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The Swamp

  • #121,741
  • Mar 19, 2025 5:42am Mar 19, 2025 5:42am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} out of longs -15p loss I think I could have closed on BE 920 area but will short if it gets there and increase my short But for the short will be a tight SL since I am already short So now naked short. We have a few hours to stay below 920 for a bigger move down to at least 850 but this one was quite big. 3:30 hours if we stay above 920 But since it's FED ....
The weekly is starting to look good for shorts. I need another 90 minutes to see it trade below 910 for a dip to around 860.

Thank maybe~840
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #121,742
  • Mar 19, 2025 7:30am Mar 19, 2025 7:30am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} The weekly is starting to look good for shorts. I need another 90 minutes to see it trade below 910 for a dip to around 860. Thank maybe~840
My view is it is already to fall to 1.0871.5 and a 73% chance at 1.0410. But it has enough time to rise. I needs bulls to be exhausted. 1.0984 is like 1.0410. I would preferer it to reach 1.0984. Those 1.0929 34 or tough. Earlier it came close to 1.0871.5. So I thought it still had a shot at 984.
short term the last hour closed above 1.0902.5.. 1.09025 may be a st support now.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,743
  • Mar 19, 2025 7:43am Mar 19, 2025 7:43am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} My view is it is already to fall to 1.0871.5 and a 73% chance at 1.0410. But it has enough time to rise. I needs bulls to be exhausted. 1.0984 is like 1.0410. I would preferer it to reach 1.0984. Those 1.0929 34 or tough. Earlier it came close to 1.0871.5. So I thought it still had a shot at 984. short term the last hour closed above 1.0902.5.. 1.09025 may be a st support now.
Brokers are different. My 1.0871.5 number may be different in on other brokers. Its so close maybe it did what I aimed for already. PA needs to break it to be able to fall. So far it has not broken. Now pa closed above 902.x. I have 984 in the back of my mind. Added to that close above 902 has me a little more favoring longs. I can always short 984 or the break of 871. But I do favor shorts, when its is exhausted. That's probably under 984
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,744
  • Mar 19, 2025 7:50am Mar 19, 2025 7:50am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Brokers are different. My 1.0871.5 number may be different in on other brokers. Its so close maybe it did what I aimed for already. PA needs to break it to be able to fall. So far it has not broken. Now pa closed above 902.x. I have 984 in the back of my mind. Added to that close above 902 has me a little more favoring longs. I can always short 984 or the break of 871. But I do favor shorts, when its is exhausted. That's probably under 984
Its best to me for a smoother downtrend, if it hits 984. Because it would loss the attraction after hit.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,745
  • Mar 19, 2025 8:38am Mar 19, 2025 8:38am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Its best to me for a smoother downtrend, if it hits 984. Because it would loss the attraction after hit.
890 still strong but we are working for a down move
I think we break the lows in the next hours, but probably mostly because of FED
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #121,746
  • Mar 19, 2025 9:01am Mar 19, 2025 9:01am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} 890 still strong but we are working for a down move I think we break the lows in the next hours, but probably mostly because of FED
Sometimes it will rise before the news. Plus the q and a after. I think it will fall, but I can wait. I can always jump in later. I left a pending 982.. EZ stock markets are doing better. I still think some repatriation could still add some rise, before that drop to end the month ..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,747
  • Mar 19, 2025 9:09am Mar 19, 2025 9:09am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Its best to me for a smoother downtrend, if it hits 984. Because it would loss the attraction after hit.
i would prefer not to see 0984 but fomc, anything can happen, it can also pump and dump… so i dnt know
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #121,748
  • Mar 19, 2025 9:20am Mar 19, 2025 9:20am
FOMC Bearish. 1.0811 aprox.
  • #121,749
  • Mar 19, 2025 10:25am Mar 19, 2025 10:25am
Quoting IsraelV.
FOMC Bearish. 1.0811 aprox.
I will wait. If bearish, I have much deeper
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,750
  • Mar 19, 2025 12:24pm Mar 19, 2025 12:24pm
it did hit 1.0871.5 now.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,751
  • Mar 19, 2025 12:25pm Mar 19, 2025 12:25pm
Just watching... EU
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  • #121,752
  • Mar 19, 2025 12:31pm Mar 19, 2025 12:31pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} 890 still strong but we are working for a down move I think we break the lows in the next hours, but probably mostly because of FED
The drop is probably just beginning. I hope we get a small rally after the FOMC so I can add to my short.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #121,753
  • Mar 19, 2025 12:41pm Mar 19, 2025 12:41pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} The drop is probably just beginning. I hope we get a small rally after the FOMC so I can add to my short.
If it does like I think. It will be at 1.0410 before this month ends
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,754
  • Mar 19, 2025 12:41pm Mar 19, 2025 12:41pm
Quoting LoneTrader1
Just watching... EU {image}
GU
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  • #121,755
  • Mar 19, 2025 12:45pm Mar 19, 2025 12:45pm
Quoting LoneTrader1
Just watching... EU {image}
DXY
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  • #121,756
  • Mar 19, 2025 1:06pm Mar 19, 2025 1:06pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} The drop is probably just beginning. I hope we get a small rally after the FOMC so I can add to my short.
I am adding short between 890, already reached, and 900.
And I wait.

For now, if we don't close the day above 900, I’m not considering longs.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #121,757
  • Mar 19, 2025 1:34pm Mar 19, 2025 1:34pm
presser time
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,758
  • Mar 19, 2025 1:41pm Mar 19, 2025 1:41pm
I got a few shorts,, I still fear 984.. But if its falls harder I will bulk up further with tp close to 410. I will tweak this some next week. Because it may have a inter week play to short from.
I left the pending s 982..
adr was not met today..2 pips shy
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,759
  • Mar 19, 2025 8:19pm Mar 19, 2025 8:19pm
Quoting GiantHeart
{quote} my broker closed 1.08751
Hey Giant Heart. Do you have any other platforms that I can follow you on?

Thanks
  • #121,760
  • Mar 20, 2025 1:20am Mar 20, 2025 1:20am
I think we are going much lower.
I added to my shorts.
I’d be surprised if we jump back over 920. (sl)
830 today?

GL.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
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