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  • #11,881
  • Mar 29, 2025 12:56am Mar 29, 2025 12:56am
Quoting johncen
{quote} may I ask where is your target?
To convince someone to provide me with a live account on profit sharing
  • #11,882
  • Mar 29, 2025 3:37am Mar 29, 2025 3:37am
The EUR/USD dropped below 1.0800 this week and reached a low of 1.0732, where buyers pushed strongly and closed the week higher, though below its weekly high of 1.0858, near the 1.0861 resistance level. For now, as long as the EUR/USD stays above Friday's low of 1.0764, buyers should attempt to push the pair above the 1.0844 resistance and break through the 1.0858/61 zone, potentially targeting the 1.0955 high later if momentum and fundamentals align. Bears, on the other hand, will aim to weaken the pair below 1.0800 toward 1.0764 and break lower if momentum remains strong. If the downward path stays open, their next targets could be 1.0732 or 1.0726.

Happy weekend!

Weekly volatility (range) 148 pips

Option expiries for Monday: 1.0500 (EU1.19b), 1.0800 (EU772.3m), 1.1280 (EU655.1m) Source: financialjuice.com

Significant news - US JOLTS Job Openings, US Initial Jobless Claims, US Trade Balance, US Factory Orders & US NFP.

Daily
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #11,883
  • Mar 29, 2025 5:50am Mar 29, 2025 5:50am
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} To convince someone to provide me with a live account on profit sharing
Its a shame that you are not allowed to trade, i believe a lots of us do misd your analysis
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #11,884
  • Edited 4:14pm Mar 29, 2025 9:16am | Edited 4:14pm
Sometimes, what I do to clear my analysis & get a better perspective is simply go to the chart settings & click "Inverse Chart". Well because sometimes it helps to see things upside down.

Here below is the chart flipped H4 TF upside down.

Here's my conclusion on probabilities.

The first white line is a strong support & resistance which is the 1.083 Mark. We are actually sitting right on it, with no real break yet on H4 & H1, BUT we are on it.
The ideal target if this does not hold is clearly 1.086-1.087. I'd like to believe this is where most of the bears are waiting. If bulls/buyers become of interest in this level & find a support here we could be looking at 1.09.

Remember Patience is key on HTF.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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If 95% Of Traders Fail, Then Why Are You Doing The Same Thing They Are.
  • #11,885
  • Mar 29, 2025 11:22pm Mar 29, 2025 11:22pm
can anyone kindly share video on how to share trades over the internet between various accounts for free using fx blue
  • #11,886
  • Mar 30, 2025 11:40am Mar 30, 2025 11:40am
Quoting Fxgfitking
That 1.081 / 38% was not the prettiest for bulls, but once again as we move forward the PWL ( 1.07969) will be a determining factor for the rest of the week as bears try to finish the second week with a new low & bulls try to prevent a new weekly low. Js3mwtrc did tell you guys 1.081 was a good sell area super quick 20 pip drop lol {image}
price maybe sweep BSL then go down
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Mck DZ
  • #11,887
  • Mar 30, 2025 1:30pm Mar 30, 2025 1:30pm
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  • #11,888
  • Mar 30, 2025 10:30pm Mar 30, 2025 10:30pm
Eid mubarak
  • #11,889
  • Mar 30, 2025 10:31pm Mar 30, 2025 10:31pm
The EUR/USD advanced to Friday's high but was rejected there and is now trading on the sidelines. The 1.0804 weekly pivot serves as support, and as long as it remains intact, bulls should push higher toward 1.0861 or even further to the R1 weekly level. If the support breaks, then 1.0764 will be the next target, depending on momentum.
Happy week!

Daily volatility (range) 68 pips

Option expiries for Monday: 1.0500 (EU1.19b), 1.0800 (EU772.3m), 1.1280 (EU655.1m) Source: financialjuice.com

Significant news - German CPI

1H
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #11,890
  • Edited 2:06am Mar 31, 2025 1:43am | Edited 2:06am
Quoting Matts Micro
Hi I've been on "EURUSD only" thread (not "Only EURUSD" heh). My style of trading I name TRC which is Trading to the Right of the Chart. Reading history is easy but it's always only part of the story and it is up to the trader to complete that story making predictions of the PA to the right of the chart. Though I recognise a few names here and they may have seen my charts, I will repost my out look here. Long Term. I posted on Monday. The chart is quite busy as I build upon it. Currently I am looking at the orange and possible white dashed TL's...
Hi, this week I am still on my TRC plan from my previous post. PA didn't reach my AOI in the open blue box before a minor correction. I still think it will reach this level though it may now have the momentum on a downward swing to punch through without looking back.

