the gap down, taking a longer term picture.
that is so true! We dont know when the top will come or just a correction
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #12,192
  • Apr 13, 2025 5:22pm Apr 13, 2025 5:22pm
Quoting johncen
Slight gap down but remain above 1300, let see if we close the gap but contained under 1350 to trigger another drop lower
gap closed and bull made it above 1350, if bear can’t take it back down bull will take back control
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #12,193
  • Apr 13, 2025 5:46pm Apr 13, 2025 5:46pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} gap closed and bull made it above 1350, if bear can’t take it back down bull will take back control
It looks like they will take the control to 1.2000 ( at least )
  • #12,194
  • Apr 13, 2025 6:00pm Apr 13, 2025 6:00pm
Quoting e3sarX
{quote} It looks like they will take the control to 1.2000 ( at least )
bull pushed to have the h closed above 1350
will give them an hour or I am out
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #12,195
  • Apr 13, 2025 6:13pm Apr 13, 2025 6:13pm
could be another SL hunt 1.16.... may be?
  • #12,196
  • Apr 13, 2025 7:08pm Apr 13, 2025 7:08pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} bull pushed to have the h closed above 1350 will give them an hour or I am out
i dont like the pa, plan void, we may head to 1.15
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #12,197
  • Edited 9:13pm Apr 13, 2025 8:05pm | Edited 9:13pm
Looks like price action on EU is trading at a premium around the 1.1400 level. Clear signal for me to take a short. If not, maybe wait for a further retracement at 1.1425
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  • #12,198
  • Apr 13, 2025 8:36pm Apr 13, 2025 8:36pm
The EUR/USD opened lower at 1.1310 but quickly recovered the gap, reaching a high of 1.1408. It is currently consolidating below 1.1400. A continuation above the high is needed for a breakout toward 1.1474/95. The pair may find support above 1.1350 or 1.1323, but a break lower could increase the likelihood of surpassing the low and heading toward 1.1300.

Green pips!


Daily volatility (range) 94 pips

Option expiries for Monday: 1.0870 (EU615.5m), 1.1300 (EU437.2m), 1.0850 (EU437m) Source: financialjuice.com

4H
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  • #12,199
  • Apr 13, 2025 9:09pm Apr 13, 2025 9:09pm
Quoting ahmerjamil
Hello Everybody, Welcome to "Only EURUSD" Only "EURUSD" posts are allowed here, No other pairs! Members must post ideas and charts only and solely for the EURUSD currency! Teach newbies & share educational information. Respect all members, Do not insult any people being. Happy Trading & Lot Of Green Pips To All!
I'm seeing that too. Lets capitalize on this Monday bread.
  • #12,200
  • Apr 13, 2025 11:11pm Apr 13, 2025 11:11pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
The EUR/USD opened lower at 1.1310 but quickly recovered the gap, reaching a high of 1.1408. It is currently consolidating below 1.1400. A continuation above the high is needed for a breakout toward 1.1474/95. The pair may find support above 1.1350 or 1.1323, but a break lower could increase the likelihood of surpassing the low and heading toward 1.1300. Green pips! Daily volatility (range) 94 pips Option expiries for Monday: 1.0870 (EU615.5m), 1.1300 (EU437.2m), 1.0850 (EU437m) Source: financialjuice.com 4H {image}...
bear is failing to impressed and bull is now trying
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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