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The Swamp

  • #122,161
  • Apr 7, 2025 4:28pm Apr 7, 2025 4:28pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} This is where I hope to get my eu 802ish buy to 986. I want the gbp to strengthen a little too. While the eur weakens. If the euro remains above 802 it's probably bullish. 986 may attract it. Thats my bet. Tech wise the eg may fall 100. But that may be a place to buy fundi wise gu 294x may resist {image}
it could potentially swing to 0780ish but 0802 is key for sure.

i have 0850 in between which could support as well
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #122,162
  • Apr 7, 2025 7:20pm Apr 7, 2025 7:20pm
Anyone remember 2008? I did some research.
United States:

  1. Market Volatility: The U.S. equity market has experienced significant declines, erasing over $6 trillion in value within two days. This sharp downturn has heightened recession fears and suggests underlying liquidity concerns. Barron's
  2. Banking Sector Strain: U.S. banks recorded their worst week since 2020, reflecting investor anxiety and potential liquidity challenges within the financial sector. Reuters

Global Indicators:

  1. Increased Demand for Dollars: International investors are exhibiting heightened demand for U.S. dollars, as evidenced by the euro basis swap rate turning sharply negative. This trend indicates a global liquidity squeeze and a preference for dollar-denominated assets. Reuters
  2. Emerging Market Pressures: Emerging market central banks face dilemmas between stimulating growth and maintaining currency stability, exacerbated by recent U.S. tariffs. This situation contributes to global liquidity tensions. Reuters+1Reuters+1
  3. European Central Bank (ECB) Actions: The ECB is considering accelerating rate cuts to mitigate recession risks, reflecting concerns over economic slowdown and liquidity within the eurozone. Reuters

These developments collectively point to emerging liquidity challenges both domestically and internationally, influenced by recent policy decisions and market reactions.
Global Financial Markets Show Signs of Stress Amid Tariff Turmoil
https://www.reuters.com/resizer/gr2h...LU6VLO662M.jpg
https://www.google.com/s2/favicons?d...ters.com&sz=32Reuters
Market stress signals are flashing bright
Today
https://images.barrons.com/im-254196...1.5&resize=500
https://www.google.com/s2/favicons?d...rons.com&sz=32Barron's
Market Turmoil Has Upped Recession Odds. Here's What to Watch.
Today
https://www.reuters.com/resizer/_Pae...X2WKPVES7Y.jpg
https://www.google.com/s2/favicons?d...ters.com&sz=32Reuters
ECB rates could fall faster as recession risk mounts
Today

"Making Austerity Great Again"

those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,163
  • Apr 7, 2025 8:16pm Apr 7, 2025 8:16pm
Quoting gatorinla
Anyone remember 2008? I did some research. United States: Market Volatility: The U.S. equity market has experienced significant declines, erasing over $6 trillion in value within two days. This sharp downturn has heightened recession fears and suggests underlying liquidity concerns. Barron's Banking Sector Strain: U.S. banks recorded their worst week since 2020, reflecting investor anxiety and potential liquidity challenges within...
Great breakdown!
  • #122,164
  • Apr 7, 2025 10:44pm Apr 7, 2025 10:44pm
Quoting gatorinla
Anyone remember 2008? I did some research. United States: Market Volatility: The U.S. equity market has experienced significant declines, erasing over $6 trillion in value within two days. This sharp downturn has heightened recession fears and suggests underlying liquidity concerns. Barron's Banking Sector Strain: U.S. banks recorded their worst week since 2020, reflecting investor anxiety and potential liquidity challenges within...

I have such cognitive dissonance on this and it's really hard for me to wrap my head around. It is the US, and specifically, Donald Trump who is shitting the bed and farking up the the world economy, but how does the flow end up into US dollars? Yeah, we're all sinking in this boat, let's let the toddler hold the shotgun.


Inserted Video
Follow the money --Mark Felt (Deepthroat)
  • #122,165
  • Edited 11:17pm Apr 7, 2025 11:00pm | Edited 11:17pm
Quoting longfellow
{quote} I have such cognitive dissonance on this and it's really hard for me to wrap my head around. It is the US, and specifically, Donald Trump who is shitting the bed and farking up the the world economy, but how does the flow end up into US dollars? Yeah, we're all sinking in this boat, let's let the toddler hold the shotgun. https://youtu.be/uhG-vLZrb-g
A lot of third world investments are in usd. Those countries need usd to pay the bill. Plus oil and other commodities. The same old shit. You rob the middle class in the u.s. with higher tariffs. You take that money and give it to Musk as a tax break. Then you complain about the deficit. So you can cut stuff.

