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  • #1,701
  • Apr 4, 2025 6:32am Apr 4, 2025 6:32am
Quoting LetsGoPitt
China escalated with 34% tariffs on the US. I doubt the numbers today can lessen the pain. Price already touched my daily support, quicker than I thought it would. {image}
China retaliation is amazing and fair. The rest of the world should do the same.
NFP might be even negative! Crazy scenario, isn't?
Powell will put a break to this bloodbath.
NVDA pre=market below 100!!!! 80 is the next target.
  • #1,702
  • Apr 4, 2025 7:18am Apr 4, 2025 7:18am
Here we go... next level 17236!!!
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  • #1,703
  • Apr 4, 2025 7:40am Apr 4, 2025 7:40am
Surprisingly, NFP data came solid.
NFP is making a soft break to the down movement.
Market is seeking a word from Powell today and he has to deliver; otherwise, the pressure will continue and down we go. Until Powell speech, price will consolidate around this area.
  • #1,704
  • Apr 4, 2025 10:57am Apr 4, 2025 10:57am
Powell speech di not provide any hint. I think it's disappointing. Let see how the market react.
  • #1,705
  • Apr 4, 2025 1:20pm Apr 4, 2025 1:20pm
Price is moving fast. Got some new levels.

1D: 17.245,00
4H: 16.920,00
4H: 16.620,00
4H: 16.020,00
1D: 15.750,00

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  • #1,706
  • Apr 4, 2025 1:29pm Apr 4, 2025 1:29pm
Also check this out:

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  • #1,707
  • Apr 4, 2025 2:55pm Apr 4, 2025 2:55pm
Sorry I was not around today! But it was not a good idea to trade; train already gone! Next week will provide a calmer context to trade.
We got (in play) very strong bearish close. A confirmation of my outlook: ST/MT/LT Outlook: SELL.
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Sunday, I'll share the weekly analysis.
Enjoy your weekend!
  • #1,708
  • Apr 6, 2025 4:55pm Apr 6, 2025 4:55pm
Upcoming Weekly Analysis!
FA Analysis:
ST/MT/LT Outlook: Sell
1- Tariffs came into effect on April 2nd and market reacted badly to it. This was completely expected.
2- NFP data came green but market ignored it and continued the sell-off. This tells you the fundamental change in market expectations vis-a-vis US market! So bad data will be bad for equities and good data will be also bad.
3- This week, we've CPI, PPI and Consumer sentiment as major key data. They'll be fuel to the current fire.
4- The FED was tacit and still data related. The FED is running a risk of a late intervention!
5- Additional retaliations from the rest of the world are also expected. USA is isolating itself from the world economy; the damage is here to stay even if Trump cancel those tariffs or deregulate or cut taxes.
TA Analysis:
Weekly TF:
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We got a strong bearish weekly close. A gap down should be added to the weekly candle.
A continuation down is expected.
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NQ provided one of the largest daily candle. Market was down until the last minute Friday! There is no interest to buy the dip at all!
A gap down is expected.
In the case of a gap, price might close the gap and continue down.
Hope we get some retrace to join the sell side during NY session.
Happy week with a lot of green pips!
  • #1,709
  • Apr 6, 2025 5:26pm Apr 6, 2025 5:26pm
Quoting Fadhl
Upcoming Weekly Analysis! FA Analysis: ST/MT/LT Outlook: Sell 1- Tariffs came into effect on April 2nd and market reacted badly to it. This was completely expected. 2- NFP data came green but market ignored it and continued the sell-off. This tells you the fundamental change in market expectations vis-a-vis US market! So bad data will be bad for equities and good data will be also bad. 3- This week, we've CPI, PPI and Consumer sentiment as major key data. They'll be fuel to the current fire. 4- The FED was tacit and still data related. The FED is...
A huge gap down!
  • #1,710
  • Apr 7, 2025 3:23am Apr 7, 2025 3:23am
I woke up to another bloodbath. Next support is at 15.750,00. Might see a gap fill, before downside continuation.
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If you go to the weekly timeframe, there's another clear daily/weekly support at 12.780,00, but that's for later...
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  • #1,711
  • Apr 7, 2025 8:19am Apr 7, 2025 8:19am
Potential behavior of NQ targeting the Low of Y2024.
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  • #1,712
  • Apr 7, 2025 8:41am Apr 7, 2025 8:41am
The opening range was bearish and we got a breakout. So let see if we can get a retest with displacement to jump and join the sell side.
This said, it's a very difficult environment to trade; very risky!
  • #1,713
  • Apr 7, 2025 8:51am Apr 7, 2025 8:51am
Quoting Fadhl
The opening range was bearish and we got a breakout. So let see if we can get a retest with displacement to jump and join the sell side. This said, it's a very difficult environment to trade; very risky!
The retest was bullish! So no trade!
  • #1,714
  • Apr 7, 2025 8:58am Apr 7, 2025 8:58am
The EU's tone is less severe. They are willing to discuss 0 for 0 tariffs.
  • #1,715
  • Apr 7, 2025 9:03am Apr 7, 2025 9:03am
Quoting LetsGoPitt
The EU's tone is less severe. They are willing to discuss 0 for 0 tariffs.
EURO is weak but they've to retaliate and they will.
  • #1,716
  • Apr 7, 2025 9:16am Apr 7, 2025 9:16am
Quoting Fadhl
The opening range was bearish and we got a breakout. So let see if we can get a retest with displacement to jump and join the sell side. This said, it's a very difficult environment to trade; very risky!
I'll pass for today!
The up and down are crazy and unpredictable.
See you later or tomorrow!
  • #1,717
  • Apr 7, 2025 9:21am Apr 7, 2025 9:21am
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Got out of my swing position.
This is getting too crazy even on the daily.
  • #1,718
  • Apr 7, 2025 9:38am Apr 7, 2025 9:38am
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omfg
  • #1,719
  • Apr 7, 2025 3:34pm Apr 7, 2025 3:34pm
That was an annoying day on the NQ.
I jumped into Gold – which has a clearer price action – at 2979. Will keep monitoring NQ, but less. I'm letting the dust settle.
  • #1,720
  • Apr 8, 2025 5:09am Apr 8, 2025 5:09am
A reversal seems to be forming as SPX hit the 200 week average support. All U.S. indexes should follow suit.
Be humble or be humbled.
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