The Swamp | Page 6103 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread
Attachments: The Swamp
Exit Attachments

The Swamp

  • #122,041
  • Apr 1, 2025 6:12am Apr 1, 2025 6:12am
Quoting gatorinla
8025 may be breaking The freaking 6h should have closed above 8025.. Its tough. i think 802 is harder. The least path of resistance looks up to me .. 930 looks like the first Quarter R to beat. {image}
This 1.0802/25 area is probably going to rob bears and bulls. With fake breaks both directions. Atm pa is below 802, with a fresh quarter/day/12h close above 802. But below 825.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 5 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,042
  • Apr 1, 2025 6:25am Apr 1, 2025 6:25am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} This 1.0802/25 area is probably going to rob bears and bulls. With fake breaks both directions. Atm pa is below 802, with a fresh quarter/day/12h close above 802. But below 825. {image}
1.0761 could be a interesting place.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 7 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,043
  • Apr 1, 2025 6:44am Apr 1, 2025 6:44am
Structure wise 762 area is a place head fakes turn. Those sometimes make it to a place like 953.
PA is below 1.0802 1.08025. The bear side of large levels.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 6 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,044
  • Apr 1, 2025 12:16pm Apr 1, 2025 12:16pm
I plan on a little day swing long. Near the low is best. The low breaks about 40% of the time. So a s/l at- the low may be best. -10 pips below statically also works. What's lost in the wider stop, gains on reward. Pick your personal entry 778/89 (add 10 if using a 10 pip stop). Target #1 825 +80% (if the low held), target to #2 adr or 875.
The quarter just closed. I dont know how the interference with 802 will work. I base this generic, without 802..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,045
  • Apr 1, 2025 1:30pm Apr 1, 2025 1:30pm
I went long 790. tp 824. s/l I have 2 choices 784 or 781.. an experimental trade Entry between 790 and 781. may be ok. 802 is a wildcard
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,046
  • Apr 1, 2025 4:00pm Apr 1, 2025 4:00pm
Quoting gatorinla
I went long 790. tp 824. s/l I have 2 choices 784 or 781.. an experimental trade Entry between 790 and 781. may be ok. 802 is a wildcard
most often the target would be hit before the first few hours of Asia. After 11 pm est.the chances shrink. The target is 824. But 825 is ok too. 825 may or not act as R. There is a chance of it going to adr or 875. 802 is a unknown wild card that can grow into S or R 802 can stop this. 825 can stop 875
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,047
  • Apr 1, 2025 4:13pm Apr 1, 2025 4:13pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} most often the target would be hit before the first few hours of Asia. After 11 pm est.the chances shrink. The target is 824. But 825 is ok too. 825 may or not act as R. There is a chance of it going to adr or 875. 802 is a unknown wild card that can grow into S or R 802 can stop this. 825 can stop 875
maybe bear wants to finish the unfinished business from Q1 if it can break below 0777?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #122,048
  • Apr 1, 2025 4:14pm Apr 1, 2025 4:14pm
Quoting gatorinla
I went long 790. tp 824. s/l I have 2 choices 784 or 781.. an experimental trade Entry between 790 and 781. may be ok. 802 is a wildcard
It made the move last h toward 824. only to be slapped down at 802.

