Only EURUSD

stopout and resting

Yes! I think it will move some higher to 50 or 60 and then down but the market believes that a deal will be made somehow until March.

Reversal now or at 38 trendline

The EUR/USD pair shrugged off concerns about Trump's tariffs, which are now set to be implemented on March 12, rather than the initially mentioned date of March 4. This delay contributed to positive sentiment regarding a potential trade deal with Canada, Mexico, and other countries.

The EUR/USD reached 1.0350, close to the target and resistance level of 1.0360. If the upward movement continues beyond this level, the next point of interest could be 1.0400. However, any negative news regarding tariffs could reverse this trend, potentially pushing the pair below the resistance-turned-support zone of 1.0336/38, possibly down to 1.0300.

It was great chatting with you, hope you have a fantastic rest of your day!

EURUSD H1
trendline

If we are above the yellow line, it looks like we will go higher

stopped 1.0358

Have been on sideline for a bit. Wonder whats next

yesterday when I jump in to long around around plan was to keep position to which ever poit will touch upper trend line but in meantime I exit with just 18 pips profit and than lost with next trade . Today I will look for potential resistance around 1.036 current trend line in my jump in short position targeting week opening price

1H chart

The EUR/USD currency pair rose following reports of a potential peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's remarks did not provide any new insights, and the market largely ignored tariff threats from President Trump. The pair climbed to 1.0381, approaching its next target of 1.0400/11, but later relinquished some gains, consolidating slightly above 1.0354. Support levels are identified at 1.0336/1.0338 and 1.0320, with further support at 1.0300.

Green pips!


Daily volatility (range) 54 pips

Option expiries for Wednesday: 1.0300 (EU1.9b), 1.0200 (EU1.72b), 1.0430 (EU1.25b) Source: financialjuice.com

Significant news - US CPI

1H

Good afternoon my friends!

Price Action & Key Levels

1. Current Price: Trading near 1.0359, consolidating after a slight decline from 1.0363 (Feb 12 open). Recent volatility includes a +0.59% gain on Feb 11 (1.0302–1.03806 range) followed by a -0.06% dip today.

1. Resistance Levels:
   1. 1.0367, 1.0370: Immediate resistance.
   2. 1.0400: Critical barrier (Psychological level).
   3. 1.0440: Next target if bullish momentum strengthens (Feb 5 high).
   4. 1.0530, 1.0575: Major resistance zone.

1. Support Levels:
   1. 1.0351, 1.0354: Short-term support.
   2. 1.0320, 1.0330, 1.0300, 1.0290, 1.0270, 1.0248: Key zones.
   3. 1.0275, 1.0220, 1.0239: Long-term bearish target.

Fundamental Drivers
Monetary Policy Divergence

1. Federal Reserve: Despite weaker-than-expected January NFP data (143K jobs vs. 170K forecast), elevated wage growth (4.1% YoY) and persistent inflation concerns have delayed expectations for Fed rate cuts. Markets now price in 46.3 basis points of cuts by December, with the first cut likely in June.
2. ECB: The ECB maintains a dovish stance, signaling potential rate cuts amid stagnating Eurozone growth and political instability. Executive Board member Piero Cipollone emphasized "room for adjusting rates downwards," contrasting sharply with the Fed’s cautious approach

Geopolitical and Trade Risks

1. US Tariffs: President Trump’s 25% tariffs on steel/aluminum imports and threats of further levies on EU goods (e.g., automobiles, pharmaceuticals) have heightened trade tensions. This risks exacerbating Eurozone deflationary pressures and weakening the euro.
2. EU Retaliation: Goldman Sachs warns the EU may retaliate with tariffs on US tech services, further clouding the outlook for EUR/USD

Economic Data

1. US Labor Market: While job growth slowed in January, the unemployment rate fell to 4.0%, and labor force participation rose to 62.6%, underscoring resilience.
2. Eurozone Weakness: German industrial production fell sharply in late 2024, and inflation remains subdued despite a recent uptick, limiting ECB flexibility.

1. Key Events to Watch:
   1. U.S. CPI Data (Feb 12): Expected to influence Fed rate-cut expectations.
   2. EU Q4 GDP (Feb 14): Weak data may exacerbate bearish pressure.

Conclusion
EUR/USD remains in a consolidation phase on the H1 chart, balancing bullish technical signals (rising MA20/50, MACD crossover) against bearish fundamentals (Fed-ECB divergence, tariffs). Immediate direction hinges on 1.0351–1.0400, with a breakout likely post-U.S. CPI data. Traders should prioritize risk management, leveraging pivot points and key moving averages for strategic entries. While short-term rallies toward 1.0440 are possible, structural challenges in the Eurozone favor a bearish bias in the medium term.

This trendline is also holding, And if it breaks, Then it will act as support, We will see!

H1:
Have a greeeen wednesday!

50% could have been much better,

1.0381 is critical today!

DXY H1
trendlines

I'm waiting for a touch of support so I can start selling eurusd..

Good day sir james!
Yes & 1.0350 to 1.0355 is critical support zone right now, But the price has already touched!

H4:

Looks like the bulls are in a hurry!

Almost broken, Will try here again to take long, With conformation!

H1: