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The Swamp

  • #121,761
  • Mar 20, 2025 2:48am Mar 20, 2025 2:48am
Quoting DMA Trader
I think we are going much lower. I added to my shorts. I’d be surprised if we jump back over 920. (sl) 830 today? GL.
I didn’t increase my short on EG, and I prefer to see if I can short GU, although it has already dropped a lot.
GBP could fall even further for multiple reasons. Possibly after BOE, if EG strengthens due to GBP's decline, I will add a small short again, but only if I see it approaching 0.842.

On E/U, I think 850 and 830 are strong enough to attract some bulls toward 880.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
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  • #121,762
  • Mar 20, 2025 3:10am Mar 20, 2025 3:10am
A visit of 0912 is in my view today
Then I will plan to short
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #121,763
  • Mar 20, 2025 3:27am Mar 20, 2025 3:27am
The next h close is a 12h close. That may start to sustain a close under 1.0871.5
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,764
  • Mar 20, 2025 3:47am Mar 20, 2025 3:47am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} I didn’t increase my short on EG, and I prefer to see if I can short GU, although it has already dropped a lot. GBP could fall even further for multiple reasons. Possibly after BOE, if EG strengthens due to GBP's decline, I will add a small short again, but only if I see it approaching 0.842. On E/U, I think 850 and 830 are strong enough to attract some bulls toward 880.
PA is finally different from before.
I think we will break 850 in the next few hours, and we’ve already had the test at 880.

We are moving well and aggressively.
King Dollar.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
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  • #121,765
  • Mar 20, 2025 4:04am Mar 20, 2025 4:04am
Quoting gatorinla
The next h close is a 12h close. That may start to sustain a close under 1.0871.5
It closed under. Lets see if it tilts. To get to 0410 on time, that's just under a 60 pip average per day.
So far today its 56 pips.
8 day left in the month, 460 pips. Another target is a little deeper at 1.038x. Of it may be deeper. But I suspect these could later Be support or resistance
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,766
  • Mar 20, 2025 4:22am Mar 20, 2025 4:22am
The adr is about 83 pips now. I estimate a near 60 pip drop per day the rest of this month, quarter. That leaves not much room to retrace. 26 pips compared to 57 dont look good to expect a large rise ..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,767
  • Mar 20, 2025 4:25am Mar 20, 2025 4:25am
Inserted Video
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #121,768
  • Mar 20, 2025 4:51am Mar 20, 2025 4:51am
Quoting gatorinla
The adr is about 83 pips now. I estimate a near 60 pip drop per day the rest of this month, quarter. That leaves not much room to retrace. 26 pips compared to 57 dont look good to expect a large rise ..
No such thing as perfect or being 100% right about this drop. Its more likely better without that repatriation pressure. Anyway to make sense. Once a fall seems confident. When a day closes, and pa is 23 ish pips above that close. That may be a good time to look for exhaustion. For instance yesterday closed at 1.0902. Today's high was 917.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,769
  • Mar 20, 2025 4:53am Mar 20, 2025 4:53am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It closed under. Lets see if it tilts. To get to 0410 on time, that's just under a 60 pip average per day. So far today its 56 pips. 8 day left in the month, 460 pips. Another target is a little deeper at 1.038x. Of it may be deeper. But I suspect these could later Be support or resistance {image}
0410 seems a bit far away for me but I do have 0650 or 0530 on my chart that we need to revist (and will be nice if we get there by the end of the month)
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #121,770
  • Mar 20, 2025 5:02am Mar 20, 2025 5:02am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} PA is finally different from before. I think we will break 850 in the next few hours, and we’ve already had the test at 880. We are moving well and aggressively. King Dollar.
880 add to short
900 also last one kind of stretched.

Target 1 850 Hit
Target 2 830
Target 3 800
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
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  • #121,771
  • Mar 20, 2025 5:09am Mar 20, 2025 5:09am
A possible retrace back to 877 LC+ it may be resistance..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,772
  • Mar 20, 2025 5:21am Mar 20, 2025 5:21am
Quoting gatorinla
A possible retrace back to 877 LC+ it may be resistance..
I believe that the pullbacks will be small, and we will drop like a rock.
I wouldn’t be surprised if we are below 800 by the end of the day.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
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  • #121,773
  • Mar 20, 2025 5:25am Mar 20, 2025 5:25am
adr met.. I lightened the load, I left some 877 pending. but 871 may resist. I will not long. If it dont return to 0877.. I will just add shorts periodically.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,774
  • Edited 6:06am Mar 20, 2025 5:55am | Edited 6:06am
Quoting gatorinla
adr met.. I lightened the load, I left some 877 pending. but 871 may resist. I will not long. If it dont return to 0877.. I will just add shorts periodically. {image}
865 has some st R also.
It may keep me from 77
The current low at 833.4.. If it drops more, 865 will be lower
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,775
  • Mar 20, 2025 6:03am Mar 20, 2025 6:03am
with adr met, and Lc. this may be the best chance for that 877 bounce. I'm targeting 411/38x this month. I cant long. Not getting back to 877 is likely not bullish for future
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,776
  • Mar 20, 2025 7:36am Mar 20, 2025 7:36am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} 880 add to short 900 also last one kind of stretched. Target 1 850 Hit Target 2 830 Target 3 800
Noiceeeee.

EUR might commit suicide today or tomorrow.
Hard to believe that we will see 870 again today.
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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
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  • #121,777
  • Mar 20, 2025 8:21am Mar 20, 2025 8:21am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} 880 add to short 900 also last one kind of stretched. Target 1 850 Hit Target 2 830 Target 3 800
2 targets hit
On to the next one 800.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
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  • #121,778
  • Mar 20, 2025 8:50am Mar 20, 2025 8:50am
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/03/20/eu-d...mid-april.html
lol
Bullish for USD and USA.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
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  • #121,779
  • Mar 20, 2025 10:28am Mar 20, 2025 10:28am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} 2 targets hit On to the next one 800.
850 1st lvl to add shoirt
880 2nd lvl .
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
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  • #121,780
  • Mar 20, 2025 11:26am Mar 20, 2025 11:26am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} 850 1st lvl to add shoirt 880 2nd lvl .
I've added to short at 850.
We should not get over 865 I think...
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
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