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The Swamp

  • #120,721
  • Jan 26, 2025 10:55pm Jan 26, 2025 10:55pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The chances of those being filled, is a bounce before the lower adr is broken.
Right! Big gaps, mostly the market continues in the direction of the gap.
Sometimes it doesn't even get filled on same day.
Example (Attached)
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  • #120,722
  • Jan 26, 2025 11:27pm Jan 26, 2025 11:27pm
Quoting LoneTrader1
{quote} Right! Big gaps, mostly the market continues in the direction of the gap. Sometimes it doesn't even get filled on same day. Example (Attached) {image}
The Gap "down" from 1.08 was filled on 3rd day and then continuation down while the gap "up" from 1.0714 was filled on 2nd day and then continuation up.

Disclaimer: Historical information, data or analysis should not be taken as an indication or guarantee of any future performance, analysis, forecast or prediction.
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  • #120,723
  • Jan 26, 2025 11:27pm Jan 26, 2025 11:27pm
Quoting LoneTrader1
{quote} Right! Big gaps, mostly the market continues in the direction of the gap. Sometimes it doesn't even get filled on same day. Example (Attached) {image}
Its kinda like this. The elevator goes up and down. So eventually it will return to most floors. The timing is the thing to get right. In 2008 on the CAD a 20 year old gap was filled.
But I can replace "gaps" with openings, closing, highs, or lows too. Gaps or closes. Last week's in this case.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,724
  • Jan 26, 2025 11:33pm Jan 26, 2025 11:33pm
I think GU will bounce to 83.. Where?
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,725
  • Jan 26, 2025 11:54pm Jan 26, 2025 11:54pm
My s/l is tighter than the template. I'm trying for 28.5X.. Risking 0.2%. To make 5.7%. I will likely be stopped out.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,726
  • Jan 27, 2025 12:52am Jan 27, 2025 12:52am
Quoting gatorinla
My s/l is tighter than the template. I'm trying for 28.5X.. Risking 0.2%. To make 5.7%. I will likely be stopped out. {image}
This is a st play. But since +2434.7 is bullish. As I see it today only. The real place could be 2406. I will look to put something there also. Something I may be willing to hold longer.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,727
  • Edited 1:09am Jan 27, 2025 12:59am | Edited 1:09am
With 2494 rejected atm. There is a chance 2406 with that week close above, may send it north again. If it truly bullish. 2749 is the year PP
So this is a chance at near 350 pips with 2406 supporting. It would need to start closing above 2494...
As shown at 1.2749 is a 44.6X trade. But less with the swaps
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,728
  • Jan 27, 2025 5:42am Jan 27, 2025 5:42am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} This is a st play. But since +2434.7 is bullish. As I see it today only. The real place could be 2406. I will look to put something there also. Something I may be willing to hold longer.
It is above 2494 now. It didnt hit the 2406 mark. Its bullish, but still needs to start closing above 2494 or it may sink to 2406.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,729
  • Jan 27, 2025 5:50am Jan 27, 2025 5:50am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It is above 2494 now. It didnt hit the 2406 mark. Its bullish, but still needs to start closing above 2494 or it may sink to 2406. {image}
ADR low side potential, about 2403 if the current high held. Thats near 2406.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,730
  • Jan 27, 2025 5:55am Jan 27, 2025 5:55am
The pull to 2483, could take it below 2494.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,731
  • Jan 27, 2025 6:07am Jan 27, 2025 6:07am
Quoting gatorinla
The pull to 2483, could take it below 2494. {image} {image}
Things remain on the bull side. Even a fall to 2406 is the bullside when above. Below 2406 it may change. The month close is Friday.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,732
  • Jan 27, 2025 7:04am Jan 27, 2025 7:04am
I can name a few things that will hurt the USD in recent headlines. But one comes to mind. Talking about bringing crypto in the treasury can't be helping world confidence in the usd.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,733
  • Jan 27, 2025 7:53am Jan 27, 2025 7:53am
Quoting gatorinla
EU at 1.0533/34 has some potential R. 1.0532.5 s may be worth 3-4 s/l pips {image}
If you took it.. The drawdown minimal. It did make -0516.. It looks like a retest. PA is bullish. So its counter trend. The new target would of been 0516 today. Its bullish, but possible to dip further below 0516. Its not inline with trend. But it may be a decent R. If it would fall, like gu 2406. Eu maybe 0451 or 34. The Gu would need to slip below 2495 and 2486 would become some R. The attraction to 2483 could attract. All of this is against the trend. But it may set up some buys.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,734
  • Jan 27, 2025 8:08am Jan 27, 2025 8:08am
Is bullshit taking away the workers, when we have millions of open job positions, trying to influence rate cuts, and looking to invest in crypotos. A little too much.
We will see.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,735
  • Jan 27, 2025 9:13am Jan 27, 2025 9:13am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If you took it.. The drawdown minimal. It did make -0516.. It looks like a retest. PA is bullish. So its counter trend. The new target would of been 0516 today. Its bullish, but possible to dip further below 0516. Its not inline with trend. But it may be a decent R. If it would fall, like gu 2406. Eu maybe 0451 or 34. The Gu would need to slip below 2495 and 2486 would become some R. The attraction to 2483 could attract. All of this is against the trend. But it may set up some buys.
GBP did reach 2383.. Now will 2394 resist???
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,736
  • Jan 27, 2025 9:31am Jan 27, 2025 9:31am
What's GJ upto?
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  • #120,737
  • Jan 27, 2025 10:04am Jan 27, 2025 10:04am
Quoting LoneTrader1
What's GJ upto? {image}
No change.. Possible long above and near 192.06.. But may be a bearish b/o sustained below 192.23. A buy 192.07/192.23 may yield 193.51 st, maybe more if bullish.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,738
  • Jan 27, 2025 10:58am Jan 27, 2025 10:58am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} No change.. Possible long above and near 192.06.. But may be a bearish b/o sustained below 192.23. A buy 192.07/192.23 may yield 193.51 st, maybe more if bullish.
Aj looks at support too.
GJ nearly filled it's gap but Aj and EJ haven't.
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  • #120,739
  • Jan 27, 2025 11:03am Jan 27, 2025 11:03am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} No change.. Possible long above and near 192.06.. But may be a bearish b/o sustained below 192.23. A buy 192.07/192.23 may yield 193.51 st, maybe more if bullish.
If you took it you got a decision to make now. GY
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,740
  • Jan 27, 2025 11:11am Jan 27, 2025 11:11am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If you took it you got a decision to make now. GY {image}
AJ near prior week low. ???
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