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  • #11,701
  • Mar 25, 2025 9:29am Mar 25, 2025 9:29am
Partial hit; SL to BE -1PiP

Second short on 15m CE as previous; SL 5.5PiPs; Partial 12.5 PiPs @107943 [2.5RR] TP 64PiPs [11.65RR]
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Don't you know that I'm loco ...
  • #11,702
  • Mar 25, 2025 9:33am Mar 25, 2025 9:33am
4h, now it's closed the gap, will it continue up, not looking great for the shorts ....
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Don't you know that I'm loco ...
  • #11,703
  • Mar 25, 2025 9:39am Mar 25, 2025 9:39am
Quoting RedAllOver
4h, now it's closed the gap, will it continue up, not looking great for the shorts .... {image}
Hi,

7 minutes ago you took a short position, and now you're saying short positions are dead.
A word of advice before taking a trade: be sure and stop contradicting yourself. In 5 minutes, it's ridiculous.
  • #11,704
  • Mar 25, 2025 9:49am Mar 25, 2025 9:49am
Quoting liltraderfx
{quote} Hi, 7 minutes ago you took a short position, and now you're saying short positions are dead. A word of advice before taking a trade: be sure and stop contradicting yourself. In 5 minutes, it's ridiculous.
Thank you for the kind words and your advice ...

it was highlighted as a level to be wary of. Sadly in trading, nothing is certain. I'm sure if you look at your charts, there are times when 4h gaps are closed and momentum pushes right through it and there are times where it does not. Given overall bias and HTF are short, it was my assertion it would carry through, can't see where I said it was 'dead' ...

Anyway my little trooper, you'll be pleased as punch to hear both my trades were stopped out ... but in overall profit for the day so won't get too upset about it
Don't you know that I'm loco ...
  • #11,705
  • Mar 25, 2025 10:08am Mar 25, 2025 10:08am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Not 0850 yet but in a good road!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #11,706
  • Mar 25, 2025 10:52am Mar 25, 2025 10:52am
If we can see price break structure (SIMS line) with enough conviction, then return to my old friend 15m CE, I'll go short again ...

[Edit] Corrected the 15m lines; entry now @ 108065; SL 5.5' Partial @ 107930 [2.5RR]; TP again @ the 4h imbalance CE 107340 [12.22RR].

N.B. remember, I'm really only interested in the Partial. I always moved SL to BE plus a pip once (if) the Partial is hit ...
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Don't you know that I'm loco ...
  • #11,707
  • Mar 25, 2025 11:11am Mar 25, 2025 11:11am
Sell
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Holy Betting Grail strategy
  • #11,708
  • Mar 25, 2025 11:45am Mar 25, 2025 11:45am
The EURUSD pair remains subdued after a brief drop and a subsequent bounce from 1.0774 to 1.0830 today, despite worse than expected U.S. news that fell below forecasts.

For now, the pair appears supported above 1.0800 and could revive its morning upside. However, if continued attempts by sellers manage to push it below this round number, it might have the opposite effect on the pair, with 1.0774 as a potential target.

Have a great rest of the day!
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #11,709
  • Edited 12:40pm Mar 25, 2025 12:13pm | Edited 12:40pm
Quoting josip
{quote} update EURUSD H1 TRENDLINES QUICK LOOK... waiting for H1 to close... {image}
update2
EURUSD H1
trendlines

pattern: rising wedge
we can fall below 1.08

if the price stays above the yellow line (upper), then I will think of buy
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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #11,710
  • Edited 2:53pm Mar 25, 2025 2:23pm | Edited 2:53pm
My Trades today included:

Long: 1.07775 & 1.087860 to TP 1.082 , then a short entry at around 11:30am from 1.08180 to 1.07969 ( Target was PWL) which TP just crossed recently.

