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The Swamp

  • #120,481
  • Jan 15, 2025 8:49am Jan 15, 2025 8:49am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The eu is still one the bullside of some breakouts.. I have a R at 357.. LC at 294.9
A good level to short though,
  • #120,482
  • Jan 15, 2025 8:58am Jan 15, 2025 8:58am
Quoting LoneTrader1
{quote} What if scenario trade posted earlier has been triggered with some 16 pips slippage in my favor might not work... {image}
RSI looks interesting good for shorts
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  • #120,483
  • Jan 15, 2025 10:36am Jan 15, 2025 10:36am
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,484
  • Jan 15, 2025 11:00am Jan 15, 2025 11:00am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I will up date these EU 307.1, AU .6199.2, UCAD 1.440.2, GU 2305.5
Did you forget GU ? It hit 1.2306 would have been a great trade.
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  • #120,485
  • Jan 15, 2025 11:43am Jan 15, 2025 11:43am
It broke out North today on the day. It stopped around the 357x R. Since then, it broke the 6H support at 286. It still is in a downtrend when looking on the day. The the 12h support at 0238.. Either 357 or 238 looks next.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,486
  • Jan 15, 2025 11:56am Jan 15, 2025 11:56am
Quoting gatorinla
It broke out North today on the day. It stopped around the 357x R. Since then, it broke the 6H support at 286. It still is in a downtrend when looking on the day. The the 12h support at 0238.. Either 357 or 238 looks next. {image}
Some retracement to the upside then down probably
  • #120,487
  • Jan 15, 2025 12:29pm Jan 15, 2025 12:29pm
Quoting gatorinla
It broke out North today on the day. It stopped around the 357x R. Since then, it broke the 6H support at 286. It still is in a downtrend when looking on the day. The the 12h support at 0238.. Either 357 or 238 looks next. {image}
If it could go to 1.0357 that would be great for trying some short positions.
  • #120,488
  • Jan 15, 2025 1:17pm Jan 15, 2025 1:17pm
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  • #120,489
  • Edited 10:03pm Jan 15, 2025 8:10pm | Edited 10:03pm
Quoting gatorinla
It broke out North today on the day. It stopped around the 357x R. Since then, it broke the 6H support at 286. It still is in a downtrend when looking on the day. The the 12h support at 0238.. Either 357 or 238 looks next. {image}
A sustained run below 286 may be a breakout. But the support at 259 and 38 may bounce it back to 306.. not reaching 306 is a bearish return sign. The odds are 306 will happen. If not, hang on.

Typo fixed
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,490
  • Jan 16, 2025 6:31am Jan 16, 2025 6:31am
I dont show it on the chart but 269 is a 1h support. 194 is a 4h support
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,491
  • Jan 16, 2025 6:49am Jan 16, 2025 6:49am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} A sustained run below 286 may be a breakout. But the support at 259 and 38 may bounce it back to 306.. not reaching 306 is a bearish return sign. The odds are 306 will happen. If not, hang on. Typo fixed {image} {image}
Overnight no 306. Not returning, is not bullish. At 259 it's about 47 pips below 306. The 12h did close exactly, at the bearish break out mark 286.2 a few hs ago.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,492
  • Jan 16, 2025 7:04am Jan 16, 2025 7:04am
I possible sweet spot short risking a 1 pip (or spread) above 307.9, at 306.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,493
  • Jan 16, 2025 7:33am Jan 16, 2025 7:33am
That low at 0258 is also a 12h.. 3 candle low. It may support.. The pull to 306 may pull it. Before that low is hit.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,494
  • Jan 16, 2025 8:00am Jan 16, 2025 8:00am
My entry was missed.. had it hit, I would be debating with myself about closing. I probably would hold. Stops would be green.
It got close to that breakout at 86.. I wouldn't be mad to close there. I was looking for 306 38X
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,495
  • Jan 16, 2025 8:48am Jan 16, 2025 8:48am
Quoting gatorinla
I dont show it on the chart but 269 is a 1h support. 194 is a 4h support
No 1h close below 269 yet. 286 looks to be tested. So it may hit 306. That R at 307x may be tested.
I would of loved the long to have triggered earlier with the limited time for 306. It was roulette reward odds at a support. That helped the odds. 1 to 38
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,496
  • Jan 16, 2025 8:59am Jan 16, 2025 8:59am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Overnight no 306. Not returning, is not bullish. At 259 it's about 47 pips below 306. The 12h did close exactly, at the bearish break out mark 286.2 a few hs ago. {image}
I think it would go to 306.. But if it dont, there may be some R at 301x after lc if the lc close is below 301.x.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,497
  • Jan 16, 2025 11:06am Jan 16, 2025 11:06am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I think it would go to 306.. But if it dont, there may be some R at 301x after lc if the lc close is below 301.x.
Thanks
  • #120,498
  • Jan 16, 2025 12:13pm Jan 16, 2025 12:13pm
Quoting gatorinla
My entry was missed.. had it hit, I would be debating with myself about closing. I probably would hold. Stops would be green. It got close to that breakout at 86.. I wouldn't be mad to close there. I was looking for 306 38X {image}
missed 38X by less than a pip entry. It happens.. Repeat the process. Tp 1.03 +-depending on L r S
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,499
  • Jan 16, 2025 12:19pm Jan 16, 2025 12:19pm
The risk is below those levels. Your broker may vary.. Tp +- 1.0300.9. These 3 look to be 40 + pips away from the s/r. Kinda a template if you get a sign
If you get stopped by a pip, so be it. If the entry is missed by a pip, so be it. Catch 1 or a few a month, and your good. No FOMO allowed. You will lose with FOMO.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,500
  • Jan 16, 2025 12:23pm Jan 16, 2025 12:23pm
GU
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