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The Swamp

  • #121,381
  • Mar 3, 2025 10:39pm Mar 3, 2025 10:39pm
Quoting Chicago-Greg
{quote} as soon as theyado dxy will sky rocket and eur will close the opening gap i hope lol
If DJ does drop.. It looks like 2X may be first. But I would almost bet he would try to pull back. The tariffs if it fell. But he may end up being the boy who cried wolf. The market likes stability. He could just come back and cry again. All these cuts are taking money out the economy and adding unemployed workers. This could end up stagflation.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,382
  • Mar 3, 2025 10:48pm Mar 3, 2025 10:48pm
Polymarket
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Its all just one persons opinion
  • #121,383
  • Mar 3, 2025 10:52pm Mar 3, 2025 10:52pm
Turkey eggs?
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-...ys-2025-02-26/
A billion dollars worth.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,384
  • Mar 3, 2025 10:59pm Mar 3, 2025 10:59pm
Quoting gatorinla
Turkey eggs? https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-...ys-2025-02-26/ A billion dollars worth.
filled with Turkish delight
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #121,385
  • Mar 4, 2025 12:39am Mar 4, 2025 12:39am
Quoting gatorinla
Turkey eggs? https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-...ys-2025-02-26/ A billion dollars worth.

how come its only egg prices going up and not chicken meat?

is the flu just killing egg laying hens and letting all the rest live cause chicken legs are 59 cents a pound in Chicago like they been for years
short trump and go long the deepstate
  • #121,386
  • Mar 4, 2025 3:59am Mar 4, 2025 3:59am
Quoting gatorinla
Turkey eggs? https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-...ys-2025-02-26/ A billion dollars worth.
AUD in the blue box may be a place to look for a fall. If the USD gets kicked in the balls. I see some decent R .6280... So anywhere in that area.. Even if it goes a little past .6380 for a little slip. If it settle below those later. A possible swing there .6250/80ish. This is not meant for a buy. Just the chance it may be a decent R area. Use your method to determine if it agrees.

Quoting gatorinla
{quote} AUD in the blue box may be a place to look for a fall. If the USD gets kicked in the balls. I see some decent R .6280... So anywhere in that area.. Even if it goes a little past .6380 for a little slip. If it settle below those later. A possible swing there .6250/80ish. This is not meant for a buy. Just the chance it may be a decent R area. Use your method to determine if it agrees. {image}
GBP 2767/2811 ish may me a R area. Use you stuff to see if it lines up for a sell.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,387
  • Mar 4, 2025 4:10am Mar 4, 2025 4:10am
Quoting Zebi
{quote} how come its only egg prices going up and not chicken meat? is the flu just killing egg laying hens and letting all the rest live cause chicken legs are 59 cents a pound in Chicago like they been for years
it takes 6 wks to raise a broiler.. It takes 18+ wks before they lay eggs. I think 7 months before they get in full egg production. Thats a lot of feed. The farmers may have extra after the cuts..Just remember last time. He gave the farmers in Iowa several billion in subsidies. The last time he put tariffs on China. So it made no sense. The tariff money went to farmers
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,388
  • Mar 4, 2025 4:26am Mar 4, 2025 4:26am
Eu wise 1.0520 to 0532 was were I wanted to short. The R at 0533 is obvious. It has to pass 533 to go higher, it not it falls. I was using that the past few weeks. If it had going above 0533, i figured it would make 0610 PP... I'm going to figure there may be a trap in there. 0572 R may be the trap that reverses the the EU, back to bearish. Back to 1.0080. If it dont, than 0610/30 ish PP may be attracting.