Its like my dumb ancestors in the Civil war. Some rich guys with slaves conned poor Southerners to fight for them. Back then there was Rich people who owned everything. And poor people who owned nothing, including property. The rich conned the poor to fight the rich guys enemy. So the rich guy could own slaves. If the poor guy would had thought about it. He would had realized without the slaves. The plantation owner would have to hire people. He could of had a job. Kinda like what happened later on.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,166
  • Apr 7, 2025 11:12pm Apr 7, 2025 11:12pm
Google elons brother's comment. I bet he is parroting his brothers opinion. Is the honey moon over? 200,000,000$ dont buy what it used to. Buyers remorse. He fucks everybody. No tears here.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...ariff-strategy
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,167
  • Apr 7, 2025 11:26pm Apr 7, 2025 11:26pm
Quoting gatorinla
I could be early on the EG.. Shooting for about 100 at .8490. tp a little higher .8492 Today's move was near a entire weeks average If you see a pair like this. Point it out.. {image}
The eg is not retracing yet, it may not. I still have the short eg with near 100 pip tp. The eu is at 977 atm. 986ish may be where it could stop rising. I also have the gbp trade long. T dont have a eu short. I want to long it 802 ish.. And short gu after tp 2939/4x maybe
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,168
  • Apr 8, 2025 12:09am Apr 8, 2025 12:09am
tesla near death cross on the day. And near crossing the week 200. Bounce or not.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,169
  • Apr 8, 2025 4:57am Apr 8, 2025 4:57am
Quoting DMA Trader
I'm reducing my short positions slightly on this drop ahead of ADP and NFP, so I can short again at higher levels. For me, it’s not yet time to go long.
I’ve been super busy with all these market moves.
I think we’re entering a few weeks where the “easy money” phase is over and things will get tougher
especially with the amount of fake news like we saw yesterday.

I believe US equities will move directly based on Trump.

If Trump succeeds in what he’s doing, the market will hold.
If he fails, we’ll see further drops.
Good luck to everyone.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #122,170
  • Apr 8, 2025 7:09am Apr 8, 2025 7:09am
Quoting gatorinla
tesla near death cross on the day. And near crossing the week 200. Bounce or not. {image} {image}
Warms the heart to see this
  • #122,171
  • Apr 8, 2025 8:18am Apr 8, 2025 8:18am
I risked 4 pips on a AN long. tp 202 pips
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,172
  • Apr 8, 2025 8:56am Apr 8, 2025 8:56am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} I’ve been super busy with all these market moves. I think we’re entering a few weeks where the “easy money” phase is over and things will get tougher especially with the amount of fake news like we saw yesterday. I believe US equities will move directly based on Trump. If Trump succeeds in what he’s doing, the market will hold. If he fails, we’ll see further drops. Good luck to everyone.
Well he is going against many Nobel prize winning economist. He is basing it on Peter Kent Navarro thesis. In six of his books about China, Navarro quotes a "Ron Vara", whom he describes as a China hawk and former Harvard PhD doctoral student in economics.

The problem is there is no "Ron Vara". It's a bullshit name. Its sounds a lot like John Barron was conned too. The U.S. public and the world.


It's like taking people taking the best antibiotics we have for TB. The strains of TB immune to everything else. And stopping them in the middle of treatment. What could possibly go wrong?

Ever been wrong? I certainly have and will be again. I lose a few bucks when I am. In this case we lose the entire world economy. Millions are already starving.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,173
  • Apr 8, 2025 8:59am Apr 8, 2025 8:59am
Quoting charlienoble
{quote} Warms the heart to see this
Its a car company priced like it was a cure for cancer..
I'm not a fan of Chinese products. But the Chineses have a e car that charges in 5 minutes
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,174
  • Apr 8, 2025 9:05am Apr 8, 2025 9:05am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} This is where I hope to get my eu 802ish buy to 986. I want the gbp to strengthen a little too. While the eur weakens. If the euro remains above 802 it's probably bullish. 986 may attract it. Thats my bet. Tech wise the eg may fall 100. But that may be a place to buy fundi wise gu 294x may resist {image}
986 held the last time. I may get that shot to long back from 802ish. i cant short the eu since I'm short the eg, and long gu.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,175
  • Apr 8, 2025 10:43am Apr 8, 2025 10:43am
Quoting gatorinla
I risked 4 pips on a AN long. tp 202 pips {image} {image}
Daily looks interesting
Hourly either a try near daily low or after the trendline break
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  • #122,176
  • Apr 8, 2025 11:19am Apr 8, 2025 11:19am
Quoting LoneTrader1
{quote} Daily looks interesting Hourly either a try near daily low or after the trendline break{image} {image}
I dont have a reason other than it was stalled at 792. Its below now so I'm out. It may be back at 792 this week, when its overextended. I may look for buy if it drops and stalls.
By the end of this quarter it may hit 0995 after bears give up
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,177
  • Apr 8, 2025 1:37pm Apr 8, 2025 1:37pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The eg is not retracing yet, it may not. I still have the short eg with near 100 pip tp. The eu is at 977 atm. 986ish may be where it could stop rising. I also have the gbp trade long. T dont have a eu short. I want to long it 802 ish.. And short gu after tp 2939/4x maybe
the eu hasn't made a high above 986. The gbp finally broke its near high. The b/o I seek, most often happens before Wednesday's close. If not before the week closes 2939/4x tp may also be R-ish
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,178
  • Apr 8, 2025 5:09pm Apr 8, 2025 5:09pm
tariffs tonight. Hang on.
Lets party like its 1929.
Making "Abject" Great Again
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,179
  • Apr 8, 2025 5:25pm Apr 8, 2025 5:25pm
Quoting gatorinla
tariffs tonight. Hang on. Lets party like its 1929. Making "Abject" Great Again
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,180
  • Apr 8, 2025 5:29pm Apr 8, 2025 5:29pm
Oil in Covid territory Feb 2021 levels
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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