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The Swamp

  • #121,561
  • Mar 11, 2025 8:45am Mar 11, 2025 8:45am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} No longer true. I got nothing to watch until 936/37, but below 938. After 937 Closer to 1.1 is the second area. I had something at 916 but it's looking soft.
PA is over the quarter, month, week, and day atr.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,562
  • Mar 11, 2025 8:51am Mar 11, 2025 8:51am
10 min
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,563
  • Mar 11, 2025 9:05am Mar 11, 2025 9:05am
I will wait for it..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,564
  • Mar 11, 2025 9:07am Mar 11, 2025 9:07am
Throw it all out the window... The child is putting a 50% tariff on Canadian aluminium/steel
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,565
  • Mar 11, 2025 9:14am Mar 11, 2025 9:14am
missed me
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,566
  • Mar 11, 2025 9:18am Mar 11, 2025 9:18am
U.S.A. projects using steel or aluminum.That dont have a price locked in, has gone up 50%. This can bankrupt builders. it stops/slows building projects. Builders lay off the labor. Building cost go up. So less is built. Stagflation that was self made. Higher cost, with less people working. Our Russian asset is destroying anything he touches
He even made the kitchen sink cost more.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,567
  • Edited 10:06am Mar 11, 2025 9:51am | Edited 10:06am
Quoting LoneTrader1
GJ watching if scenario, Gap at 191.26 potential support highlighted. May not come that far but who knows... Previous day and week was green. {image}
My pending order was triggered, bounce got delayed to new day. At market open 20+ pips spread and gap down. Was a 200+ pips trade. I closed mine For few pips.
Now watching the highlighted support for another bounce, if it gets there....
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  • #121,568
  • Mar 11, 2025 10:19am Mar 11, 2025 10:19am
Quoting LoneTrader1
{quote} My pending order was triggered, bounce got delayed to new day. At market open 20+ pips spread and gap down. Was a 200+ pips trade. I closed mine For few pips. Now watching the highlighted support for another bounce, if it gets there.... {image}
Under 938 will work or not . 936 may be a sweet spot in this bullish push. The last one was 0534.. it hit 0533 and dropped 300 + pips. But the tariff stuff wasn't dropping the market at 534.

Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Under 938 will work or not . 936 may be a sweet spot in this bullish push. The last one was 0534.. it hit 0533 and dropped 300 + pips. But the tariff stuff wasn't dropping the market at 534. {image} {image}
The sweet spot is close to 937.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,569
  • Edited 10:45am Mar 11, 2025 10:33am | Edited 10:45am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Under 938 will work or not . 936 may be a sweet spot in this bullish push. The last one was 0534.. it hit 0533 and dropped 300 + pips. But the tariff stuff wasn't dropping the market at 534. {quote} The sweet spot is close to 937. {image} {image}
1.0938 November high, DXY also in November lows, GU is lagging 1.3048
From EU chart doesn't look like it's ready to go down yet, it has a fresh breakout from a minor consolidation but it always looks like this, until it happens.
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  • #121,570
  • Mar 11, 2025 10:48am Mar 11, 2025 10:48am
I dont know what the multiplier is. A screw shipped to the usa from canada has a 50% tariff. That screw placed in a motor in detroit is than shipped back to canada. Canada adds a tariff to the motor, the same screw now has a Canadian tariff added. The motor is placed in a car. And shipped to the usa. Now the car is tariffed again, making the motor is tariffed again. and making the screw have another usa another 50% tariff. The screw and other parts no cost more than double. Parts may take this trip several times. I used a canadian screw as a example, it could of been a steel billet or cold roll. The point is it may cross the border many times. It makes the price of a u.s. car cost much more.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,571
  • Mar 11, 2025 10:51am Mar 11, 2025 10:51am
Quoting LoneTrader1
{quote} 1.0938 November high, DXY also in November lows, GU is lagging 1.3048 From EU chart doesn't look like it's ready to go down yet, it has a fresh breakout from a minor consolidation but it always looks like this, until it happens. {image}
Yeah. I worry about risk though. On the eu that may be a hinge point.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,572
  • Mar 11, 2025 12:02pm Mar 11, 2025 12:02pm
Average long -1 pip.. congrads
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,573
  • Mar 11, 2025 12:06pm Mar 11, 2025 12:06pm
https://www.britannica.com/topic/Smo...ley-Tariff-Act

hang on
Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act
United States [1930]
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,574
  • Mar 11, 2025 12:14pm Mar 11, 2025 12:14pm
Almost a 10% correction
SP
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,575
  • Mar 11, 2025 12:35pm Mar 11, 2025 12:35pm
Quoting gatorinla
EU at 1.0533/34 has some potential R. 1.0532.5 s may be worth 3-4 s/l pips {image}
1.0937/36 (below 938) is like 1.0533/34 was. on January 24
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,576
  • Mar 11, 2025 1:11pm Mar 11, 2025 1:11pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1.0937/36 (below 938) is like 1.0533/34 was. on January 24
it surpassed the point.. Basically it made a HH. So my stop was hit.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,577
  • Mar 11, 2025 1:14pm Mar 11, 2025 1:14pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} it surpassed the point.. Basically it made a HH. So my stop was hit. {image}
it may run higher! Crazy move
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #121,578
  • Edited 3:15pm Mar 11, 2025 3:04pm | Edited 3:15pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} it may run higher! Crazy move
936 was one of those you get lucky to the pip under 937.3. So it dont take a large position, to make big bucks, because the stop is small. It didnt work out as one that avoided the HH.. But this area still has merit for other reasons.
https://www.forexfactory.com/attachm...9?d=1735684380
YR1 at 934. I have the window for a drop 1.0800 to 1.1 for a potential 500+. The tariffs causing the markets to crash, have added outflow. That likely carried the eu higher. So I dont know if this could work. But I have to stick to the plan. The plan has any R as a potential fall. It's not momentum related. Without the outflow it may have taken many months to get here. There is very large interest at 0993.. This may be close enough
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...3#post15103453
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,579
  • Mar 11, 2025 3:20pm Mar 11, 2025 3:20pm
Since pa has reached 1.0934. See if the smaller charts have something develop.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,580
  • Mar 11, 2025 3:28pm Mar 11, 2025 3:28pm
I got some 15 min support at 0908 and 0896. My 5 min has already flipped. 5 min R at 0938
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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