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The Swamp

  • #120,601
  • Jan 22, 2025 8:23am Jan 22, 2025 8:23am
Quoting gatorinla
I dont usually play the middle of a range to enter. 4001 is the middle. It does have some 30 min support at 0397. It has a low at 0399 and 92. I would usually wait for 0345 area. The 50% at 0403.. so if it blows past, it reached the bear entry 61.8. They may want to resume the down trend {image}
I dont like trading until pa is exhausted. There is some chance it will bounce in the 0400 area. I set this templet.. I have a trade with the stop a little lower than shown. That candle low to the left.
One reason I dont like this is the attractant is not in the scope. If one thinks the pp at 0610 is viable.. That may guide.
I'm snowed in..PA is below 0430. 1.5 hs to make 04001... I dont have anywhere to go.
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  • #120,602
  • Jan 22, 2025 8:47am Jan 22, 2025 8:47am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I dont like trading until pa is exhausted. There is some chance it will bounce in the 0400 area. I set this templet.. I have a trade with the stop a little lower than shown. That candle low to the left. One reason I dont like this is the attractant is not in the scope. If one thinks the pp at 0610 is viable.. That may guide. I'm snowed in..PA is below 0430. 1.5 hs to make 04001... I dont have anywhere to go. {image}
Out of many scenarios 1 is 1.0435 could become resistance if so maybe 1.0435 to 1.0335
  • #120,603
  • Jan 22, 2025 9:09am Jan 22, 2025 9:09am
Quoting LoneTrader1
{quote} Out of many scenarios 1 is 1.0435 could become resistance if so maybe 1.0435 to 1.0335
430 is/was a r to me already. It has the slip usually less than 10 pips. That's why/where I took that short 436 earlier (trade 1). Above it was a b/o to me. But the breakout does not ensure it will break the next R.. (Trade 2) Both of these trades had a tp target 1.0400.6/1.0399.. I used 4001 for spread..
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  • #120,604
  • Jan 22, 2025 9:15am Jan 22, 2025 9:15am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 430 is/was a r to me already. It has the slip usually less than 10 pips. That's why/where I took that short 436 earlier (trade 1). Above it was a b/o to me. But the breakout does not ensure it will break the next R.. (Trade 2) Both of these trades had a tp target 1.0400.6/1.0399.. I used 4001 for spread..
PA is north of 0343, the bull side. PA is north of 403, also the bull side.
Monday closed above 0343, Tuesday above 0403.
With that. i think its shooting for the pp at 0610
It dont matter to me. I'm trading each individual day. Bears could take back 0403 and 0343. I can only go by "what have you done for me lately?" Lately the bulls are making a way toward 1.0610
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  • #120,605
  • Jan 22, 2025 9:30am Jan 22, 2025 9:30am
with 30 minutes to go.. showtime
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  • #120,606
  • Jan 22, 2025 9:33am Jan 22, 2025 9:33am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 430 is/was a r to me already. It has the slip usually less than 10 pips. That's why/where I took that short 436 earlier (trade 1). Above it was a b/o to me. But the breakout does not ensure it will break the next R.. (Trade 2) Both of these trades had a tp target 1.0400.6/1.0399.. I used 4001 for spread..
I had a short from today's high too, but closed early for 20 pips. Missed the re rentry with tight stop when it bounced from 1.0422 to 1.0435.
  • #120,607
  • Jan 22, 2025 9:34am Jan 22, 2025 9:34am
It just passed the 30 minute mark.. So far bears dont seem impressive. Not a good sign for 0400
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  • #120,608
  • Jan 22, 2025 9:36am Jan 22, 2025 9:36am
closing the short 419
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  • #120,609
  • Jan 22, 2025 9:47am Jan 22, 2025 9:47am
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  • #120,610
  • Jan 22, 2025 10:06am Jan 22, 2025 10:06am
Its never 100%.. Often when it dont run back, it will be bullish after. In this case it would need to break 0430 again..
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  • #120,611
  • Jan 22, 2025 10:15am Jan 22, 2025 10:15am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I dont want more than 2 u.s. pairs.. So its best to cut 1 or 2 out. Raw account with tiny spreads {image} {image}
These are voided now
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  • #120,612
  • Jan 22, 2025 10:20am Jan 22, 2025 10:20am
Quoting LoneTrader1
{image}
EU from bullish perspective on Daily time frame. it has broken major trend line to the upside,
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  • #120,613
  • Jan 22, 2025 10:33am Jan 22, 2025 10:33am
EU Plan
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  • #120,614
  • Jan 22, 2025 10:35am Jan 22, 2025 10:35am
Quoting LoneTrader1
{quote} EU from bullish perspective on Daily time frame. it has broken major trend line to the upside, {image}
A 0457/62 rise, followed by a retrace to 420 before up wouldn't hurt my feelings.
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  • #120,615
  • Jan 22, 2025 11:01am Jan 22, 2025 11:01am
I took 1/4 position on the dragon.. It has a R to beat.. If not it may give me 190 adr south.
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  • #120,616
  • Jan 22, 2025 2:21pm Jan 22, 2025 2:21pm
Aud CAD Its above b/o support at .9010. Its trying to go higher R .924. If unable to rise, and it slips below 9010. A possible long at .8973 ish. See chart. It may never get to .8973/60. so this is not a call to short.
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  • #120,617
  • Jan 22, 2025 2:53pm Jan 22, 2025 2:53pm
Quoting gatorinla
I took 1/4 position on the dragon.. It has a R to beat.. If not it may give me 190 adr south. {image}
I put the tp at 192.10 GY. 89 pips, 1/2 adr
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  • #120,618
  • Jan 22, 2025 3:14pm Jan 22, 2025 3:14pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I put the tp at 192.10 GY. 89 pips, 1/2 adr {image}
I see it as bullish. But it has to break the R. That leaves a chance to retrace to the bulls footing.
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  • #120,619
  • Jan 22, 2025 3:23pm Jan 22, 2025 3:23pm
On the eu the earlier attraction to 1.04001 is no longer a factor. 1.0403 may support...
I still dont like trading the middle.
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  • #120,620
  • Jan 22, 2025 3:36pm Jan 22, 2025 3:36pm
Quoting gatorinla
On the eu the earlier attraction to 1.04001 is no longer a factor. 1.0403 may support... I still dont like trading the middle.
I dont know what/where pa will be in Asia.. Sustained above 0410 is bullish to me. I dont mean now.. After Asia eats lunch. Now it may or may not find support at 0403x. The same R 0457 and that 12h at 0462 is valid still. So pa may retest it and come back to 0420..

If it was to turn bearish below 0410 (Asia lunch) and 0403 now.. 0345 can support.. It too may send pa back to 0420..
I may need to tweak 0410 some later.
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