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The Swamp

  • #121,281
  • Feb 26, 2025 6:50am Feb 26, 2025 6:50am
Quoting LoneTrader1
{quote} EC bounce or... {image}
This trade needed a 3 pips stop
Low of the week so far...
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  • #121,282
  • Feb 26, 2025 8:06am Feb 26, 2025 8:06am
Quoting LoneTrader1
{quote} {image}
Ranging...
EU
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  • #121,283
  • Feb 26, 2025 10:41am Feb 26, 2025 10:41am
Quoting LoneTrader1
{quote} GBPCAD seems to be at R and going down... ?... Haven't traded them much... {image}
Weekly closed above that level and continuation...
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  • #121,284
  • Feb 26, 2025 10:48am Feb 26, 2025 10:48am
Quoting LoneTrader1
{quote} Weekly closed above that level and continuation... {image}
GBPCAD Monthly chart
Near Previous year high 1.8233
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  • #121,285
  • Feb 26, 2025 11:31am Feb 26, 2025 11:31am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} {image}
it did get 480. The support at 465 with pa still above. It looking bullish where it sits above 5001.7.. To b/o north it needs to sustain above 517. It also needs to break 533. Its trying now
Quoting gatorinla
Sustained above 0517 is likely bullish. But its into last months high at 533. On the week its approaching a double top. So it may fall at any time. Below 517 and 501 may cut the balls off the bull. 498 may attract pa. 498 is below 501. So it could bounce or continue down. Another possible attractant at 480. Pa may also bounce in the 465 area. But if its sustained below. Its likely bearish, and may have topped. I wouldn't fight a sustained run below 465 dropping. Even more so below 385 and dropping. I'm not saying a scalp will not open up. I wouldn't hold negative trades, hoping they will come back {image} {image}
There is week R 533.. So if bulls are unable. sos
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,286
  • Feb 26, 2025 11:35am Feb 26, 2025 11:35am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} it did get 480. The support at 465 with pa still above. It looking bullish where it sits above 5001.7.. To b/o north it needs to sustain above 517. It also needs to break 533. Its trying now {quote} There is week R 533.. So if bulls are unable. sos
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,287
  • Feb 26, 2025 11:52am Feb 26, 2025 11:52am
AC watching yesterday low... 0.9025
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  • #121,288
  • Feb 26, 2025 11:58am Feb 26, 2025 11:58am
Quoting LoneTrader1
{quote} DXY some bounce scenario black dotted lines... {image}
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  • #121,289
  • Feb 26, 2025 12:22pm Feb 26, 2025 12:22pm
Quoting LoneTrader1
{quote} GBPCAD Monthly chart Near Previous year high 1.8233 {image}
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  • #121,290
  • Feb 26, 2025 12:31pm Feb 26, 2025 12:31pm
Yesterday closed above 501.7.. the 12h after below. the 6h above. Since the closes yesterday, the 4h has closes below 501.7 the last 16h. I'm thinking a close today below 50. leans to a test of 465, or even a high established.


the bulls on the other hand need sustained above 518 and a break of 533.

I know it looks bullish and it may be. But the trend from 2008 is down. The trend since last year's high is down. The fundi's are pointing to less rate cuts. That is also down (favors usd). I posted the flow of people selling stocks etc (usd selling while buying the investor's home country currency in the conversion). It is opposite of a strong usd. These 2 forces do not agree on the direction. That may allow some ranging.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,291
  • Feb 26, 2025 3:26pm Feb 26, 2025 3:26pm
pa sustained below 465 is still probably bearish, with some smaller points they may support till about 0385. Overnight if sustained below 0482, pa
will likely grind on 465

Bull wise overnight 0507 will take the place of 0517.... But it still would need the high above 533 broken to run.

Employment news in the morning.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,292
  • Feb 26, 2025 3:35pm Feb 26, 2025 3:35pm
4h
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,293
  • Feb 26, 2025 7:41pm Feb 26, 2025 7:41pm
Quoting gatorinla
4h {image}
From the tl prospective on a 4h chart
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,294
  • Feb 26, 2025 8:07pm Feb 26, 2025 8:07pm
Quoting gatorinla
pa sustained below 465 is still probably bearish, with some smaller points they may support till about 0385. Overnight if sustained below 0482, pa will likely grind on 465 Bull wise overnight 0507 will take the place of 0517.... But it still would need the high above 533 broken to run. Employment news in the morning.
I changed this to 480.9
But to fall, it has to be below sustained below 480.9 and 465. Below 480.9 it may grind on 465. It can go either way at 465. It may be soft.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,295
  • Feb 26, 2025 9:53pm Feb 26, 2025 9:53pm
Breaking 12h support atm
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,296
  • Feb 26, 2025 9:57pm Feb 26, 2025 9:57pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I changed this to 480.9 But to fall, it has to be below sustained below 480.9 and 465. Below 480.9 it may grind on 465. It can go either way at 465. It may be soft. {image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,297
  • Feb 26, 2025 10:06pm Feb 26, 2025 10:06pm
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,298
  • Feb 27, 2025 5:59am Feb 27, 2025 5:59am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I changed this to 480.9 But to fall, it has to be below sustained below 480.9 and 465. Below 480.9 it may grind on 465. It can go either way at 465. It may be soft. {image}
PA is no longer sustained below 480.9, or below 465 (the reason is the 12h didnt close below). It may run to LC 506. But when there Its still below 533. The process with 5001.7, 480, and 473, may start over. We got employment news coming. Plus the month end. 465 may have changed to 473.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,299
  • Feb 27, 2025 6:16am Feb 27, 2025 6:16am
To get to 506, it has to break this 4h at 492.6. If it dont, especially with a weak employment number. It will likely fall more.
The estimated employment number will likely miss. If pa settles below 457 today, its likely bearish. Even with the smaller supports in the 70 pip range below 457.
I dont need to talk about North till it sustains above 5001.7, and breaks 533. 457.x can end up being support. But I'm going to follow the larger trends. I will point out the places bulls lurk. Its a game of tug of war. The trend wins most times. load the wagon and unload.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,300
  • Feb 27, 2025 7:37am Feb 27, 2025 7:37am
PA is falling.. This is a bad for usd number. It should rise on a bad number
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