Moving on to tomorrow. We just have to see if this H4 order block for bulls hold. Its approx range 1.07650-1.07775

Long range Bear Target include 1.073 & 1.067
Long Range Bull Target include 1.08435 & 1.08675

I think buyers really tried today, but the 1.083 FIB resistance/ demand zone seems to be quite strong as buyers don't feel as keen on the EUR beyond that price. Bulls are trying to maintain the PWL Support (1.07969) , but its nearing end of day & they are once again currently under it (near it again).
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If 95% Of Traders Fail, Then Why Are You Doing The Same Thing They Are.
  • #11,711
  • Edited 4:46pm Mar 25, 2025 4:31pm | Edited 4:46pm
Here's an update as the day closed. We closed once again under the PWL. ( Previous Week Low)

We have 2 Possible Scenarios At Hand.

1.)The support of 1.077-1.078 holds & we breakout out of the bearish trend canal.
2.) The supporting price breaks & we start heading towards 1.073-1.074 next trend canal support range, order block & 61% Fib Retracement.

Since trading is about probabilities, what is more probable at the moment? The higher odds are obviously favoring a bearish push down to continue the trend canal. However, that is just a probability, just like switching to a bullish canal is probable. The dollar seems to be in demand as well vs other. major currencies for now as well.

Play it safe & most importantly, play is with patience. For myself I will just be watching to see how the current zone reacts so I can decide what to do.
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If 95% Of Traders Fail, Then Why Are You Doing The Same Thing They Are.
  • #11,712
  • Mar 25, 2025 8:06pm Mar 25, 2025 8:06pm
H4 Support Broken with candle close below it. Another BOS to the downside on H4 for now. Will retest yesterdays low I am assuming & we shall see, but sellers overcame the big H4 buyers candle from yesterday as of now.

The Screenshot is H4 TF.
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If 95% Of Traders Fail, Then Why Are You Doing The Same Thing They Are.
  • #11,713
  • Edited Mar 26, 2025 12:29am Mar 25, 2025 11:38pm | Edited Mar 26, 2025 12:29am
The EUR/USD fell to a low of 1.0775 after souring sentiment about tariffs changed its course, and now the pair is trading below 1.0800. For now, the 1.0830 resistance caps any upside movement toward 1.0858/61. If the pair drops lower, then 1.0765 and 1.0753 are the next targets
Green pips!

Daily volatility (range) 57 pips

Option expiries for Wednesday: 1.0690 (EU912m), 1.0925 (EU843.9m), 1.1000 (EU760.9m) Source: financialjuice.com

Significant news - US Durable Goods

1H
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #11,714
  • Mar 26, 2025 1:28am Mar 26, 2025 1:28am
Start buy with target 1.8028, trade safe
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  • #11,715
  • Mar 26, 2025 2:42am Mar 26, 2025 2:42am
Bull needs 080x and bear needs 0770
Who will win?
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #11,716
  • Mar 26, 2025 3:07am Mar 26, 2025 3:07am
Quoting johncen
Bull needs 080x and bear needs 0770 Who will win? {image}
Looks more bullish for now, still holding, hoping London brings some momentum.
'In the clearing stands a boxer And a fighter by his trade..'
  • #11,717
  • Mar 26, 2025 3:09am Mar 26, 2025 3:09am
Quoting GOR
{quote} Looks more bullish for now, still holding, hoping London brings some momentum.
with low keep on supporting yup bull may give it a go
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #11,718
  • Mar 26, 2025 3:13am Mar 26, 2025 3:13am
Quoting johncen
{quote} with low keep on supporting yup bull may give it a go
The red news this morning has changed the balance and the market is unstable at the moment, caution is required until more clarity,
'In the clearing stands a boxer And a fighter by his trade..'
  • #11,719
  • Mar 26, 2025 3:13am Mar 26, 2025 3:13am
Will go nowhere and trade back and forth on end of month flows.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #11,720
  • Mar 26, 2025 3:21am Mar 26, 2025 3:21am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Will go nowhere and trade back and forth on end of month flows.
I understand that other pairs are not mentioned here, but right now the activity is elsewhere.,
'In the clearing stands a boxer And a fighter by his trade..'
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