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The Swamp

  • #121,781
  • Mar 20, 2025 1:04pm Mar 20, 2025 1:04pm
Quoting gatorinla
adr met.. I lightened the load, I left some 877 pending. but 871 may resist. I will not long. If it dont return to 0877.. I will just add shorts periodically. {image}
Tonight, tomorrow if this fall does continue. 792 to me has some chance for support value. It could end up trying to reach 847 again on a bounce.
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  • #121,782
  • Mar 20, 2025 1:29pm Mar 20, 2025 1:29pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} I've added to short at 850. We should not get over 865 I think...
My 15 min is 867
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,783
  • Mar 21, 2025 2:21am Mar 21, 2025 2:21am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} My 15 min is 867
840 is resistance, yesterday it was 850.
However, it's possible we might still see 870, it wouldn't be surprising.

I’d say the first target is 800.
Then, we should start staying below 800 for longer in order to aim for 700. I believe we might even see 660 if we move quickly.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #121,784
  • Edited 5:47am Mar 21, 2025 5:34am | Edited 5:47am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Tonight, tomorrow if this fall does continue. 792 to me has some chance for support value. It could end up trying to reach 847 again on a bounce.
805 is a different beast. Its a decent support, once it breaks it may hurt a bounce strength. It may be unable to reach 847 again today. Atm 858.8 has R. Another closer at 845.6... The smaller supportabove 805 at 819.9 and 814.6.. 805 is the one bears need to take... It seems to be about to take on support. Once it takes 805.. the 4h 792 may be a bump.
First things first 819 814 805. If it dont take these, it's probably going to stagnate or rise. For me 410 38x is below 805
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,785
  • Mar 21, 2025 5:52am Mar 21, 2025 5:52am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 805 is a different beast. Its a decent support, once it breaks it may hurt a bounce strength. It may be unable to reach 847 again today. Atm 858.8 has R. Another closer at 845.6... The smaller supportabove 805 at 819.9 and 814.6.. 805 is the one bears need to take... It seems to be about to take on support. Once it takes 805.. the 4h 792 may be a bump. First things first 819 814 805. If it dont take these, it's probably going to stagnate or rise. For me 410 38x is below 805 {image}
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  • #121,786
  • Mar 21, 2025 5:57am Mar 21, 2025 5:57am
839.2 could resist some too.. lighter R
847 attracts
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  • #121,787
  • Mar 21, 2025 6:10am Mar 21, 2025 6:10am
If correct about 410. this is the trajectory tl setting
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  • #121,788
  • Mar 21, 2025 6:51am Mar 21, 2025 6:51am
Quoting LoneTrader1
EU trendline with AU example a short trade which I ignored. {image} {image}
Weekly hasn't closed above. Below 1.0765 could be a free fall based on what happened previously.
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  • #121,789
  • Mar 21, 2025 6:55am Mar 21, 2025 6:55am
Quoting LoneTrader1
{quote} Weekly hasn't closed above. Below 1.0765 could be a free fall based on what happened previously. {image}
Daily TF
How that level was retested from above for another push up
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  • #121,790
  • Mar 21, 2025 7:08am Mar 21, 2025 7:08am
Quoting LoneTrader1
{quote} DXY {image}
DXY till undecided. Close above previous week high would be impressive for bulls otherwise.....
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  • #121,791
  • Mar 21, 2025 7:27am Mar 21, 2025 7:27am
Quoting gatorinla
If correct about 410. this is the trajectory tl setting {image}
Since i know the limit date, and target I use this to kinda guide me.
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  • #121,792
  • Mar 21, 2025 7:29am Mar 21, 2025 7:29am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Since i know the limit date, and target I use this to kinda guide me. {image}
hopefully that was the high
The rate of drop, if I'm correct. May be less than the rise
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  • #121,793
  • Mar 21, 2025 7:35am Mar 21, 2025 7:35am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} hopefully that was the high The rate of drop, if I'm correct. May be less than the rise {image}
Last 2 months main directional moves happened at the start of new month, what I'm thinking they could do it again and till then range maybe...
  • #121,794
  • Mar 21, 2025 7:36am Mar 21, 2025 7:36am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} hopefully that was the high The rate of drop, if I'm correct. May be less than the rise {image}
Full short position buy we need to get below 839 support
Some things are not perfectly aligned yet.
Maybe a bit later.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #121,795
  • Mar 21, 2025 7:39am Mar 21, 2025 7:39am
Quoting LoneTrader1
{quote} Daily TF How that level was retested from above for another push up {image}
H 4
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  • #121,796
  • Mar 21, 2025 7:48am Mar 21, 2025 7:48am
Quoting LoneTrader1
{quote} Weekly hasn't closed above. Below 1.0765 could be a free fall based on what happened previously. {image}
If/when 805 gives up. I think it may fall harder.
I may be wrong about 410 38x. The month I see and the quarter are there. This month end are where they meet. So if i'm right it will be a hard down of about 60 pips average a day or better. Not much retrace time available on that calender. A day average of 83 pips leaves smaller bounces of 23 pips. There will be outliers. But on average there should not be many bounces lets say 60 pips from lows.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,797
  • Mar 21, 2025 7:58am Mar 21, 2025 7:58am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If/when 805 gives up. I think it may fall harder. I may be wrong about 410 38x. The month I see and the quarter are there. This month end are where they meet. So if i'm right it will be a hard down of about 60 pips average a day or better. Not much retrace time available on that calender. A day average of 83 pips leaves smaller bounces of 23 pips. There will be outliers. But on average there should not be many bounces lets say 60 pips from lows.
Using the current high today, to low the yesterday 47 pips. The high line of that channel was hit. the trajectory line about 820. The lower line in a descending channel atm is about 782 this hour. If correct about the 410/38x. We may see 782 today. It's a descending channel so that number drops as each hour passes
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  • #121,798
  • Mar 21, 2025 8:20am Mar 21, 2025 8:20am
these atm are 819 ascending, and 812 descending.. -805 takes them out. If i wasn't targeting the 73% shot at 410/38x. I can see the reason to long. PA is well above the month and quarter average. The 73% is just normal without the overbought bias. 73% is low balling the statistics because its not including the over extension. 1.0871 didnt look good earlier this week. It did look like it would go higher. 73% is based on the same thing. But without adding the overbought averages. I will assume the support here will break. But it may not be pretty until its below these and 805..
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  • #121,799
  • Mar 21, 2025 9:40am Mar 21, 2025 9:40am
?
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  • #121,800
  • Mar 21, 2025 10:54am Mar 21, 2025 10:54am
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oops
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