!. Why do i trade into what I think can be R? Because the st set up said too, to target 824. These over time have a good r/r rate. 802 is a wildcard.
2. The quarter closed above 802.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 5 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,049
  • Apr 1, 2025 4:32pm Apr 1, 2025 4:32pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} maybe bear wants to finish the unfinished business from Q1 if it can break below 0777?
I can't say no. I see 2 possibilities there 739 and 610. The quarter closed above 802. That has me thinking it will go to 930. I cant trade every possibility. So i went to the one I posted st to tp 824/25. They all can be true. It may be best to stay away from the eu because of the false breaks. It may consolidate.. scalpers may do better
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,050
  • Apr 1, 2025 4:45pm Apr 1, 2025 4:45pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} maybe bear wants to finish the unfinished business from Q1 if it can break below 0777?
This isn't normal times in trading. We got the threat of tariffs each day. By the time things settle. We get tweet removing them. Followed by another threat to add more. There is no rhyme or reason. Nobody can plan around him. No company can plan the future. The guy is fucking nuts. He fucks up everything he touches
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,051
  • Apr 1, 2025 5:23pm Apr 1, 2025 5:23pm
Just imagine you insure cars like State Farm, or Allstate. Your premiums are set for the next 6 months. Overnight replacement parts for cars go up 25%. Replacement cost for a vehicle goes up 25%. Guess whos premiums is going up 25% + commissions. My buddy sells office/products. The manufacturing companies already raised his prices higher than he has even seen. He has to pass it on.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,052
  • Apr 1, 2025 9:02pm Apr 1, 2025 9:02pm
Mr. cheesehead wanna be lost.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,053
  • Apr 1, 2025 9:21pm Apr 1, 2025 9:21pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} This isn't normal times in trading. We got the threat of tariffs each day. By the time things settle. We get tweet removing them. Followed by another threat to add more. There is no rhyme or reason. Nobody can plan around him. No company can plan the future. The guy is fucking nuts. He fucks up everything he touches
too much uncertainty with the crazy man around, market sentiment and fundamental end is not supporting the dollars.
Just think at some point 0650 0530 need to be retested before further up. Without testing those areas upward move might be limited
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #122,054
  • Apr 1, 2025 9:37pm Apr 1, 2025 9:37pm
Quoting gatorinla
I went long 790. tp 824. s/l I have 2 choices 784 or 781.. an experimental trade Entry between 790 and 781. may be ok. 802 is a wildcard
I closed. Less than 30 min to go. 824 may be too far. The odds reduce this next hour
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,055
  • Apr 1, 2025 9:44pm Apr 1, 2025 9:44pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} too much uncertainty with the crazy man around, market sentiment and fundamental end is not supporting the dollars. Just think at some point 0650 0530 need to be retested before further up. Without testing those areas upward move might be limited
Yeah if it was just techs it wouldn't be here. All the usd flow needs to be squeezed out. It didnt make 824/25 (time is expiring for my trade) . Its testing 802 atm. You may be right. I have a short waiting 824. 807 may attract, 8024/25 may too. There may be R here. 6 pips may be enough for a stop.
802 may be a large s/r when its stiffens
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,056
  • Apr 1, 2025 10:00pm Apr 1, 2025 10:00pm
Quoting gatorinla
I went long 790. tp 824. s/l I have 2 choices 784 or 781.. an experimental trade Entry between 790 and 781. may be ok. 802 is a wildcard
I bet most thought i would be stopped out here... It didnt tp. I think because 802. Genetically this was a 80% trade. I didn't have the 11pm est time out then. I know it reduces dramatically after 11pm.
all day for nine pips sucks But better than losing 9.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,057
  • Apr 2, 2025 2:40am Apr 2, 2025 2:40am
Quoting LoneTrader1
{quote} {image}
EA that trade hit SL after 240+ pips, Another try
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURAUD_2025-04-02_12-35-16.png Size: 21 KB
  • #122,058
  • Apr 2, 2025 5:07am Apr 2, 2025 5:07am
Quoting johncen
{quote} too much uncertainty with the crazy man around, market sentiment and fundamental end is not supporting the dollars. Just think at some point 0650 0530 need to be retested before further up. Without testing those areas upward move might be limited
Maybe one to come here at 750/64
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 1 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,059
  • Apr 2, 2025 5:12am Apr 2, 2025 5:12am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Maybe one to come here at 750/64 {image}
if we get there hopefully it will go lower
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #122,060
  • Apr 2, 2025 5:34am Apr 2, 2025 5:34am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Maybe one to come here at 750/64 {image}
Entry 750/64 area. Tp 1 840 and 950ish. But 802 807 and 825 can block the rise to 840. If all goes right The R at 877 936 39 fails , sell 950 area and tp 825 before Friday closes.

Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Entry 750/64 area. Tp 1 840 and 950ish. But 802 807 and 825 can block the rise to 840. If all goes right The R at 877 936 39 fails , sell 950 area and tp 825 before Friday closes.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 9 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
21 traders viewing now