On the topside imo if we enter into the red zone PA has a decent chance of a hard push topside.

I am looking at a poor quality H&S (I usually include wicks) but it could also be a double top for a further push downside. I don't see the sellers entering yet (4hr) and I think we have a little further topside to go to around the 1.086 zone before the bears come in to dominate again.

Edit: I forgot to mention it's NFP week so directional trading is difficult, often with whipsaw activity. I will just be trading what I see however.
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As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #11,891
  • Mar 31, 2025 4:39am Mar 31, 2025 4:39am
Not much happening. Waiting for US to wake up. For now EU has failed to close above resistance at 1.0845 and is continuing losing momentum. That's a bearish sign that could lead the price below 1.0805 towards Fridays low. So 1.0805 is critical right now!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #11,892
  • Mar 31, 2025 7:00am Mar 31, 2025 7:00am
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  • #11,893
  • Mar 31, 2025 9:25am Mar 31, 2025 9:25am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Not much happening. Waiting for US to wake up. For now EU has failed to close above resistance at 1.0845 and is continuing losing momentum. That's a bearish sign that could lead the price below 1.0805 towards Fridays low. So 1.0805 is critical right now!
Eu progresses below support. One more checkpoint the trendline, then if break the road is open - see chart!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #11,894
  • Mar 31, 2025 9:37am Mar 31, 2025 9:37am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Eu progresses below support. One more checkpoint the trendline, then if break the road is open - see chart! {image}
A confirmation would already be a candle close below the lower trend line, or the closing of a candlestick body below @1.07634?

thank you
  • #11,895
  • Mar 31, 2025 9:51am Mar 31, 2025 9:51am
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  • #11,896
  • Mar 31, 2025 10:04am Mar 31, 2025 10:04am
Quoting DonEtienne28
{quote} A confirmation would already be a candle close below the lower trend line, or the closing of a candlestick body below @1.07634? thank you
Below the trendline. Target is the 1.07634.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #11,897
  • Mar 31, 2025 10:46am Mar 31, 2025 10:46am
The EURUSD tested a high of 1.0844 this morning, but souring sentiment and lower German CPI prices prevented it from advancing further. The pair later dipped below the 1.0805 support level, trading to a low of 1.0784 before news emerged that more ECB officials appear ready to accept an April rate pause. This was hawkish for the EURUSD, and the pair recovered a good portion of its downward move, consolidating from the drop. Still, it’s trading below resistance at 1.0829 with bearish intentions, as tariffs are expected to hurt growth in the Eurozone

It was nice trading with you all. I wish you a great end to the day, see you tomorrow!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #11,898
  • Edited 9:30pm Mar 31, 2025 12:37pm | Edited 9:30pm
Looking at how today is playing out, I'd like to say I have no idea currently The Upside Price trend is still in tact, but I think it was challenged pretty well today. My area of interest has remained at 1.086 on the upside, and 1.076 on the downside, neither was hit as of yet. I still have a bearish sentiment on the HTF at least until a retest area of the low, if any new highs are to be made.

If we reach 1.0825-1.084 again we will have to see how price reacts at that point. There is a clear double bottom pattern on M30 at the 1.078 price range. There was plenty good entries for shorter time frame trading today. Being that I am on a HTF I had my first short at 1.084 & 1.086 being my second.

On the downside on HTF I am looking at 1.072 & then 1.067 as targets with some patience.

1.0858 is the Previous Week High
1.0733 is the Previous Week Low
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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If 95% Of Traders Fail, Then Why Are You Doing The Same Thing They Are.
  • #11,899
  • Mar 31, 2025 3:29pm Mar 31, 2025 3:29pm
Waiting for monthly and quarterly close

seems like we are now attracting more buyers than sellers we all know what that could mean
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #11,900
  • Mar 31, 2025 5:51pm Mar 31, 2025 5:51pm
Quoting johncen
Waiting for monthly and quarterly close seems like we are now attracting more buyers than sellers we all know what that could mean {image}
Down? LOL
If 95% Of Traders Fail, Then Why Are You Doing The Same Thing They Are.
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