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  • #1,481
  • Mar 5, 2025 1:19pm Mar 5, 2025 1:19pm
I don’t understand, how the nasdaq is still not completely crashing yet. The US is riding into recession, tariffs against canda and mexico and next month reciprocal tariffs. Why is the nasdaq so steady and today even almost 1% in the positive
  • #1,482
  • Mar 5, 2025 1:28pm Mar 5, 2025 1:28pm
Quoting Mattisanti
I don’t understand, how the nasdaq is still not completely crashing yet. The US is riding into recession, tariffs against canda and mexico and next month reciprocal tariffs. Why is the nasdaq so steady and today even almost 1% in the positive
Things are not straightforward. What you mentioned is actually not totally done. Trump is making many flip flop: tariffs-no-tariffs-delayed tariffs
This flip flop is the source of uncertainty and making NQ do zigzags.
In addition, the Ukraine peace is a positive side for equities.
  • #1,483
  • Mar 5, 2025 2:07pm Mar 5, 2025 2:07pm
Quoting Fadhl
{quote} Will Sell here with Sell lmt order {image}
I got in manually.
  • #1,484
  • Mar 5, 2025 3:29pm Mar 5, 2025 3:29pm
Quoting Fadhl
{quote} I got in manually.
I closed it with 130 points.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,485
  • Mar 6, 2025 6:22am Mar 6, 2025 6:22am
Good day!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Yesterday close confirmed again the uncertainty and provided an inside, irrelevant daily candle.
It seems the upper TL working as resistance. It worked nicely yesterday.
Today, we've ECB. NQ will follow DAX behavior.
That's all for today! GL!
  • #1,486
  • Mar 6, 2025 6:40am Mar 6, 2025 6:40am
You know where i can see the ECB meeting live, i‘ve been searching on you tube but i cant seem to find any source. Or is it not live? If so, where do you get the latest news the fastest?
  • #1,487
  • Mar 6, 2025 7:09am Mar 6, 2025 7:09am
Quoting Mattisanti
You know where i can see the ECB meeting live, i‘ve been searching on you tube but i cant seem to find any source. Or is it not live? If so, where do you get the latest news the fastest?
https://www.youtube.com/live/yTo9ceN...PwQ48qqUhA-TVz
  • #1,488
  • Mar 6, 2025 8:35am Mar 6, 2025 8:35am
The opening range seems very bearish. Watch NVDA. I think it's going south today to break the uncertainty, unless Trump comes with a candy.
Anyhow, I'll trade my strategy: breakout and retest.
  • #1,489
  • Mar 6, 2025 8:39am Mar 6, 2025 8:39am
Here is my plan for today.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,490
  • Edited 9:23am Mar 6, 2025 9:13am | Edited 9:23am
Quoting Fadhl
Here is my plan for today. {image}
This is obviously cancelled!
If the current 5min candle closes Red, I'll jump in.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NAS100_2025-03-06_10-12-04.png Size: 34 KB

Edit:
Cancelled!
  • #1,491
  • Mar 6, 2025 9:35am Mar 6, 2025 9:35am
Sell Lmt at 20411.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NAS100_2025-03-06_10-35-05.png Size: 35 KB

Edit:
Triggered!
  • #1,492
  • Mar 6, 2025 9:40am Mar 6, 2025 9:40am
Quoting Fadhl
Sell Lmt at 20411. {image} Edit: Triggered!
And Stopped!
  • #1,493
  • Mar 6, 2025 9:46am Mar 6, 2025 9:46am
I'll try again with a touch of the TL around 20500-20520 and it will be my last trade for today.
  • #1,494
  • Mar 6, 2025 10:47am Mar 6, 2025 10:47am
Quoting Fadhl
I'll try again with a touch of the TL around 20500-20520 and it will be my last trade for today.
The train is gone! the stops of my lost entries were too tight...
Tomorrow, we've NFP: good news is good news.
  • #1,495
  • Mar 6, 2025 11:44am Mar 6, 2025 11:44am
I'll try this short and if it works I'll keep it until tomorrow. I think it's going south to test the lower TL.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,496
  • Mar 7, 2025 4:03am Mar 7, 2025 4:03am
Possible senario...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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My posts are for educational purpose only.
  • #1,497
  • Mar 7, 2025 5:25am Mar 7, 2025 5:25am
Blue note from the day before yesterday, i‘m very bearish, lets see what the news of today will tell.
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  • #1,498
  • Mar 7, 2025 6:43am Mar 7, 2025 6:43am
Good day!
Today is a big day for many reasons, but mainly to clear the context of uncertainty.
1- How to read and translate NFP data?
* Inline data: It's positive for equities; it's a ST relief.
* Overshoot: This is tricky: the Average Hourly Earnings must be inline or below expectation of 0.3% and strong green the two other components (NFP and Unemployment Rate). This overshoot will be very well received.
In the case of Average Hourly earnings positive, it will become a mixed data with unknown behavior from the market.
* Undershoot (the opposite of overshoot): NQ will drop to the final target 19620.
2- Powell and other FED members will speak today: In the current context, FED members might hint certain openness for printing free money and rate cut.
Any hint of this type will send NQ up and absorb/erase any undershoot from NFP data.
3- Unpredicted news from Trump's team: As they're following closely the stock market, there is a big chance that they intervene in the case of undershoot NFP with candies and carrots.
Hence, it will be very difficult to trade today. The up and down will be furious.
GL!
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  • #1,499
  • Mar 7, 2025 7:33am Mar 7, 2025 7:33am
Quoting Fadhl
Good day! Today is a big day for many reasons, but mainly to clear the context of uncertainty. 1- How to read and translate NFP data? * Inline data: It's positive for equities; it's a ST relief. * Overshoot: This is tricky: the Average Hourly Earnings must be inline or below expectation of 0.3% and strong green the two other components (NFP and Unemployment Rate). This overshoot will be very well received. In the case of Average Hourly earnings positive, it will become a mixed data with unknown behavior from the market. * Undershoot (the opposite...
Data came Inline toward undershoot!
NQ is supposed to continue down, but the two other sources might intervene.
  • #1,500
  • Mar 7, 2025 9:10am Mar 7, 2025 9:10am
No trade yet for me...Price is above the opening range and considering Powell and the other FED members talks, I'll be sideline until clearer picture.
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