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The Swamp

  • #120,961
  • Feb 7, 2025 1:09am Feb 7, 2025 1:09am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Lets see if gold tops at 2870 ish.. {image}
gold.. with R holding atm..
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  • #120,962
  • Feb 7, 2025 1:12am Feb 7, 2025 1:12am
oil still on the edge.
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  • #120,963
  • Feb 7, 2025 1:23am Feb 7, 2025 1:23am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If it remains below 396, later below 392 69 62 it points to drop. A b/o is likely sustained below 356. Above 423 should be b/o bullish. This is good for about 5hs. Some tweaking will be needed after the close. The big denominator is NFP possible pump. So far 396 held, with an exact rejection. 356 can deny bears and support too. {image}
Not sure what to make of this..0387.x may R.. it may be bearish below.. The S at 356 is another b/o point. EU
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  • #120,964
  • Feb 7, 2025 1:30am Feb 7, 2025 1:30am
The AJ may run back to 95.65 R.. But its been bearish the past few. A lower b/o of 95.08 may light this candle.
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  • #120,965
  • Feb 7, 2025 1:32am Feb 7, 2025 1:32am
EU refuses to tp me at .369A, tp370
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  • #120,966
  • Feb 7, 2025 1:45am Feb 7, 2025 1:45am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Not sure what to make of this..0387.x may R.. it may be bearish below.. The S at 356 is another b/o point. EU {image}
EU may get slapped down with 385, or b/o above 392..
385 and 95 can resist.. To run above 395.. It needs to sustain above. Not just a headfake. If slapped down.. the same with 356 to run south
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  • #120,967
  • Feb 7, 2025 2:05am Feb 7, 2025 2:05am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} EU may get slapped down with 385, or b/o above 392.. 385 and 95 can resist.. To run above 395.. It needs to sustain above. Not just a headfake. If slapped down.. the same with 356 to run south {image}
The bulls are pressing..
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  • #120,968
  • Feb 7, 2025 3:10am Feb 7, 2025 3:10am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} gold.. with R holding atm.. {image}
retest 2870.09 R on gold
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  • #120,969
  • Feb 7, 2025 4:03am Feb 7, 2025 4:03am
After that 1h close above 392, the following h was below. The following h is a 12h close. The 12h was in the neutral. I think it rejected bulls. ITs NFP, that always a question mark. 369 could be reasonable
The 12h below for gold
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  • #120,970
  • Feb 7, 2025 5:28am Feb 7, 2025 5:28am
Quoting LoneTrader1
{quote} USCAD near previous range low {image}
It did bounce near range low, 1.43 might be becoming support
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  • #120,971
  • Feb 7, 2025 7:20am Feb 7, 2025 7:20am
Quoting gatorinla
After that 1h close above 392, the following h was below. The following h is a 12h close. The 12h was in the neutral. I think it rejected bulls. ITs NFP, that always a question mark. 369 could be reasonable The 12h below for gold {image} {image}
woke up with a tp
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  • #120,972
  • Edited 7:47am Feb 7, 2025 7:26am | Edited 7:47am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} retest 2870.09 R on gold {image}
Gold is still on the bear side of 2870.09. Copper jumped on the North side of 4.50.. Oil remains on the edge.
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  • #120,973
  • Feb 7, 2025 7:52am Feb 7, 2025 7:52am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Gold is still on the bear side of 2870.09. Copper jumped on the North side of 4.50.. Oil remains on the edge. {image} {image}
2870.09 held gold again atm.. -2848.9x can mean b/o sustained
eu -356
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  • #120,974
  • Feb 7, 2025 7:57am Feb 7, 2025 7:57am
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  • #120,975
  • Feb 7, 2025 8:45am Feb 7, 2025 8:45am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Gold is still on the bear side of 2870.09. Copper jumped on the North side of 4.50.. Oil remains on the edge. {image} {image}
b/o North of 2870. Gold. Bull side of 2870...
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  • #120,976
  • Feb 7, 2025 9:01am Feb 7, 2025 9:01am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Not sure what to make of this..0387.x may R.. it may be bearish below.. The S at 356 is another b/o point. EU {image}
After that gap and things went on 1st day of the month everything messed up.
EU 1.0457 Seems interesting to short. Don't know if that would happen or not or how...
  • #120,977
  • Feb 7, 2025 9:56am Feb 7, 2025 9:56am
It may seem stupid with a gold uptrend. I'm tracking several commodities.. Starting with oil as a precursor to a recession. That may be where the AJ falls. It takes some false moves to get everything to line up.
You just cant add a 10% tariff on China and not expect things to run smooth in the digestion.
Back below 2870 is a more neutral.bear.. But take out 2848.. And things happen
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  • #120,978
  • Feb 7, 2025 10:04am Feb 7, 2025 10:04am
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  • #120,979
  • Feb 7, 2025 10:22am Feb 7, 2025 10:22am
It makes no sense for copper to rise on a increase of supply. I think do to tariff, it has to add cost. To equalize with the Congo price. That may be the distortion.
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  • #120,980
  • Feb 7, 2025 10:40am Feb 7, 2025 10:40am
It's all trying to come together. A downturn in the economy weakens commodity prices. Oil, copper. metalogic coal etc (inventories build). That depresses Cat stock outlook and price (less mining equipment demand) (check). Weak commodity prices weaken the commodity currencies. (AUD). Weak stock prices help the yen... AJ may drop on both, harder then other crosses.
It can take a lot of line up time.
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