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The Swamp

  • #122,081
  • Apr 2, 2025 3:43pm Apr 2, 2025 3:43pm
it hit all my boxes..
The sad part is you cant trust anything he says. 922 was my entry up to 966. I did not take the trade. If it breaks 802. I think 764 is next. If it bounces there. 802 may resist
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,082
  • Apr 2, 2025 3:52pm Apr 2, 2025 3:52pm
When the U.S. markets open. That may be when the usd falls. That's when the outflow is greatest
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,083
  • Apr 2, 2025 4:35pm Apr 2, 2025 4:35pm
Discretional, and stocks with Chinese products get hit hard
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,084
  • Edited 5:51pm Apr 2, 2025 5:41pm | Edited 5:51pm
Quoting gatorinla
When the U.S. markets open. That may be when the usd falls. That's when the outflow is greatest
If there is a abundance of usd outflow. It may find support. 802 is the bigger one. So if its closing above 825, it may be bouncing. The outflow would likely be greater during the london/us session.
We dont know the EZ reaction yet. Pulling their investments home is a way to send a message. When at 922 there was a likely pool of liquid. Those can close the long, and surf the same wave down tot 802, then back to 922/66
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,085
  • Apr 2, 2025 6:53pm Apr 2, 2025 6:53pm
Asia looks to be selling. Maybe China is dumping.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,086
  • Edited 9:04pm Apr 2, 2025 8:53pm | Edited 9:04pm
Quoting gatorinla
Asia looks to be selling. Maybe China is dumping. {image}
when london/NY opens maybe some more dumping to drive eu up further

gator are you still eyeing for a potential double top? Or maybr 1.1?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #122,087
  • Apr 2, 2025 11:27pm Apr 2, 2025 11:27pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} when london/NY opens maybe some more dumping to drive eu up further gator are you still eyeing for a potential double top? Or maybr 1.1?
It has to get passed 922/66. The best I can tell it may be unable to hit 967
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,088
  • Apr 3, 2025 12:03am Apr 3, 2025 12:03am
Quoting johncen
{quote} when london/NY opens maybe some more dumping to drive eu up further gator are you still eyeing for a potential double top? Or maybr 1.1?
Tomorrow is Friday. 825 may get a visit. If below 802 that could mean something concerning 682. Without tariffs normally 682, would have merit. This current situation is a wildcard. You saw the liquid already earlier at 922 and 802
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,089
  • Apr 3, 2025 2:01am Apr 3, 2025 2:01am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It has to get passed 922/66. The best I can tell it may be unable to hit 967
damn bull went pass without any hesitation
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #122,090
  • Apr 3, 2025 5:18am Apr 3, 2025 5:18am
WTF...
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #122,091
  • Apr 3, 2025 5:31am Apr 3, 2025 5:31am
Quoting saninvestor
WTF...
Almost 340 pips move today of course till now!
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #122,092
  • Apr 3, 2025 6:58am Apr 3, 2025 6:58am
Quoting gatorinla
I think it will double top 930/54 ish. When above 802 it leans bullish, this week above 825 leans bullish. I'm just showing the path to 1.1288/1.4018 it follows. I think a double top with a large drop is coming. But if the usd outflow continues. Its harder to fall, and it could end up up in the 1.12/1.14 area. Bears want to below 802. The quarter closed above 802. I dont think it was an accident. That's why i think, it will go to test the high area 930/950 ish {quote} After if it double tops it can fall. {image} {image}
It blew past 1.0930/54
1288-1418 is in the same sequence as 802 and 922.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,093
  • Apr 3, 2025 7:42am Apr 3, 2025 7:42am
Quoting LoneTrader1
{quote} Last 2 months main directional moves happened at the start of new month, what I'm thinking they could do it again and till then range maybe...
Yep
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  • #122,094
  • Apr 3, 2025 8:19am Apr 3, 2025 8:19am
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3 days into April the month average range already hit.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,095
  • Apr 3, 2025 8:51am Apr 3, 2025 8:51am
DXY I had marked this level when it it was struggling to bounce from previous level. This level also had a gap, filled today.
I would be expecting complete reversal soon.....
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  • #122,096
  • Apr 3, 2025 9:02am Apr 3, 2025 9:02am
Taking a EG short .8434 tp .8365x
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,097
  • Apr 3, 2025 9:10am Apr 3, 2025 9:10am
Quoting gatorinla
Taking a EG short .8434 tp .8365x
took a long on the aud/nzd tp 1.1007
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,098
  • Apr 3, 2025 9:16am Apr 3, 2025 9:16am
currency is like a stock. The unstable leadership is reflecting.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...fidence-crisis
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,099
  • Apr 3, 2025 3:03pm Apr 3, 2025 3:03pm
The Dow is down near 2700 and 4%. Tired of winning yet? Others -6%
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Be careful of who you put behind the wheel
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,100
  • Apr 3, 2025 3:32pm Apr 3, 2025 3:32pm
This about covers it:

"This might be the single stupidest thing any of us will ever see," Dunt argued. "It is stupid in every way: presentationally, intellectually, politically, methodologically, morally and of course economically. The word stupid doesn’t really suffice for the full level of idiocy we’ve now reached."

"It looked like something out of US daytime television – those garish cheaply produced shows where you can win a cash prize if you spin a wheel," he remarked. "You half expected a showgirl to appear behind the American flags, draped over a tariff quota rate. That’s what he is really: a cheap knock-off daytime TV presenter."

"It’s hard to state just how nonsensical that actually is," he wrote. "You might as well divide the numbers of apples in your kitchen by the number of bagels and use it to calculate your mortgage rate. To criticise it on political or economic grounds is too generous. It operates below the level of rational thought."
Follow the money --Mark Felt (Deepthroat)
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