PA already reached 520 today. So I'm late to post. Pa is above 0475, its above 1.0501.7.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,389
  • Mar 4, 2025 4:35am Mar 4, 2025 4:35am
Quoting gatorinla
Eu wise 1.0520 to 0532 was were I wanted to short. The R at 0533 is obvious. It has to pass 533 to go higher, it not it falls. I was using that the past few weeks. If it had going above 0533, i figured it would make 0610 PP... I'm going to figure there may be a trap in there. 0572 R may be the trap that reverses the the EU, back to bearish. Back to 1.0080. If it dont, than 0610/30 ish PP may be attracting. PA already reached 520 today. So I'm late to post. Pa is above 0475, its above 1.0501.7.
I dont know if 1.0501.7 will support. Because 1.0484.6 may attract it. A possible long may come from the attraction to 1.0484.6, backed by 1.0475 to support. 1 adr at 0549 today, awr 1.0567. The week one is close to 0572.. That's 2 things to make me think 0572. May be a area to look for a swing to 1.0080. Lots of "ifs"
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,390
  • Mar 4, 2025 4:48am Mar 4, 2025 4:48am
On a week chart a break of 533 looks like 610 will come. It being a large PP. 0572 may not allow that.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,391
  • Mar 4, 2025 4:56am Mar 4, 2025 4:56am
The EUR USD Monthly has closed higher than the previous one, creating a swing scenario that can continue for a while IMHO ....
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  • #121,392
  • Mar 4, 2025 5:11am Mar 4, 2025 5:11am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} AUD in the blue box may be a place to look for a fall. If the USD gets kicked in the balls. I see some decent R .6280... So anywhere in that area.. Even if it goes a little past .6380 for a little slip. If it settle below those later. A possible swing there .6250/80ish. This is not meant for a buy. Just the chance it may be a decent R area. Use your method to determine if it agrees. {quote} GBP 2767/2811 ish may me a R area. Use you stuff to see if it lines up for a sell. {image} {image}
Gu above is taken off a daily chart. If one wants to take a shot on 1.2064. It may not reach the blue box on that chart. The Gu may stop at 1.2749, or near this area before dropping to 1.2064. That one is a little less than 700 pips.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,393
  • Mar 4, 2025 5:17am Mar 4, 2025 5:17am
If right about the GU, its close to the high. 1.2749 was not touched yet. I cant say it will be. I do think pa is attracted to it. I do think it can resist in this area. I do think it can have a big rejection here. Close to 700 pips, or more fall expected. Or at least the reward I'm using to figure risk. Now if the eu makes it to 610. It may pull the gu higher in the blue box. I dont think it needs to go past 4749. Before falling. But i need to leave some room to slip.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,394
  • Mar 4, 2025 5:31am Mar 4, 2025 5:31am
I may trade the GU for 1.206x over the eu 1.0080. The Gu has more potential at 680ish pips verse eu 498 pips. It may take a while to fall. Days, weeks month. to hit 1.2064ish
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,395
  • Mar 4, 2025 5:44am Mar 4, 2025 5:44am
Quoting Zebi
{quote} how come its only egg prices going up and not chicken meat? is the flu just killing egg laying hens and letting all the rest live cause chicken legs are 59 cents a pound in Chicago like they been for years
China is putting a tariff on farm products on March 10.. Between China tariffs, ASAID, and taking the workers, farmers will get a kick in the balls. He gave them free money last time. It dont make any sense to make the farmer take welfare. The last time China found new markets to buy from. The fucking moron dont realise China can buy from somewhere else. The extra grain will flood the market, prices will drop. That fucks other farmers. This is how oil goes to -37$ per barrel. China will go into another market and take grain that was grown for some poor country. China will pay a little more. Those people depending on the grain for that market, will be priced out. That will cause famine for the market poor people. Meanwhile the cut from USAID has already starved millions already.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,396
  • Mar 4, 2025 6:28am Mar 4, 2025 6:28am
Same goes for GU MONTHLY even slightly more bullish then EU I think we will see 1.3 at some point soon IMHO
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  • #121,397
  • Mar 4, 2025 6:33am Mar 4, 2025 6:33am
I started shorting gu. I may take one on the EU if it gets to 571.. That R at 572.. In that area.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,398
  • Mar 4, 2025 6:36am Mar 4, 2025 6:36am
Quoting GiantHeart
Same goes for GU MONTHLY even slightly more bullish then EU I think we will see 1.3 at some point soon IMHO {image}
Thanks for posting.. The year pp on the gu is 1.2749. So I would consider that this may be the high area.If you get a short signal here. i wouldn't ignore it
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,399
  • Mar 4, 2025 7:01am Mar 4, 2025 7:01am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I dont know if 1.0501.7 will support. Because 1.0484.6 may attract it. A possible long may come from the attraction to 1.0484.6, backed by 1.0475 to support. 1 adr at 0549 today, awr 1.0567. The week one is close to 0572.. That's 2 things to make me think 0572. May be a area to look for a swing to 1.0080. Lots of "ifs" {image}
I didnt get the long. I will wait for the short
I opted out the chance at 501
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,400
  • Mar 4, 2025 7:19am Mar 4, 2025 7:19am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Thanks for posting.. The year pp on the gu is 1.2749. So I would consider that this may be the high area.If you get a short signal here. i wouldn't ignore it {image}
Hope it's ok to post, thanks for hosting
I am long on both EU GU from the last low from Friday
Will check those levels you mention, thanks for sharing, I use a simple volume and BB strategy of swings medium term to stay in the trade for long.

So, in some ways, I hope they both are now reversed. The very first downtrend line from 2008 has been broken so I think we might be pulled to the second one again at some point. somewhere around 1.08-1.1 potentially
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