The Swamp

Wow the 1h closed below 48.. Thats a larger rejection.
I have to see how this goes

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/jp...hikes-a130b3e8
It closed 71.35

Looking for these possible trades this week. Friday equities closed red again. In a change over the recent days. Friday the EU also closed red. The outflow may have weakened. If the outflow is still too strong to let the EU fall. It could bounce find some sideways movement between 802 and 986. +- 20 ish pips has that at an average weekly range.
Short to 802 (184 pips).
Long to 986 (184 pips).
Until this dont work is my early plan. But not blindly. Some candle confirmation may help. I will monitor 1m+. It may take a few overhots to see if the line develops. But if they are working the closes should remain on the dominant side. If broken they can also play a role on the breaks statis.

The aud/jpn broke a support on the with a week close just like oil. We dont know what the brilliant mind will do next. Nobody can base the next 4 ys on that, even the next 5 min are in doubt. Things stated to be permanent can change in the next few hours. Checkers is different than chess. The little boy has cried wolf enough to burn it all down. Trust dont come back so easily. Once a market in soybeans are whatever loses those long term contracts. The buyers find new more and reliable suppliers. The ones who dont change their mind the next tweet. We have never had such a volatile time in my lifetime. Markets and supply chains dont come back so easily. A company cant plan for such stupidity. The AUD/JPN may be reaching for some unknown bottom. Oil has gone negative before. Once you pull the rug out. We have seen this before during covid. But this time the scale is so much larger. It may take decades to fix. The U.S. congress needs to re-take its tariff power. The child should not be able to throw such a tantrum. If tariffs are to be placed, they need to be gradual. Where we dont end up in a "Great depression" on steroids. This brings no U.S. manufacturing jobs back. Who in their right mind would spend 4 years (billions $) building a factory. That on the tweet of an idiot removes the tariff. The future has to be somewhat stable for any investor. This candle was already lit. We still got 4ys of small penis syndrome volatility (mommy didnt love me, spoiled child, backlash). Good luck

yet the day and week closed below 986. 986 May start to form resistance. last month/quarter closed above 802. 802 support is likely strong. If it does give up, it can drop meaningful. 802 is support until or if. 986 the weaker R of the 2. A test of 802 to me looks like a bounce from. If it can break above 986 I have a Q range about to X. I will post later.

gap down open

seems like 0825 0802 coming?
subject to pa under 0877 i believe

I think so, but hoped for another chance to short off 986 first. 802 can bounce it or allow the bears to come

we closed the gap pretty quick this time

A very aggressive looking move to 986..

so far i got nothing indicating 986 is rejected. So 986 may not hold. Bears need to show some red, or its breaking

market still a bit crazy these days with the crazy man!

maybe it needs 1050?

This was supposed to be my eu trade of the week run to 802. But its not looking healthy atm. I never got sell a signal yet.

POS ..

The kiwi got killed

let's see if it tries 86 again.

I could be early on the EG.. Shooting for about 100 at .8490. tp a little higher .8492
Today's move was near a entire weeks average
If you see a pair like this. Point it out..

I bought some gbp and targeting 2939. It has reached the week average today

Fish or cut bait time. I need the eu to fall harder than gbp.

This is where I hope to get my eu 802ish buy to 986. I want the gbp to strengthen a little too. While the eur weakens.
If the euro remains above 802 it's probably bullish. 986 may attract it. Thats my bet.
Tech wise the eg may fall 100. But that may be a place to buy fundi wise
gu 294x may resist

If I'm right. The eg short and gu long would likely happen before NY Wednesday closes. That can be anytime now. In that play, this may set the eu in motion down. Just speculation with 3 crosses. Doing one is hard enough.
That speculation may have eu back at 986 before Friday closes